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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2020Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 3.4

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 39%

Market (consensus)

South Alabama +4

Edge: South Alabama +4 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 5, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
3240229
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-100-170-240-270-29
South AlabamaTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSASATROSATROSATROSATROSATROTO723ydPUNT33ydFG1356ydPUNT1226ydTD1089ydTO43ydTD328ydTO638ydTD868ydDOWNS921ydFG429ydEND110ydDOWNS748ydDOWNS1555ydDOWNS1055ydPUNT39ydPUNT34ydMISS942ydSAF3-7ydDOWNS619ydDOWNS938ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and South Alabama
StatisticTroySouth Alabama
Passing34-4221-37
Pass Yards297182
Rush Yards11757
Total Yards414239
Turnovers12
3rd Down10-155-15
Penalties1-101-10
Possession31:4728:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
34/41, 297 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Kimani Vidal
22 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Tray Eafford
4 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense
South Alabama
passing
Desmond Trotter
15/28, 144 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Caullin Lacy
4 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
5 REC, 92 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 2 yds to the Troy 26

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Gunnar Watson run for 9 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tray Eafford for 5 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 43

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

Vidal, Kimani rush for 2 yards to the TROY45 (Johnson, Kelvin), PENALTY USA offside defense off-setting, PENALTY TROY holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.99

Tez Johnson pass intercepted Dewayne Betts Jr. return for no gain to the SAlab 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Caullin Lacy run for 2 yds to the SAlab 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Khalil McClain for 9 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 6 yds to the SAlab 36

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Khalil McClain for 9 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamontez Woods run for 5 yds to the SAlab 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Khalil McClain

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 2 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Riley Cole) to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kimani Vidal run for 8 yds to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Evan Legassey 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Caullin Lacy run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jared Wilson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Trent Tyre

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Caullin Lacy run for 7 yds to the Troy 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 48

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 13Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.98

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 49

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds to the Troy 19

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.47

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 11 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jamontez Woods run for 3 yds to the Troy 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 5 yds to the Troy 38

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 6 yds to the SAlab 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.46

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tray Eafford for 26 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 8 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Khalil McClain for 15 yds for a TD (Evan Legassey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Desmond Trotter sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 28 Desmond Trotter fumbled, recovered by Troy Antonio Showers , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jamontez Woods

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 13 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 15 yds for a TD (Evan Legassey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 12 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 21 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the Troy 41

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the Troy 40

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the Troy 37

4th & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.80

Desmond Trotter pass intercepted TJ Harris return for no gain to the Troy 32

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jamontez Woods run for 13 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 9 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.01

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 9 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Kimani Vidal, broken up by Gi'Narious Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 5 yds to the SAlab 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the SAlab 21

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tray Eafford for 21 yds for a TD (Evan Legassey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 12 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Desmond Trotter sacked by TJ Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 4 yds to the Troy 46

4th & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.73

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 9 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 1 yd to the Troy 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Reddy Steward

4th & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.42

Desmond Trotter sacked by Javon Solomon and Will Choloh for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 12 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Bret Clark for 11 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 6 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 4Field Goal Good+44 yds

Evan Legassey 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jared Wilson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.80

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 33 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne, broken up by KJ Robertson

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Jared Wilson run for 10 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.09

Desmond Trotter sacked by Will Choloh for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 42

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cameron Hatcher-Owens for 6 yds to the Troy 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cameron Hatcher-Owens for 6 yds to the Troy 30

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.48

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jared Wilson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Kimani Vidal run for 9 yds to the SAlab 49

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Watson, Gunnar pass incomplete to Whittemore, L., PENALTY TROY holding (Stidham, Austin) 10 yards to the TROY41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Kimani Vidal

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.97

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamontez Woods run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 8 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Gunnar Watson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 30

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.58

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 7 yds to the SAlab 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the SAlab 15

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.87

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the SAlab 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 14 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the SAlab 37

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Desmond Trotter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.51

Caullin Lacy run for 21 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jared Wilson run for no gain to the Troy 37

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the Troy 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 6 yds to the Troy 30

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Carlos Davis

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 9 yds to the Troy 39

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.62

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 44 yds, downed at the SAlab 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 11 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Kimani Vidal run for 14 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the SAlab 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.81

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tray Eafford for 15 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Gunnar Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Bret Clark for 6 yds to the SAlab 15

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Gunnar Watson sacked by Wy'Kevious Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 16

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal+33 yds

Evan Legassey 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Devin Rockette

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy, broken up by Justin Whisenhunt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Devin Voisin

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.16

Desmond Trotter sacked by Richard Jibunor and Luis Medina for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 11

4th & 17Blocked Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt blocked by Kaylon Geiger for a SAFETY blocked by Kaylon Geiger for a SAFETY for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jamontez Woods run for 7 yds to the SAlab 38

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Jamontez Woods run for 3 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the SAlab 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.48

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the SAlab 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Eli Gainey pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 11 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Eli Gainey pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 5 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Eli Gainey pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 13 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eli Gainey pass complete to Jared Wilson for 5 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Eli Gainey pass complete to Jared Wilson for 11 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Eli Gainey pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by George Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.18

Eli Gainey pass complete to Jared Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 36

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Eli Gainey pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Eli Gainey pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Zion Williams

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 34

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 32

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
33 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
31%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play