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← Back to GamesNov 13, 2021Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 42

Home Win Probability

Alabama 98%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -50.5

Edge: New Mexico State +50.5 (8.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 13, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
30003
AlabamaAlabama
143501059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-314-328-342-349-356-359-3
AlabamaNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALAPUNT518ydPUNT420ydFG1049ydTD271ydPUNT411ydTD786ydPUNT31ydTD34ydPUNT3-6ydTD234ydPUNT516ydTD476ydTO13ydTD622ydPUNT824ydTD892ydEND1-2ydTO636ydPUNT714ydPUNT63ydPUNT36ydTD1180ydPUNT620ydFG1455ydPUNT34ydEND613yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and Alabama
StatisticNew Mexico StateAlabama
Passing19-3130-37
Pass Yards129340
Rush Yards9247
Total Yards138587
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-158-12
Penalties3-154-37
Possession29:2730:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Jonah Johnson
19/30, 129 YDS
rushing
Jonah Johnson
14 CAR, 5 YDS
receiving
Cole Harrity
3 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Bryce Young
21/23, 270 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Brian Robinson Jr.
9 CAR, 99 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jameson Williams
6 REC, 158 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Juwaun Price for 3 yds to the NMxSt 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Andre Bodison for 19 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Justice Powers run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.60

Jonah Johnson sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 33

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 13 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 1 yd to the Alab 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 1 yd to the Alab 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 37 yds, downed at the NMxSt 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Jared Wyatt

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Juwaun Price run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.76

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Cole Harrity for 23 yds to the NMxSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Cole Harrity for 7 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to O'Maury Samuels

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Price, Juwaun rush for no gain to the ALABAMA43, PENALTY ALABAMA face mask (Young, Byron) 15 yards to the ALABAMA28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXST.

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Pj Johnson III for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 30

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jonah Johnson run for 5 yds to the Alab 25

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.27

Jonah Johnson sacked by Henry To'oTo'o for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 32

4th & 14Field Goal Good+50 yds

Ethan Albertson 50 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Jameson Williams 50 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 11 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Juwaun Price run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMxSt 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Terrell Warner for 3 yds to the NMxSt 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Juwaun Price for no gain to the NMxSt 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 50 yds , JoJo Earle returns for no gain to the Alab 14

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 19 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.31

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 26 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 17 yds to the NMxSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Bryce Young run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 2 yds to the NMxSt 12

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Cameron Latu 12 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Juwaun Price run for no gain to the NMxSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Justice Powers

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Jonah Johnson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

4th & 9Blocked Punt+20 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Christian Leary, Jaylen Moody return for 20 yds to the NMxSt 4

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the NMxSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Brian Robinson Jr. 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Justice Powers run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.29

Jonah Johnson sacked by LaBryan Ray for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 19

4th & 16Punt+24 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 39 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 24 yds to the NMxSt 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 2 yds to the NMxSt 32

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.29

Jameson Williams 32 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jonah Johnson run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Terrell Warner for 13 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Jared Wyatt

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

4th & 9Punt+13 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 48 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 13 yds to the Alab 24

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 22

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Bryce Young run for 7 yds to the Alab 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.72

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 8 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Brian Robinson Jr. 63 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.56

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Terrell Warner for 3 yds Terrell Warner fumbled, forced by Christian Harris, recovered by Alab Justin Eboigbe

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 9 yds to the NMxSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 3

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Bryce Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Jameson Williams 7 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.04

Jonah Johnson run for 13 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Andre Bodison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Jonah Johnson run for 11 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Pj Johnson III for 6 yds to the NMxSt 44

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Juwaun Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 43

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.21

Jonah Johnson sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 49 yds , Slade Bolden returns for no gain to the Alab 36 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the Alab 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Roydell Williams run for 11 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 38 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 14 yds to the NMxSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 3 yds to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

Young, Bryce rush for no gain to the NEWMEXST26, PENALTY NEWMEXST holding 10 yards to the NEWMEXST16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 5 yds to the NMxSt 11

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the NMxSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel Billingsley

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jahleel Billingsley 5 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Juwaun Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Alab 23

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 28

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Trey Sanders run for 12 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.28

Trey Sanders run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trey Sanders run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 34

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.56

Bryce Young sacked by Donavan King for a loss of 8 yards to the NMxSt 42 Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Donavan King, recovered by NMxSt Garrett Bishop , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Cole Harrity for no gain to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jonah Johnson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 6 yds to the Alab 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.18

Juwaun Price run for 2 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Terrell Warner

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Jonah Johnson sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 48

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Alex Escobar for 4 yds to the Alab 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Sanders run for 3 yds to the Alab 12

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 10

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Paul Tyson pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 13 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 19

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Paul Tyson pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

3rd & 14Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.11

Paul Tyson pass complete to Christian Leary for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 12

4th & 21Punt+2 yds

James Burnip punt for 39 yds , Lawrence Dixon returns for 2 yds to the Alab 49

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Jonah Johnson sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Pj Johnson III for 7 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete to Terrell Warner

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Paul Tyson pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 8 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Demouy Kennedy run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Demouy Kennedy run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Paul Tyson pass complete to Javon Baker for 5 yds to the NMxSt 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Paul Tyson pass incomplete to Agiye Hall

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Paul Tyson pass complete to Javon Baker for 16 yds to the NMxSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Paul Tyson pass complete to Thaiu Jones-Bell for 8 yds to the NMxSt 5

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.09

Trey Sanders 5 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

2nd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 61 yds, Juwaun Price muffed, Juwaun Price return for 6 yds to the NMxSt 10.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Juwaun Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 9

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jonah Johnson run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Alex Escobar for 8 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Alex Escobar run for no gain to the NMxSt 22

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Jonah Johnson sacked by Drew Sanders for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 15 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jonah Johnson) to the NMxSt 15

3rd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Terrell Warner for 10 yds to the NMxSt 25

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NMxSt 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Robbie Ouzts

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.40

Jalen Milroe run for 15 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 44

2nd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.91

Jalen Milroe sacked by Lezeric Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 48

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +3.04

Jalen Milroe run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian Leary run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 37

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Christian Leary run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Christian Leary run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Thaiu Jones-Bell for 8 yds to the NMxSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 9 yds to the NMxSt 1 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Thaiu Jones-Bell) to the NMxSt 11

1st & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the NMxSt 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jack Martin 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Weston Eget run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

O'Maury Samuels run for no gain to the NMxSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Weston Eget pass incomplete to O'Maury Samuels

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Demouy Kennedy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 28

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Demouy Kennedy run for 1 yd to the Alab 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.19

Braxton Barker pass complete to Agiye Hall for 10 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Demouy Kennedy run for no gain to the Alab 39

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Demouy Kennedy run for 2 yds to the Alab 41

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Demouy Kennedy run for 1 yd to the Alab 42

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
13%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
61%
36 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
63%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th