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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2021Week 9
NavyNavy
20
-Final
17
TulsaTulsa
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulsa by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Tulsa 87%

Market (consensus)

Tulsa -11

Edge: Tulsa -11 (8.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
0371020
TulsaTulsa
037717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-1010-1710-2017-20
TulsaNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVPUNT37ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT34ydTO736ydPUNT35ydPUNT728ydPUNT520ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydFG577ydDOWNS834ydPUNT37ydFG566ydEND1-4ydTD00ydTD1075ydTO1057ydTD1580ydDOWNS719ydFG719ydTD865ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Tulsa
StatisticNavyTulsa
Passing0-413-23
Pass Yards0165
Rush Yards302129
Total Yards302294
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-154-11
Penalties5-458-70
Possession37:1822:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Team
0/1, 0 YDS
rushing
Carlinos Acie
3 CAR, 80 YDS
defense
Tulsa
passing
Davis Brin
13/23, 165 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Anthony Watkins
5 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
J.C. Santana
7 REC, 109 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Chance Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 36 yds , Tyree Carlisle returns for no gain to the Tulsa 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Davis Brin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 37

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 32

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.33

Davis Brin sacked by Clay Cromwell for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 29 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by Tulsa

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Carlinos Acie run for 7 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Isaac Ruoss run for no gain to the Navy 27

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 22

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the Tulsa 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 8 yds to the Tulsa 48

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Deneric Prince run for 14 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 40

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the Navy 37

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Brin, Davis pass incomplete, PENALTY NAVY pass interference 15 yards to the NAVY22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor II

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Navy 20

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Davis Brin sacked by Johnny Hodges for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 24 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by Navy

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Chance Warren run for 2 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Chance Warren

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 46 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.67

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 16 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 13 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Navy 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Michael McMorris

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Anton Hall Jr. run for 6 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Chance Warren run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

James Harris II run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the Tulsa 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Deneric Prince run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 22

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 20

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 23

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chance Warren at the Navy 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Isaac Ruoss run for no gain to the Navy 31

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Navy 39

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the Navy 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the Tulsa 15

1st & 10Rush+78 ydsPPA +4.42

Anthony Watkins run for 78 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the Navy 7

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Zack Long 26 yd FG GOOD

4th & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Tyler Tipton kickoff for 62 yds , Maquel Haywood return for 37 yds to the Navy 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Chance Warren run for 9 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

James Harris II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jayden Umbarger run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 44

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Tai Lavatai run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 32

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Mike Mauai run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.09

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 26

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 21

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 8 yds to the Tulsa 34

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Chance Warren at the Navy 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 17

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Chance Warren run for 7 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 8Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.14

Carlinos Acie run for 64 yds to the Tulsa 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Chance Warren

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Bijan Nichols 29 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 40 yds , Abe Anderson return for no gain to the Tulsa 25

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+97 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 62 yds , Anthony Watkins return for 97 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Chance Warren run for 18 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Tai Lavatai run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 31

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Chance Warren run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 21

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

James Harris II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 10

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.84

Carlinos Acie run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the Tulsa 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

James Harris II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 42 yds , Bayne Tryon return for 4 yds to the Tulsa 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Deneric Prince run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Davis Brin pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 10 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TULSA Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-15 Yards) to the Tulsa 31

1st & 25Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Deneric Prince run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Davis Brin pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 11 yds to the Navy 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 10 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Navy 36

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Brin, Davis pass incomplete to Crawford Jr., Sam, PENALTY NAVY pass interference 5 yards to the NAVY31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Shamari Brooks run for 15 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Navy 16

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.10

Davis Brin pass intercepted, touchback. Rayuan Lane return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chance Warren run for 2 yds to the Navy 22

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Kai Puailoa-Rojas run for 6 yds to the Navy 28 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (15 Yards) to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Chance Warren run for no gain to the Navy 43

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Kai Puailoa-Rojas run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyger Goslin run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 39

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Chance Warren run for 17 yds to the Tulsa 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 15

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 9

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 6

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 36 yds , Abe Anderson return for no gain to the Tulsa 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 8 yds to the Tulsa 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.39

Davis Brin sacked by Jacob Busic for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 33

3rd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.94

Davis Brin pass complete to Cannon Montgomery for 15 yds to the Tulsa 48

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Cannon Montgomery

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaac Ruoss run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaac Ruoss run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Isaac Ruoss run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

James Harris II run for no gain to the Tulsa 29

4th & 2Field Goal Good+46 yds

Bijan Nichols 46 yd FG GOOD

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 30 yds , LJ Wallace return for no gain to the Tulsa 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 10 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Rayuan Lane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 12 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

2nd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.35

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 42 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Davis Brin run for no gain to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 2 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

NAVY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Isaac Ruoss run for 17 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 46

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.73

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 47

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
20 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play