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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 5.3

Home Win Probability

Boston College 62%

Market (consensus)

Boston College +3

Edge: Boston College +3 (8.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
7321233
Boston CollegeBoston College
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-107-177-247-317-33
Boston CollegeNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSTD575ydTD1075ydPUNT32ydPUNT943ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT721ydMISS1073ydFG1670ydTD69ydTO431ydTD761ydPUNT38ydTD279ydPUNT1025ydPUNT38ydDOWNS528ydPUNT31ydDOWNS935ydPUNT413ydSAF10ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and Boston College
StatisticNC StateBoston College
Passing16-2421-39
Pass Yards251194
Rush Yards13097
Total Yards381291
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-135-16
Penalties9-853-25
Possession31:5328:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
passing
Devin Leary
16/24, 251 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jordan Houston
8 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Thayer Thomas
4 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Isaiah Moore
1 TFL, 1 PD
Boston College
passing
Dennis Grosel
21/39, 194 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Pat Garwo III
11 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Jaelen Gill
5 REC, 71 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on WOODBEY, Jaiden enforced (Jaiden Woodbey) to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 12 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the BC 37

2nd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.93

Devin Leary sacked by Marcus Valdez for 0 yards to the BC 40

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.94

Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 40 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 1 yd to the BC 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 27 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Dennis Grosel run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 28 fumbled, recovered by BC Dennis Grosel for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 3 yds to the NCSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.73

Pat Garwo III run for 18 yds to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 8 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 65 yds , Travis Levy returns for 4 yds to the BC 12

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.30

Pat Garwo III run for 21 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 28

3rd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.02

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 18 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 45

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

GROSEL, Dennis pass to the right incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Jaden thrown to the NCS24. PENALTY NCS Pass Interference on PITTS, Derrek enforced 15 yards to the NCS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Spencer Witter for 2 yds to the NCSt 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 3 yds to the NCSt 40

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.98

Dennis Grosel sacked by Levi Jones for 0 yards to the NCSt 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCSt 1

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Moore) to the NCSt 0

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 2

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 4

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 1 yd to the NCSt 5

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 46 yds, downed at the BC 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 49

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Ricky Person Jr. run for 17 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.58

Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 13 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Devin Leary pass incomplete pass complete to Devin Carter for 9 yds to the BC 45

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NCSt 41

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 46 yds, downed at the BC 13

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.45

Alec Sinkfield run for 22 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Alec Sinkfield run for 16 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the NCSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the NCSt 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.25

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 10 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

GROSEL, Dennis pass up the middle incomplete intended for LEWIS, CJ broken up by BOYKIN, Devan at the NCS24. PENALTY NCS Roughing the Passer on JOSEPH, Daniel enforced 15 yards from the NCS36 to the NCS21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the NCSt 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the NCSt 14

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Connor Lytton 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 11 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 16 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Devin Leary pass complete to Zonovan Knight for 4 yds to the BC 47

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the BC 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 7 yds to the BC 31

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the BC 20

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Ricky Person Jr. run for 9 yds to the BC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the BC 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Christopher Dunn 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

GROSEL, Dennis pass to the right incomplete intended for GILL, Jaelen thrown to the BOS40; QB hurried by JOSEPH, Daniel. PENALTY NCS Holding on PITTS, Derrek enforced 10 yards from the BOS26 to the BOS36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 37

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds to the BC 42

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.32

Grant Carlson run for a loss of 8 yards fumbled, recovered by NCSt Devan Boykin for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 30 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the NCSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.68

Dennis Grosel pass intercepted return for no gain to the NCSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 12 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the BC 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.94

Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 24 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the BC 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.61

Devin Leary pass complete to Zonovan Knight for 17 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Devin Leary pass complete to Dylan Parham for 4 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 5 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Travis Levy run for no gain to the BC 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds, downed at the NCSt 21

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.92

Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 79 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 5 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 4 yds to the BC 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Dennis Grosel run for 8 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Travis Levy run for no gain to the BC 45

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Terrell Dawkins) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Ricky Person Jr.) to the NCSt 15

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 15

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 8 yds to the NCSt 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 52 yds, downed at the BC 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 19 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.67

Dennis Grosel sacked by Ibrahim Kante for 0 yards to the BC 39

4th & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.08

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Taji Johnson for 9 yds to the BC 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Thayer Thomas run for 1 yd to the BC 47

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

KNIGHT, Zonovan rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the BOS41 (ARNOLD, Kam), out of bounds. PENALTY NCS Illegal Block in the Back on EKWONU, Ikem enforced 10 yards from the BOS47 to the NCS43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Devin Leary run for 2 yds to the NCSt 45

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Zonovan Knight run for 8 yds to the BC 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 17

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for no gain to the BC 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.78

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 18 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dennis Grosel sacked by Levi Jones and Cory Durden for 0 yards to the BC 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 10 yds to the BC 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 6 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Lewis Bond for 6 yds to the NCSt 48

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan Houston run for 12 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 44

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the BC 44

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the BC 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 37 yds, downed at the BC 2

1st & 10Safety-2 ydsPPA -2.02

Peter Stehr run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 28

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ben Finley run for 6 yds to the NCSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 47

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
63%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
15%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play