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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Louisville 59%

Market (consensus)

Louisville -4

Edge: Boston College +4 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
700714
LouisvilleLouisville
7140728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-721-728-14
LouisvilleBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOULOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUPUNT511ydPUNT33ydTD863ydTD775ydPUNT32ydTO453ydPUNT623ydTO313ydPUNT36ydTD870ydUncategorized3-8ydTO10ydTO34ydTD749ydPUNT39ydEND15ydMISS940ydDOWNS631ydPUNT613ydPUNT624ydPUNT33ydTO1371ydTO128ydTD730ydTD875ydTO215ydEND416yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and Louisville
StatisticBoston CollegeLouisville
Passing17-329-17
Pass Yards141107
Rush Yards125331
Total Yards266438
Turnovers34
3rd Down3-144-10
Penalties5-457-70
Possession29:4230:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Dennis Grosel
17/32, 141 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Pat Garwo III
15 CAR, 86 YDS
receiving
Zay Flowers
4 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
9/17, 107 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Malik Cunningham
16 CAR, 133 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Marshon Ford
3 REC, 48 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Zay Flowers run for 1 yd to the BC 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 4 yds to the BC 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 41

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dennis Grosel sacked by Yasir Abdullah for 0 yards to the BC 33

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds, downed at the BC 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 38

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Pat Garwo III run for 14 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Lvile 44

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on GILLOTTE, Ashton enforced (Ashton Gillotte) to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 9 yds to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the Lvile 11

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.40

Alec Sinkfield run for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Malik Cunningham run for 26 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the BC 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the left incomplete intended for WATKINS, Jordan thrown to the BC.15. PENALTY BC. Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah enforced 15 yards to the BC.33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Malik Cunningham run for 24 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the BC 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 10

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds to the BC 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.43

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.21

Hassan Hall run for 23 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the BC 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.56

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 44

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 39

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the BC 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 19 yds, downed at the Lvile 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.84

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 11 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.82

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the BC 11

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the BC 17

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt-2 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 51 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 11 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Trevion Cooley run for 14 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.76

Trevion Cooley run for 19 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Trevion Cooley run for 14 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the BC 12

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the BC 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the BC 21

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 20

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 15

3rd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.10

Dennis Grosel sacked by Ryheem Craig for 0 yards to the BC 6

4th & 18Penalty+15 yds

CARLSON, Grant punt 48 yards to the LOU46, WATKINS, Jordan return 44 yards to the BC.10 (DEPALMA, Vinny), out of bounds. PENALTY LOU Personal Foul on BURKLEY, Maurice enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the BC.16 to the BC.31. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the BC 37

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dennis Grosel pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the BC 46

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.94

Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the BC 44

4th & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.87

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 9 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Renato Brown) to the BC 40

1st & 15Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.52

Jalen Mitchell run for 33 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the BC 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 9 yds to the BC 31

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Lvile 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.38

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 19 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Trevion Cooley run for 17 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the BC 29

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.01

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the BC 20

2nd & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.27

Shai Werts run for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 30

3rd & 20Penalty-15 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the left complete for -3 yards to WERTS, Shai caught at the BC.33 and advanced to the BC.33 (VALDEZ, Marcus). PENALTY LOU Personal Foul on BROWN, Renato enforced 15 yards from the BC.30 to the BC.45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 35Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 11 yds to the BC 34

4th & 24Field Goal Missed+52 yds

James Turner 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Pat Garwo III run for 13 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Lvile 49

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

GROSEL, Dennis pass to the right incomplete intended for GILL, Jaelen thrown to the LOU31; QB hurried by ALDERMAN, Jaylin. PENALTY LOU Holding on JONES, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the LOU49 to the LOU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 4 yds to the Lvile 35

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 7 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 17 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dennis Grosel sacked by Dorian Jones and YaYa Diaby for 0 yards to the BC 22

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.32

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 12 yds to the BC 34

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for 10 yds to the Lvile 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 46

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Lvile 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 20

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Alec Sinkfield run for 12 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Alec Sinkfield run for 9 yds to the BC 41

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Pat Garwo III run for 17 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 32

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 31

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 6 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.95

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 29

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.97

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 19 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 9

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.26

Dennis Grosel pass intercepted return for no gain to the Lvile 2

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.28

Trevion Cooley run for 28 yds to the Lvile 30

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Pat Garwo III run for 10 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Lvile 16

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

GARWO, Patrick rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the LOU14 (JONES, Dorian). PENALTY Before the snap, LOU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the LOU16 to the LOU11. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 2 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 4

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Travis Levy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 6

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.13

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.86

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 14 yds to the Lvile 48

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Jalen Mitchell run for 15 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaiden Woodbey) to the BC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the BC 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the BC 14

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.79

Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 14 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the BC 43

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Trevion Cooley run for 14 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the BC 26

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 27

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

run for no gain to the BC 27

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play