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← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 0.1

Home Win Probability

Louisville 54%

Market (consensus)

Louisville -2.5

Edge: Wake Forest +2.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wake ForestWake Forest
733821
LouisvilleLouisville
02171745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1028-1028-1335-2138-2145-21
LouisvilleWake Forest

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOULOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFPUNT935ydDOWNS44ydTD424ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT31ydPUNT518ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT522ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT513ydTD880ydFG943ydTD275ydTO619ydTD537ydPUNT30ydEND1-1ydTD1275ydFG862ydDOWNS765ydTD890ydTD1180ydTO00ydFG4-2ydDOWNS712ydTD325ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wake Forest and Louisville
StatisticWake ForestLouisville
Passing17-4117-23
Pass Yards224199
Rush Yards127254
Total Yards351453
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-187-14
Penalties5-397-32
Possession23:0436:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wake Forest
passing
Sam Hartman
17/41, 224 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Christian Beal-Smith
14 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Jaquarii Roberson
9 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
16/22, 195 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jalen Mitchell
20 CAR, 168 YDS
receiving
Dez Fitzpatrick
6 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 25

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 8 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Christian Beal-Smith run for 7 yds to the WFrst 43

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.69

Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.58

Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 13 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 20

1st & 10Rush-18 ydsPPA -1.01

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 18 yards to the Lvile 2

2nd & 28Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.04

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Francis Sherman for 11 yds to the Lvile 13

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Malik Cunningham run for 13 yds to the Lvile 26

4th & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA +0.15

Ryan Harwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 11 yds to the Lvile 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 11

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 10

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.94

Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) LOUISVILLE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the Lvile 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Malik Cunningham sacked by Miles Fox for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Harwell punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 1 yd to the WFrst 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.05

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 15 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Harwell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 4 yds to the WFrst 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii Roberson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 4 yds to the WFrst 20

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Darius Jones

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 40

3rd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Cunningham sacked by Ja'Cquez Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 30

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Ryan Harwell punt for 58 yds, downed at the WFrst 12

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Justice Ellison run for 8 yds to the WFrst 20

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 15

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.37

Justice Ellison run for 17 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.71

Sam Hartman sacked by Tabarius Peterson for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrst 34 Sam Hartman fumbled, , return for 0 yards

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin, broken up by Monty Montgomery

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 66 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 15

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 10

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Harwell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Hartman pass incomplete, broken up by Marlon Character

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Hassan Hall run for 14 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 40

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 35

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 10 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.70

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 27 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.85

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 28 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 18 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Christian Beal-Smith run for 14 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Nick Sciba 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+70 ydsPPA +4.19

Jalen Mitchell run for 70 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Justice Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 27

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the WFrst 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 6 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii Roberson, broken up by Dorian Etheridge

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 7 yds to the WFrst 49

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -1.84

Sam Hartman pass intercepted Russ Yeast return for 21 yds to the WFrst 37

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 39

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the WFrst 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.34

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 29 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the WFrst 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 16

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jalen Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Malik Cunningham run for 15 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Jalen Mitchell run for 8 yds to the WFrst 45

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jalen Mitchell run for 8 yds to the WFrst 34

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 7 yds to the WFrst 22

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 6 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds to the WFrst 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Francis Sherman for 4 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii Roberson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.97

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 44 yds to the LOUISVILLE 15 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 20

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Sam Hartman run for no gain to the Lvile 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Brandon Chapman

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the Lvile 13

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Nick Sciba 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

3rd & 1Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.50

Jalen Mitchell run for 47 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 5 yds to the WFrst 14

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 18

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the WFrst 14

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -3.62

Ryan Harwell pass complete to Francis Sherman for 4 yds to the WFrst 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 14

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the WFrst 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 7 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.67

Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 31 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the Lvile 36

3rd & 1Penalty-4 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Lvile 40

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.80

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 37 yds for a TD S Hartman kick attempt failed, PENALTY LOU holding (Hayes, I.) 2 yards to the LOU1, NO PLAY. (Sam Hartman pass to Jaquarii Roberson for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 28

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 30

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Cunningham, M. deep pass incomplete to Fitzpatrick, D., PENALTY WF pass interference (C Carson) 15 yards to the LOU45, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Malik Cunningham run for 16 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Hassan Hall run for no gain to the WFrst 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 13 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Jordan Watkins run for 23 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Braden Smith, broken up by Ja'Sir Taylor

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Francis Sherman) to the WFrst 26

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the WFrst 25

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the WFrst 23

4th & 12Field Goal Good+40 yds

James Turner 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 9 yds to the WFrst 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.61

Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin, broken up by Marlon Character

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for no gain to the WFrst 25

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii Roberson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 23

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 22

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.34

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Ahmani Marshall run for 8 yds to the WFrst 45

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the WFrst 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 45

Situational Analysis

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
47%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
46%
24 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays