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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 11.4

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 72%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -33.5

Edge: Chattanooga +33.5 (22.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Chattanooga
7331023
KentuckyKentucky
7701428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-714-1014-1321-1628-23
KentuckyChattanooga

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENCHAKENCHAKENCHAKENCHAKENCHAKENCHAKENCHACHAKENCHAKENCHAKENCHACHAKENTD970ydTD675ydPUNT827ydPUNT33ydTD768ydPUNT3-4ydTO3-6ydFG45ydPUNT38ydPUNT33ydTO68ydPUNT38ydPUNT639ydEND11ydFG1049ydPUNT517ydPUNT726ydTO634ydFG753ydTD777ydTD540ydTD1475ydEND2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Chattanooga and Kentucky
StatisticChattanoogaKentucky
Passing21-3523-35
Pass Yards168254
Rush Yards171102
Total Yards339356
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-155-11
Penalties5-408-60
Possession31:4228:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Chattanooga
passing
Cole Copeland
21/35, 168 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ailym Ford
21 CAR, 128 YDS
receiving
Reginald Henderson
9 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
23/35, 254 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
13 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Wan'Dale Robinson
8 REC, 111 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Kent 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 18 yds to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Michael Drennen II run for 1 yd to the Chatt 44

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UKY False Start (Magwood,Chauncey) 5 yards from CHA44 to CHA49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Chatt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.53

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 8 yds to the Chatt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Kavosiey Smoke run for 11 yds to the Chatt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the Chatt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Josh Ali run for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the Chatt 34

3rd & 1Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.51

Ailym Ford run for 48 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyrell Price run for 9 yds to the Kent 9

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyrell Price run for 3 yds to the Kent 12

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.82

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 12 yds for a TD (Aaron Sears KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 6 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.54

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.32

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 10 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UKY False Start (Cox,Eli) 5 yards from UKY48 to UKY43. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brandon Dowdell at the Chatt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Cole Copeland pass complete to Ailym Ford for 1 yd to the Chatt 18

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 1Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.88

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Austin Dotson) to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.04

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 39 yds to the Chatt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 20 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the Chatt 41

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CHA False Start (Bethea,Brock) 5 yards from CHA41 to CHA36. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CHA False Start (Summers,Tyrin) 5 yards from CHA36 to CHA31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

4th & 14Punt+55 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENTUCKY 24 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trevin Wallace) to the Kent 14

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UKY False Start (Bates,Brenden) 5 yards from UKY14 to UKY09. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 8

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

3rd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA +0.36

Will Levis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Kent 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 7 yds to the Kent 12

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Kent 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Aaron Sears 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Will Levis pass complete to Mike Drennen for 8 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 3 yds to the Chatt 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Kanore McKinnon

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 41 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Chatt 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh Ali

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 11 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 4 yds to the Chatt 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 1 yd to the Chatt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Will Levis pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Will Levis sacked by Ty Boeck for a loss of 8 yards to the Chatt 38 Will Levis fumbled, recovered by Chatt Jay Person , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Copeland pass complete to Tyler Smith for 2 yds to the Chatt 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 6 yds to the Chatt 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 8 yds to the Kent 11

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyrell Price run for 1 yd to the Chatt 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 6 yds to the Chatt 31

2nd & 4Penalty+10 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Chatt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.32

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.00

Cole Copeland pass complete to Ailym Ford for 8 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Ailym Ford run for 12 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Cole Copeland pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 6 yds to the Kent 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Tyrell Price

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Copeland,Cole pass incomplete to Henderson,Reginald broken up by Corker,Yusuf PENALTY UKY Illegal Substitution 5 yards from CHA42 to CHA47. NO PLAY.

4th & 4Field Goal Good+43 yds

Aaron Sears 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to KeShawn Toney

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Chatt 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Cole Copeland pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 4 yds to the Chatt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Ailym Ford run for 10 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cole Copeland pass complete to Ailym Ford for 6 yds to the Chatt 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to KeShawn Toney

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 14

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 4 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 2 yds to the Kent 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.57

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 23 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Will Levis pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 7 yds to the Chatt 41

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Ailym Ford run for 14 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CHA False Start (Truett,Colin) 5 yards from UKY45 to UKY50. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.96

Tyrell Price run for 33 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Chris James

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY UKY Offside (McCall,Marquan) 5 yards from UKY17 to UKY12. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Kent 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 yds

Aaron Sears 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 6 yds to the Kent 31

3rd & 2Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.72

Will Levis run for 21 yds to the Chatt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Chatt 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh Ali

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Levis,Will pass incomplete to Robinson,Wan'Dale PENALTY CHA Pass Interference (Lowery III,Rueben) 15 yards from CHA47 to CHA32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Chatt 31

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.33

Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 31 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the Chatt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Cole Copeland pass complete to Chris James for 10 yds to the Chatt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.66

Cole Copeland pass complete to Kanore McKinnon for 25 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Copeland,Cole rush for 2 yards gain to the UKY31, out of bounds PENALTY CHA Holding (Truett,Colin) 10 yards from UKY33 to UKY43. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 8 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -3.13

Cole Copeland pass intercepted for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyrell Price run for no gain to the Chatt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cole Copeland pass complete to Chris James for 6 yds to the Chatt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Cole Copeland pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyrell Price run for 1 yd to the Chatt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.06

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 12 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Cole Copeland pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 14 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Copeland pass complete to Chris James for 5 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Kent 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Cole Copeland pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 11 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Kent 14

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Rush+1 yds

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Kent 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Cole Copeland run for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Sears KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 42

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

run for no gain to the Kent 42

Situational Analysis

Chattanooga

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play