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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2021Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 15.2

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 82%

Market (consensus)

Miami (OH) -7

Edge: Miami (OH) -7 (8.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
730818
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
101414745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-717-1024-1031-1038-1045-18
Miami (OH)Buffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(TO732ydTD158ydTD1275ydFG1066ydPUNT33ydTD661ydFG969ydDOWNS744ydTO10ydTD574ydDOWNS949ydPUNT32ydEND2-6ydPUNT635ydTO35ydTD28ydDOWNS945ydTD570ydDOWNS1050ydTO323ydTD338ydTD874ydTO36ydEND924yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Miami (OH)
StatisticBuffaloMiami (OH)
Passing19-3221-28
Pass Yards242351
Rush Yards119185
Total Yards361536
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-123-10
Penalties6-586-60
Possession28:3231:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Kyle Vantrease
11/20, 151 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dylan McDuffie
20 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Quian Williams
9 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
21/28, 351 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Keyon Mozee
15 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Walker
7 REC, 136 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 5 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.55

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Quian Williams

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.22

Kyle Vantrease run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42 Kyle Vantrease fumbled, forced by Matthew Salopek, recovered by MiaOh Sterling Weatherford

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 58 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Bernard Porter for 11 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete to Porter,Bernard PENALTY BUF Holding (Polgar,Bence) 10 yards from BUF37 to BUF27. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Bernard Porter

2nd & 20Penalty+15 yds

Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete to Porter,Bernard broken up by Pace Jr.,Ivan PENALTY MIA Roughing The Passer (Phelps,Lonnie) 15 yards from BUF27 to BUF42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.80

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kyle Vantrease run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 22 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 5 yds to the MiaOh 18

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the MiaOh 10 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BUF False Start (Fuzak,Jake) 5 yards from MIA42 to MIA47. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Dylan McDuffie run for 10 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen Walker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.66

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 18 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Kevin Davis run for 13 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for no gain to the Buff 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.80

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 27 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the Buff 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 8 yds to the Buff 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+27 yds

Graham Nicholson 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Quian Williams

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 20

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 4 yds to the Buff 24

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 43 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 6 yds to the MiaOh 39

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Tyre Shelton run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Kevin Davis run for 15 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyre Shelton run for 20 yds to the Buff 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Walker run for 4 yds to the Buff 19

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the Buff 14

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.15

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 14 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.42

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 48 yds to the MiaOh 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt Myers run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Alex McNulty 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 23 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the Buff 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 8 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the Buff 31

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.63

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.39

Kyle Vantrease pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.04

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 16 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.46

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 25 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shelton,Tyre rush for 4 yards gain to the BUF26 (Gross Jr.,Cory) PENALTY MIA Holding (Shaffer,Caleb) 10 yards from BUF30 to BUF40. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 13 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.99

Kenny Tracy run for 27 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Buff 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Quian Williams

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete to Williams,Quian PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Saunders Jr.,John) 15 yards from BUF28 to BUF43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 5 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Matt Myers run for 1 yd to the Buff 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.96

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 23 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyle Vantrease run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Brett Gabbert sacked by James Patterson for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 13Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.25

Brett Gabbert sacked by Daymond Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 14

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Shaffer,Caleb) 5 yards from MIA14 to MIA09. NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 14

4th & 18Punt+1 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 25 , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Buff 15 BUFFALO Penalty, Illegal Block (Wankeith Akin Jr.) to the Buff 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Bernard Porter

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.53

Kyle Vantrease sacked by Kobe Hilton for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.51

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 28 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 1 yd to the Buff 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 3 yds to the Buff 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the Buff 5

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Matt Myers run for 7 yds to the Buff 12

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 8

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the Buff 5

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Shaffer,Caleb) 5 yards from BUF05 to BUF10. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 10 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Tyler Stephens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Matt Myers pass complete to Quian Williams for 10 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Dylan McDuffie run for 9 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Dylan McDuffie run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Dylan McDuffie run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Myers pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 4 yds to the MiaOh 30

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.23

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Jamari Gassett

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Brett Gabbert run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Gabbert,Brett sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MIA44 (Laing,Kyler, Wolo,George) PENALTY MIA Holding (Vaughan,Sam) 10 yards from MIA45 to MIA35. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 16Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.39

Keyon Mozee run for 22 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 39 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Matt Myers run for 9 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Dominic Johnson pass complete to Quian Williams for 15 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 36

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Dylan McDuffie run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 16

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 14

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Marks,Kevin rush for 1 yard gain to the MIA13 (Singleton,Cecil) PENALTY BUF Holding (Doiron,Deondre) 10 yards from MIA14 to MIA24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Matt Myers pass complete to Kevin Marks Jr. for 9 yds to the MiaOh 15

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.42

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 20 yds Jack Sorenson fumbled, forced by Jibrahn Claude, recovered by Buff George Wolo

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.53

Matt Myers pass complete to Quian Williams for 22 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matt Myers run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 20

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.21

Matt Myers pass complete to Quian Williams for 20 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 18 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 11 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Kenny Tracy run for 12 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete to Sorenson,Jack PENALTY BUF Pass Interference (Washington,Aapri) 15 yards from BUF26 to BUF11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Kevin Davis run for 10 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Matt Myers pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 7 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Matt Myers pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 4 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Matt Myers sacked by Kameron Butler for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 37 Matt Myers fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Kobe Hilton , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the Buff 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the Buff 23

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the Buff 17

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.66

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the Buff 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

Mozee,Keyon rush for 1 yard loss to the BUF16 (Laing,Kyler) PENALTY BUF Face Mask (Laing,Kyler) 8 yards from BUF15 to BUF07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 9

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 11

3rd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 13

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
56%
16 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays