Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 5, 2020Week 14
TulsaTulsa
19
-Final
6
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulsa by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Navy 28%

Market (consensus)

Navy +12

Edge: Navy +12 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 5, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulsaTulsa
067619
NavyNavy
03306

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-66-66-166-19
NavyTulsa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULDOWNS625ydPUNT33ydPUNT826ydPUNT3-5ydTO1-12ydPUNT3-17ydPUNT725ydPUNT39ydFG714ydPUNT610ydPUNT712ydTO15ydFG617ydFG1357ydFG1460ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-2ydTD363ydPUNT3-8ydFG1152ydPUNT1030ydFG1055ydDOWNS47ydUncategorized3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulsa and Navy
StatisticTulsaNavy
Passing10-254-11
Pass Yards16827
Rush Yards128126
Total Yards296153
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-176-17
Penalties6-606-46
Possession27:4032:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulsa
passing
Zach Smith
10/25, 168 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Corey Taylor II
19 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Josh Johnson
3 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Xavier Arline
4/8, 27 YDS
rushing
Xavier Arline
27 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Mark Walker
3 REC, 29 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 40

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Corey Taylor II run for 13 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 5 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Navy 38

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.25

T.K. Wilkerson run for no gain to the Navy 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the Navy 38

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 41

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Ben Fee punt for 39 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 7 yds to the Tulsa 48 TULSA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Tulsa 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

T.K. Wilkerson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 21

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.68

T.K. Wilkerson run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

T.K. Wilkerson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

T.K. Wilkerson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.56

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 5 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 8 yds to the Tulsa 46

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.42

T.K. Wilkerson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 43

4th & 5Punt-3 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 39 yds , Mark Walker returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 40 NAVY Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Navy 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Xavier Arline pass incomplete to Mark Walker

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Navy 9

3rd & 9Penalty-4 yds

NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Justin Self) to the Navy 5

3rd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.04

Xavier Arline pass complete to Jamale Carothers for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 3

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 35

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.03

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Navy 47 Corey Taylor II fumbled, forced by Diego Fagot, recovered by Navy Diego Fagot

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 48

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 47

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 47

3rd & 10Sack-17 ydsPPA -1.17

Xavier Arline sacked by Grant Sawyer for a loss of 17 yards to the Navy 30

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Zach Smith pass incomplete to James Palmer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

4th & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.27

Lachlan Wilson run for 22 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Michael McMorris

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 39 yds , Chance Warren returns for 1 yd to the Navy 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 13

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 17

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 20

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 25 yds, downed at the Navy 45

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, Z. pass complete to CRAWFORD JR, S. for 45 yards to the NAVY0, clock 14:05, PENALTY TLS holding (COUCH, D.) 10 yards to the TLS45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

T.K. Wilkerson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 49

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.63

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 17 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.

4th & 7Field Goal Good+48 yds

Zack Long 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Chance Warren run for 2 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Myles Fells run for 6 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 33

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Xavier Arline pass incomplete to Devin Mathews

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 11 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Taylor II run for 6 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.09

TEAM run for no gain to the Tulsa 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Corey Taylor II

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.61

Myles Fells run for 5 yds to the Navy 25 Myles Fells fumbled, forced by Anthony Goodlow, recovered by Tulsa Zaven Collins

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Navy 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Keylon Stokes run for 3 yds to the Navy 8

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

4th & 3Field Goal Good+25 yds

Zack Long 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Carlinos Acie run for 4 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Xavier Arline run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 34

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Xavier Arline pass complete to Mark Walker for 5 yds to the Tulsa 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Xavier Arline pass complete to Mark Walker for 14 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.69

Xavier Arline sacked by Justin Wright for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 17

2nd & 16Field Goal Good+34 yds

Bijan Nichols 34 yd FG GOOD TULSA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Xavier Arline run for 11 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chance Warren run for 3 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.10

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WARREN, Chance rush for 5 yards to the TLS42 (WRIGHT, J.), PENALTY TLS offside (PLAYER, J.) 5 yards to the TLS42, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 39

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Chance Warren run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 27

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Chance Warren run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 21

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 16

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 yds

Bijan Nichols 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 5 yds to the Tulsa 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Zach Smith run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mark Walker at the Navy 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.48

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 35

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the Navy 35

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 3 yds to the Tulsa 39

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, false start (Dante Bivens) to the Tulsa 34

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +7.02

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 66 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Chance Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 41

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Billy Honaker) to the Navy 36

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

3rd & 17Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Xavier Arline sacked by Jaxon Player for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 35

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 11 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 40

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Corey Taylor II run for 12 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Christian Lovick run for 10 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Keylon Stokes run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Christian Lovick run for 6 yds to the Navy 20

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Terrell Adams

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 yds

Zack Long 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Xavier Arline run for 15 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Xavier Arline run for 7 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 47

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.51

Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Xavier Arline pass incomplete to Jamale Carothers

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Xavier Arline pass complete to Mark Walker for 10 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 43

2nd & 14Penalty-10 yds

ARLINE, Xavier pass incomplete to WARREN, Chance, PENALTY NAVY holding (FRANKLAND, Kip) 10 yards to the NAVY47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 24Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 46

3rd & 25Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Xavier Arline run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 45

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 19 yds, downed at the Tulsa 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian Lovick run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Christian Lovick run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Christian Lovick run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.82

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 37 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the Navy 22

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Christian Lovick run for 3 yds to the Navy 19 TULSA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Field Goal Good+36 yds

Zack Long 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORRIS, Dalen pass incomplete to HIGH, Devon (WILLIAMS, C.), PENALTY TLS pass interference (WILLIAMS, C.) 15 yards to the NAVY38, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Chance Warren

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.12

Dalen Morris sacked by Treyvon Reeves for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 32

3rd & 16Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dalen Morris sacked by Jaxon Player for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 30

4th & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.33

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Mark Walker, broken up by Allie Green IV

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 31

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 32

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 33

Situational Analysis

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
23%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play