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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 25.7

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 93%

Market (consensus)

Cincinnati -36.5

Edge: Murray State +36.5 (10.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
07007
CincinnatiCincinnati
07142142

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-721-735-742-7
CincinnatiMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSCINMSCINMSCINMSCINMSCINCINMSCINMSCINMSCINMSCINMSCINMSCINCINMSTO1153ydPUNT37ydTD1265ydPUNT32ydTO30ydTD640ydTO2-3ydMISS721ydMISS1565ydEND18ydTD1075ydPUNT33ydTD855ydPUNT610ydTO550ydTO2-1ydTD123ydPUNT37ydTD463ydPUNT31ydPUNT612ydPUNT513ydTO37ydTD118ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and Cincinnati
StatisticMurray StateCincinnati
Passing17-2915-25
Pass Yards149261
Rush Yards93130
Total Yards242391
Turnovers51
3rd Down7-154-10
Penalties11-605-40
Possession34:4825:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
Preston Rice
17/29, 149 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Damonta Witherspoon
16 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Deshun Britten
5 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
14/22, 243 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jerome Ford
18 CAR, 113 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tyler Scott
4 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 11 yds to the MurrS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for 2 yds to the MurrS 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 5 yds to the MurrS 41

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for 11 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Damonta Witherspoon run for 7 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the Cincy 39

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 7 yds to the Cincy 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 12 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the Cincy 24

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA -3.95

Preston Rice pass intercepted Ja'von Hicks return for 11 yds to the Cincy 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 17

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Cincy 18

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by LaMartez Brooks at the MurrS 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rodney Castille run for 3 yds to the MurrS 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Preston Rice pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.97

Preston Rice pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 16 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 49

1st & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.87

Preston Rice pass complete to Deshun Britten for 23 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

LaMartez Brooks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 23

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 28

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Preston Rice run for 12 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Rodney Castille run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for 7 yds to the Cincy 10

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 15

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 10

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Preston Rice pass complete to Rodney Castille for 7 yds to the Cincy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the Cincy 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Preston Rice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Baum KICK)

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 15

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Preston Rice run for 5 yds to the MurrS 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Preston Rice pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.21

Preston Rice pass intercepted Ahmad Gardner return for no gain to the MurrS 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 19 yds to the MurrS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Jerome Ford run for 11 yds to the MurrS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jerome Ford run for 7 yds to the MurrS 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the MurrS 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Noah Davis for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Preston Rice sacked by Joel Dublanko and Darrian Beavers for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 32

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Preston Rice pass intercepted Arquon Bush return for 2 yds to the MurrS 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 1 yd to the MurrS 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.17

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 16 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 28

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the MurrS 23

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the MurrS 23

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the MurrS 19

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Cole Smith 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.24

Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 17 yds to the MurrS 35 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the Cincy 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Preston Rice pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for 5 yds to the Cincy 41

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Preston Rice run for 1 yd to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 5 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Preston Rice pass complete to Rodney Castille for 6 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Preston Rice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Damonta Witherspoon run for 9 yds to the Cincy 20

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.16

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Preston Rice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Preston Rice pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the Cincy 15

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Aaron Baum 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jerome Ford run for 8 yds to the Cincy 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 4 yds to the Cincy 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 16 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Desmond Ridder sacked by Scotty Humpich for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 49

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MurrS 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.70

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 27 yds to the MurrS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Ford, Jerome rush for 3 yards to the MURRAYST15, PENALTY MURRAYST 12 men on the field 5 yards to the MURRAYST13, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Jerome Ford run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MurrS 19

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 18

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

Rice, Preston rush for 6 yards to the MURRAYST24, PENALTY MURRAYST holding off-setting, PENALTY CINCINNATI Holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Preston Rice pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Louis Halton punt for 38 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 12 yds to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Evan Prater sacked by Izaiah Reed for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 45

2nd & 15Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.42

Jerome Ford run for 20 yds to the MurrS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the MurrS 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 17 yds to the MurrS 5 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 17 yds to the MurrS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Charles McClelland run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Jerome Ford run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Rodney Castille run for 7 yds to the MurrS 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

LaMartez Brooks run for 1 yd to the MurrS 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Rodney Castille run for 3 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Preston Rice run for 3 yds to the MurrS 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Preston Rice pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 35

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Louis Halton punt for 40 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 28

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cincy 18

1st & 20Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.69

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 38 yds to the MurrS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 8 yds to the MurrS 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.02

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 12 yds to the MurrS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the MurrS 22 Jerome Ford fumbled, recovered by MurrS

2nd & 3Rush+21 yds

Preston Rice run for 21 yds to the MurrS 24

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 23 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 2 yds to the MurrS 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the MurrS 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Preston Rice pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Louis Halton punt for 31 yds, downed at the Cincy 37

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Jerome Ford run for 11 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.32

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 48 yds to the MurrS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 9

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the MurrS 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Rodney Castille run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Louis Halton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Evan Prater run for 7 yds to the Cincy 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Evan Prater pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.38

Evan Prater run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Cincy 41

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Evan Prater pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by LaMartez Brooks at the MurrS 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 14 yds to the MurrS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Rodney Castille run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 26

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Damonta Witherspoon run for 7 yds to the MurrS 33 MURRAY ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MurrS 23

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 26

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Preston Rice pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Louis Halton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ethan Wright run for no gain to the Cincy 44

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Cincy 48

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 38 yds , LaMartez Brooks returns for 4 yds to the MurrS 18 LaMartez Brooks fumbled, recovered by Cincy

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Evan Prater pass complete to Payten Singletary for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cortezz Jones run for 4 yds to the MurrS 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 27

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
23%
22 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
52%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play