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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2021Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina by 0.7

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 52%

Market (consensus)

South Carolina -6.5

Edge: Troy +6.5 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
077014
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
3143323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-717-717-1420-1423-14
South CarolinaTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCTROSCTROSCTROSCTROTROTROSCTROSCTROTROTROSCTROSCTROFG1570ydPUNT30ydDOWNS833ydTD867ydPUNT620ydPUNT626ydTD1077ydTD942ydEND12ydTD875ydPUNT436ydPUNT736ydFG4-7ydPUNT727ydTO3-19ydPUNT513ydTO528ydTO312ydFG1253ydEND529yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and South Carolina
StatisticTroySouth Carolina
Passing22-3820-34
Pass Yards163255
Rush Yards145101
Total Yards308356
Turnovers43
3rd Down8-154-13
Penalties2-1610-93
Possession29:2230:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Taylor Powell
22/38, 163 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
B.J. Smith
19 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tez Johnson
6 REC, 49 YDS
defense
South Carolina
passing
Luke Doty
20/34, 255 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Josh Vann
2 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Kevin Harris
2 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Doty,Luke pass incomplete to Muse,Nick PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Douglas,Eric) 12 yards from USC25 to USC13. NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

2nd & 22Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the SCaro 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 12 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 24 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 12 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for no gain to the Troy 29

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the Troy 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Troy 20

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.75

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 15 yds to the Troy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Luke Doty run for 1 yd to the Troy 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh Vann

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Doty pass incomplete to OrTre Smith

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Parker White 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Luke Whittemore

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for no gain to the Troy 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for no gain to the SCaro 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 15 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick Muse

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TRO49 to USC46. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

McDowell,Juju rush for 0 yards to the USC46 (Anthony,Jordan) PENALTY USC Holding (Legette,Xavier) 10 yards from USC46 to USC36. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.99

Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 26 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Doty pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 2 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Luke Doty pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 7 yds to the Troy 33

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the Troy 33

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.19

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.65

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the SCaro 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.77

Taylor Powell sacked by Zacch Pickens for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 42

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.34

B.J. Smith run for 35 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brooks Buce kickoff for 63 yds , Juju McDowell return for 28 yds to the SCaro 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 6 yds to the SCaro 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Kevin Harris

3rd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.41

Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 30 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Luke Doty sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 38

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Troy 35

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Doty,Luke pass complete to Harris,Kevin for 3 yards to the TRO32 (Pettus,Dell) PENALTY USC Holding (Moore,Jakai) 10 yards from TRO35 to TRO45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Moore,Jakai) 5 yards from TRO45 to TRO50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 16 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jamontez Woods run for 6 yds to the Troy 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Orlando Lacey

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 13 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TRO Offside (Griffin,Elgin) 5 yards from USC34 to USC39. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Juju McDowell

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.56

Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 28 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Troy 30

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Luke Doty run for 6 yds to the Troy 24

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Troy 16

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.72

Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 16 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 26

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Powell,Taylor pass complete to Todd,Reggie for 8 yards to the TRO35 (Dial,Marcellas) PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Dial,Marcellas) 15 yards from TRO27 to TRO42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.07

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 13 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Reggie Todd run for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 22

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Powell,Taylor pass incomplete to Johnson,Tez QB hurried by Enagbare,Kingsley PENALTY TRO Holding (Lewis,Deyunkrea) 11 yard from USC22 to USC33. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Interception Return Touchdown+74 ydsPPA -9.45

David Spaulding 74 Yd Interception Return (Parker White Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Mitch Jeter kickoff for 60 yds , Markeis Colvin return for 24 yds to the Troy 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Alex Herrera kickoff for 64 yds , Markeis Colvin return for 24 yds to the Troy 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 10 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Powell,Taylor pass incomplete to Brown,Demontrez PENALTY USC Roughing The Passer (Pickens,Zacch) 15 yards from TRO45 to USC40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Jamontez Woods run for 13 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamontez Woods run for 3 yds to the SCaro 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.23

Taylor Powell pass complete to AJ Lewis for 22 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Targeting ( Yards) to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Josh Vann run for 34 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Kevin Harris

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Troy 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Luke Doty pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.76

B.J. Smith run for 21 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.81

Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 10 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jabre Barber

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taylor Powell pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 4 yds to the Troy 38

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt blocked by Jahmar Brown, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 23 blocked by Jahmar Brown

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the Troy 23

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.84

Luke Doty sacked by Javon Solomon for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 30

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Luke Doty pass incomplete to MarShawn Lloyd

4th & 17Field Goal Good+48 yds

Parker White 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Mitch Jeter kickoff for 62 yds , Jamontez Woods return for 14 yds to the Troy 17

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Jamontez Woods run for 12 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie Todd pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.22

Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 10 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jamontez Woods run for 6 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.77

Taylor Powell pass complete to DK Billingsley for 5 yds to the Troy 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Taylor Powell pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 2 yds to the SCaro 17

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 18

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-20 ydsPPA -3.77

Taylor Powell sacked by Jaylan Foster for a loss of 20 yards to the Troy 20 Jahmar Brown fumbled, recovered by Troy , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

B.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jabre Barber

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jabre Barber

4th & 7Punt+16 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 61 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 16 yds to the SCaro 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.12

Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 19 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Josh Vann run for 18 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 3 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.59

Luke Doty sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 11 yards to the SCaro 40 Luke Doty fumbled, recovered by Troy Richard Jibunor , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jamontez Woods run for no gain to the SCaro 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 4 yds to the SCaro 36

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds Reggie Todd fumbled, forced by Jaylan Foster, recovered by SCaro Zacch Pickens

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 12 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 2 yds to the SCaro 42

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the Troy 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Troy 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 9 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Troy 19

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the Troy 22

3rd & 14Penalty-10 yds

McDowell,Juju rush for 4 yards loss to the TRO26 (Williams,Zion) PENALTY USC Illegal Block in Back (Brooks,Jalen) 10 yards from TRO22 to TRO32. NO PLAY.

3rd & 24Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Juju McDowell run for 13 yds to the Troy 19

4th & 11Field Goal Good+37 yds

Parker White 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 5 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 4 yds to the Troy 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 1 yd to the Troy 38

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.61

Jabre Barber run for 16 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
80%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play