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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 11.2

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 76%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -4

Edge: Minnesota -4 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MarylandMaryland
370616
MinnesotaMinnesota
31414334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-310-317-317-1024-1031-1034-1034-16
MinnesotaMaryland

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARMINMARMINMARMINMARMINMARMINMINMARMINMARMINMARMINMARMINTO422ydMISS417ydFG839ydFG1052ydPUNT3-1ydTD786ydPUNT3-1ydTD768ydTD875ydDOWNS1155ydTD1175ydDOWNS49ydTD434ydPUNT623ydFG1355ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT39ydTD1291ydEND315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maryland and Minnesota
StatisticMarylandMinnesota
Passing17-278-13
Pass Yards189125
Rush Yards79326
Total Yards268451
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-117-12
Penalties8-794-50
Possession22:2537:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maryland
passing
Taulia Tagovailoa
17/27, 189 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Challen Faamatau
7 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Marcus Fleming
5 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
8/12, 125 YDS
rushing
Ky Thomas
21 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Autman-Bell
4 REC, 35 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 21 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 2 yds to the Mary 47

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.04

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Mary 49 Taulia Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by Minn Coney Durr

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference 15 yards to the MARYLAND34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Mary 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Matthew Trickett 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 15 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Marcus Fleming

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.51

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 38 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for no gain to the Minn 13

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Minn 11

3rd & 8Penalty-15 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tayon Fleet-Davis) to the Minn 26

3rd & 23Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 29

4th & 26Field Goal Good+47 yds

Joseph Petrino 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Bryce Williams run for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 46

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.13

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 28 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Mary 21

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Mary 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

4th & 8Field Goal Good+37 yds

Matthew Trickett 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Challen Faamatau run for 4 yds to the Mary 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Challen Faamatau run for no gain to the Mary 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Aric Harris) to the Mary 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Chigoziem Okonkwo

4th & 11Punt+62 yds

Anthony Pecorella punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the MINNESOTA 24 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bishop McDonald) to the Minn 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 13 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Minn 32

2nd & 5Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.02

Ky Thomas run for 38 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Mary 26

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.98

Mar'Keise Irving run for 21 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Mary 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cole Kramer 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 26

3rd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Thomas Rush for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 24

4th & 11Punt+44 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the MINNESOTA 27 MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Minn 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 12 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 49

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.41

Mar'Keise Irving run for 14 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.48

Mar'Keise Irving run for 6 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Ami Finau) to the Mary 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Mary 10

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Ky Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Peny Boone run for 7 yds to the Mary 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the Mary 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 4 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Challen Faamatau run for no gain to the Mary 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.50

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 43 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Minn 13

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.77

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 13 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ko Kieft for 21 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Minn 47

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sam Schlueter) to the Minn 37

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 17Penalty+10 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tarheeb Still) to the Minn 49

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.82

Ky Thomas run for 18 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Mary 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Mary 24

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Mary 16

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.82

Ky Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

TEAM pass incomplete

4th & 11Blocked Field Goal+6 yds

Matthew Trickett 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tarheeb Still Ahmad McCullough return for 6 yds to the Minn 32

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brady Boyd for 6 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Mar'Keise Irving run for 5 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 11 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Mary 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

3rd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.76

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 35 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Mary 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to DeaJaun McDougle for 4 yds to the Mary 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to DeaJaun McDougle for 5 yds to the Mary 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 34

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Chigoziem Okonkwo

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Mary 30

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Ky Thomas run for 13 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 11 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 12 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 5 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Minn 48

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Jaelyn Duncan) to the Mary 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Carlos Carriere

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Pecorella punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Ky Thomas run for 8 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.71

Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Minn 49

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.90

Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Mary 38

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Cole Kramer run for 10 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Mary 22

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mar'Keise Irving) to the Mary 37

2nd & 19Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Mary 27

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Mary 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Matthew Trickett 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tayon Fleet-Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 5 yds to the Mary 30

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.57

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Coney Durr for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 50 yds, downed at the Minn 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Minn 34

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for no gain to the Mary 35 MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Beau Brade) to the Mary 9

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.89

Challen Faamatau run for 18 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds to the Mary 36

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Challen Faamatau run for 6 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 9 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.09

Challen Faamatau run for 6 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Phillip Howard) to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Challen Faamatau for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the Minn 20

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.28

Challen Faamatau run for 3 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dino Tomlin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.32

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Cole Kramer run for 10 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Mary 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 32

Situational Analysis

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
20 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
65%
31 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th