Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 21.9

Home Win Probability

Michigan 92%

Market (consensus)

Michigan -27.5

Edge: Northern Illinois +27.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
300710
MichiganMichigan
142128063

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-314-321-328-342-349-363-363-10
MichiganNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIMICNIPUNT33ydTD748ydFG1072ydTD975ydPUNT3-3ydTD664ydPUNT31ydTD1071ydPUNT711ydTD187ydEND424ydTD370ydPUNT30ydTD848ydTO10ydTD23ydPUNT35ydTD276ydPUNT824ydDOWNS748ydTD768ydDOWNS1027ydEND213yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Michigan
StatisticNorthern IllinoisMichigan
Passing9-1712-17
Pass Yards46233
Rush Yards161373
Total Yards207606
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-133-6
Penalties6-575-45
Possession29:1130:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Rocky Lombardi
9/17, 46 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rocky Lombardi
7 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Tristen Tewes
1 REC, 15 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Cade McNamara
8/11, 191 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
13 CAR, 125 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Cornelius Johnson
3 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 2 yds to the NoIll 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by Daxton Hill

4th & 7Punt+25 yds

Matt Ference punt for 45 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 25 yds to the NoIll 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 14 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the NoIll 33

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.82

Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.30

Blake Corum run for 16 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the NoIll 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cade McNamara 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Clint Ratkovich run for 12 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Rocky Lombardi run for 16 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the Mich 9

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Clint Ratkovich for 6 yds to the Mich 3

4th & 2Field Goal Good+21 yds

John Richardson 21 Yd Field Goal

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 45 yds , Mike Sainristil return for 4 yds to the Mich 24

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.30

A.J. Henning run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson, broken up by Jordan Gandy

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the NoIll 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 4 yds to the NoIll 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 13 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+1 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the NoIll 2

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyrice Richie run for no gain to the NoIll 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Tristen Tewes) to the NoIll 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 2 yds to the NoIll 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Mohamed Toure

4th & 13Punt+8 yds

Matt Ference punt for 50 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 8 yds to the Mich 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Cade McNamara pass complete to A.J. Henning for 24 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.50

Blake Corum run for 24 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Corum run for no gain to the NoIll 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the NoIll 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Hassan Haskins 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Messiah Travis) to the NoIll 16

2nd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NoIll 23

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds to the NoIll 26

4th & 9Punt+3 yds

Matt Ference punt for 48 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 3 yds to the Mich 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 14 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Baldwin, Daylen, PENALTY NORTHERNIL pass interference (Gandy, Jordan) 15 yards to the NORTHERNIL39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.77

Cade McNamara run for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 35 Cade McNamara fumbled, recovered by Mich Donovan Edwards

2nd & 18Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.98

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 23 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the NoIll 9

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the NoIll 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Hassan Haskins 5 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rocky Lombardi run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the NoIll 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (David Ojabo) to the NoIll 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Messiah Travis, broken up by Brad Hawkins

3rd & 4Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 36

4th & 11Punt+2 yds

Matt Ference punt for 43 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 2 yds to the Mich 38 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (Andrew Russell) to the Mich 13

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +6.70

Cornelius Johnson 87 Yd pass from Cade McNamara (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 29

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

Ference, Matt punt 42 yards to the MICHIGAN27, Wilson, Roman return 9 yards to the MICHIGAN36, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing the kicker (Sainristil, Mike) 15 yards to the NORTHERNIL46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Hassan Haskins run for 15 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.44

Blake Corum 51 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the NoIll 25

4th & 10Punt+32 yds

Matt Ference punt for 55 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 32 yds to the NoIll 48

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Roman Wilson run for 10 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the NoIll 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 5 yds to the NoIll 30

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the NoIll 19

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.79

J.J. McCarthy run for 16 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the NoIll 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+27 ydsPPA -0.92

Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted Gemon Green return for 27 yds to the NoIll 3

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Donovan Edwards 4 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Demond Taylor Jr.) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the NoIll 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Fabian McCray

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 46 yds, downed at the Mich 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.58

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 18 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Donovan Edwards 58 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the NoIll 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the NoIll 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 9 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Mohamed Toure

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Liam Soraghan, broken up by Michael Barrett

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 12 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Tavierre Dunlap run for 7 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.93

Tavierre Dunlap run for 28 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Dunlap, Tavierre rush for 29 yards to the NORTHERNIL0, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Jones, Trente) 10 yards to the NORTHERNIL39, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cristian Dixon for 7 yds to the NoIll 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cristian Dixon

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.80

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cristian Dixon

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Erin Collins run for 3 yds to the NoIll 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Erin Collins run for 5 yds to the NoIll 40

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Erin Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 39

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

Ference, Matt punt 47 yards to the MICHIGAN14, Anthony, Andrel return 21 yards to the MICHIGAN35, PENALTY MICHIGAN illegal procedure 5 yards to the NORTHERNIL44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +1.85

Rocky Lombardi run for 45 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Erin Collins run for no gain to the Mich 11

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Erin Collins run for 2 yds to the Mich 9

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.97

Cole Tucker 9 Yd pass from Rocky Lombardi (John Richardson Kick)

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 26 yds , Carter Selzer return for 3 yds to the Mich 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the Mich 42

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the Mich 46

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dan Villari run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.70

Dan Villari run for 8 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Isaiah Gash run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Taylor, Joe rush for no gain to the NORTHERNIL40, PENALTY NORTHERNIL substitution infraction 5 yards to the NORTHERNIL35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Gash run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Gash run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian Boivin run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28

3rd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.15

Dan Villari run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 34

4th & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -1.27

Isaiah Gash run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Billy Dozier for 12 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Erin Collins run for 1 yd to the NoIll 44

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
47%
30 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
70%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play