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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Michigan 54%

Market (consensus)

Michigan -16.5

Edge: Western Michigan +16.5 (14.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
700714
MichiganMichigan
101761447

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425640-7
MichiganWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICWMMICWMMICWMMICWMMICWMMICWMWMMICWMMICWMMICWMMICWMMICTD1175ydTD1075ydFG43ydPUNT1051ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydTD383ydPUNT31ydTD331ydPUNT611ydFG1263ydEND11ydPUNT920ydTD280ydMISS952ydPUNT615ydPUNT623ydTD487ydPUNT38ydTD880ydTD1075ydUncategorized623yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Michigan
StatisticWestern MichiganMichigan
Passing20-3713-17
Pass Yards191216
Rush Yards126335
Total Yards317551
Turnovers00
3rd Down8-178-13
Penalties3-305-48
Possession31:5128:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
20/37, 191 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Sean Tyler
10 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Corey Crooms
4 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
Cade McNamara
9/11, 136 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
14 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ronnie Bell
1 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Josh Ross
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 11 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 10 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Blake Corum run for 18 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WMich 22

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the WMich 18

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.71

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for no gain to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the WMich 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.89

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 29 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Mich 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 6 yds to the Mich 18

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.00

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 13 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the Mich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 26

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the WMich 26

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the WMich 18

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jake Moody 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 13 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.52

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 22 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for no gain to the Mich 42

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 22 yds, downed at the Mich 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-8 yds

McNamara, Cade pass complete to Bell, Ronnie for no gain to the MICHIGAN17, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 8 yards to the MICHIGAN9, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the Mich 14

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the Mich 46

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.73

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Bell at the Mich 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 6 yds to the Mich 24

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.80

Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 76 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for no gain to the WMich 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 26

4th & 9Punt+31 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds , Ronnie Bell returns for 31 yds to the WMich 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the WMich 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for no gain to the WMich 22

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.81

Hassan Haskins run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 29 yds, downed at the Mich 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 8 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Blake Corum run for 10 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the WMich 42

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Hassan Haskins run for 12 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the WMich 20

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the WMich 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Cade McNamara run for 2 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 2

2nd & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Jake Moody 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 12 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 45

2nd & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for no gain to the WMich 45

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 6 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.10

A.J. Henning run for 74 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 12 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 39

2nd & 12Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.04

Sean Tyler run for 22 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Sean Tyler run for 18 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.21

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 28 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, recovered by WMich Mark Brooks , return for 0 yards

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 5 yds to the Mich 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 12Blocked Field Goal+40 yds

Parker Sampson 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Aidan Hutchinson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the Mich 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.99

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Mike Sainristil for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for no gain to the WMich 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.24

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 21 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 49 yds, downed at the Mich 13

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.28

Roman Wilson run for 43 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 11 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Blake Corum run for 30 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 5 yds to the WMich 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mich 20

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -1.83

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 16 yards to the Mich 16 J.J. McCarthy fumbled, recovered by Mich Joel Honigford , return for 0 yards

2nd & 26Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Mich 18

3rd & 24Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to A.J. Henning

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul 15 yards to the MICHIGAN31, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 25Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +7.31

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 69 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 7 yds to the WMich 32

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 8 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 5 yds to the Mich 27

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.22

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 27 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Leon Franklin run for 4 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Dan Villari run for 7 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Leon Franklin run for 7 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

Leon Franklin run for 1 yd to the Mich 42

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
23%
26 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
54%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
24 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play