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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2021Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Louisville 65%

Market (consensus)

Louisville -3

Edge: Louisville -3 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 28, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
1410141452
LouisvilleLouisville
7001421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-77-147-177-247-317-3814-4521-52
LouisvilleKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENTD675ydTD1075ydTD1275ydDOWNS636ydFG936ydPUNT34ydTD1265ydMISS744ydEND415ydPUNT510ydTD775ydTO423ydTD859ydPUNT3-5ydTD551ydTD970ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS519ydTD264ydTD875ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Louisville
StatisticKentuckyLouisville
Passing15-1919-28
Pass Yards149208
Rush Yards362144
Total Yards511352
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-103-10
Penalties4-293-24
Possession35:0424:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
14/18, 149 YDS
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
16 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wan'Dale Robinson
9 REC, 97 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
12/20, 145 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Mitchell
11 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Marshon Ford
6 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 27 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

JuTahn McClain run for 6 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Lvile 29

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.33

Will Levis 29 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Jalen Mitchell run for 10 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.70

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 21 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the Kent 22

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Kent 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 6 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Kent 4

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Kent 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Malik Cunningham 2 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 16 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 4 yds to the Lvile 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.92

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 37

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the Lvile 28

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Lvile 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.82

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Will Levis 7 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Quandre Mosely) to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 45

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Kent 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Trevion Cooley

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Lvile 40

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.99

Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Lvile 26

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 25

4th & 2Field Goal Good+43 yds

Matt Ruffolo 43 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon Ford

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kent 35

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 33

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 37

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.81

Will Levis run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 12

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Lvile 9

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Will Levis 5 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 5 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.03

Evan Conley run for 20 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

3rd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.42

Malik Cunningham sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 31

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+49 yds

James Turner 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Will Levis run for 10 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 6 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 46

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 9 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +1.73

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 41 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Lvile 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Will Levis 1 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 23

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Lvile 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.73

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 18 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -2.99

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted J.J. Weaver return for 1 yd to the Kent 41

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 6

3rd & 0Penalty+4 yds

Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference (Cole, Qwynnterrio) 4 yards to the LOUISVILLE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Chris Rodriguez Jr. 2 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , Tyler Harrell return for 27 yds to the Lvile 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.06

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Caleb Chandler) to the Lvile 20

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 2 yds to the Lvile 22

3rd & 15Punt+5 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 34 yds , Josh Ali returns for 5 yds to the Kent 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the Lvile 46

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

JuTahn McClain run for 10 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.46

Will Levis run for 22 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Lvile 13

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Kavosiey Smoke 13 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Cade Degraw) to the Lvile 8

2nd & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 63 yds , Jawhar Jordan return for 28 yds to the Lvile 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 10 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 16 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.63

Jalen Mitchell run for 29 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 12

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Kent 12

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Cunningham, Malik pass complete to Ford, Marshon for 12 yards to the KENTUCKY0, PENALTY LOUISVILLE ineligible downfield on pass (Bentley, Cole) 5 yards to the KENTUCKY17, NO PLAY.

3rd & 0Rush+13 yds

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Assisting the Runner (4 Yards) to the Kent 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Josh Johnson 8 Yd pass from Evan Conley (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Flax) to the Kent 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the Kent 23

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Beau Allen pass complete to Rahsaan Lewis for no gain to the Kent 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 33 yds, downed at the Lvile 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Evan Conley pass complete to Shai Werts for 11 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Evan Conley pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 3 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Evan Conley pass complete to Marshon Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Evan Conley pass incomplete to Justin Marshall, broken up by Carrington Valentine

4th & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -1.00

Evan Conley pass complete to Maurice Burkley for 6 yds to the Kent 36

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Beau Allen run for 23 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

La'Vell Wright 41 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Maurice Burkley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Evan Conley pass complete to Duane Martin for 8 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Maurice Burkley run for 6 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Maurice Burkley run for 10 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Maurice Burkley run for 6 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Evan Conley run for 6 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.78

Evan Conley pass complete to Josh Lifson for 28 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Maurice Burkley 7 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 58 yds , Zach Johnson return for 12 yds to the Kent 19

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 17

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
61%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
64%
28 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
86%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play