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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2020Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 3

Home Win Probability

Virginia 51%

Market (consensus)

Virginia -6

Edge: Louisville +6 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 14, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
377017
VirginiaVirginia
7771031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-1021-1024-1731-17
VirginiaLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRLOULOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOULOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUPUNT31ydTD1254ydFG654ydTO980ydPUNT549ydTO324ydTD459ydTD967ydPUNT721ydPUNT36ydEND426ydDOWNS523ydTD548ydPUNT33ydPUNT37ydTD588ydFG1669ydTO336ydTD865ydTO114ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS532ydPUNT32ydEND15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Virginia
StatisticLouisvilleVirginia
Passing13-2115-23
Pass Yards161203
Rush Yards317165
Total Yards478368
Turnovers32
3rd Down5-136-13
Penalties7-643-25
Possession29:2830:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
13/21, 161 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Malik Cunningham
20 CAR, 197 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dez Fitzpatrick
5 REC, 71 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Brennan Armstrong
15/23, 203 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brennan Armstrong
15 CAR, 60 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Lavel Davis
4 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Billy Kemp IV run for 1 yd to the Virg 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the Virg 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Maurice Burkley run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Maurice Burkley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 14 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Maurice Burkley run for 5 yds to the Virg 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 5 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Malik Cunningham run for 15 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Maurice Burkley run for 3 yds to the Virg 10

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.83

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 16

3rd & 13Interception Return Touchdown+85 ydsPPA -10.54

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted for a TD Noah Taylor return for 85 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +4.10

Jalen Mitchell run for 50 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.66

Malik Cunningham sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 41

3rd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the Virg 30

4th & 6Field Goal Good+48 yds

James Turner 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Shane Simpson run for 2 yds to the Virg 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Shane Simpson run for 6 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Shane Simpson run for 8 yds to the Virg 48

2nd & 2Penalty+10 yds

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ra'Shaun Henry, PENALTY LOU holding (Clark, K.) 10 yards to the LOU42, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV, broken up by Kei'Trel Clark

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.57

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 21 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -4.37

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 20 yds Tony Poljan fumbled, forced by Marlon Character, recovered by Lvile Jack Fagot

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Maurice Burkley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 4

2nd & 9Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.41

Malik Cunningham run for 47 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 1 yd to the Virg 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Maurice Burkley

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 16

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Wayne Taulapapa run for 14 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Brennan Armstrong run for 10 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -2.24

Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Marlon Character return for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 41

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.00

Malik Cunningham run for 36 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the Virg 23

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Virg 19

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.14

Malik Cunningham run for 19 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 20 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr., broken up by Kei'Trel Clark

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 7 yds to the Lvile 40

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.06

Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shane Simpson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 11 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Lvile 20

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Shane Simpson run for 12 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Maurice Burkley run for 5 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 29

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Malik Cunningham run for 15 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 14 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

Burkley, M. rush for 1 yard to the VA41 (Nick Jackson;Nick Grant), PENALTY LOU holding (Brown, R.) 9 yards to the LOU49, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 9 yds to the Virg 41

3rd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.19

Malik Cunningham sacked by Charles Snowden for a loss of 13 yards to the Lvile 46

4th & 22Punt+4 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 4 yds to the Virg 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Virg 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Virg 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 40 yds, downed at the Lvile 41

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Malik Cunningham sacked by Zane Zandier for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 48

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Braden Smith

3rd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.22

Jalen Mitchell run for 15 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Maurice Burkley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Maurice Burkley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 44

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 47

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Maurice Burkley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Shane Simpson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Lvile 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.40

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 33 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Shane Simpson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 30

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Cunningham sacked by Mandy Alonso for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 32 yds, downed at the Virg 40

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the Virg 46

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Shane Simpson run for 1 yd to the Virg 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 14 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Malik Cunningham run for 14 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Maurice Burkley run for 13 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Burkley, M. rush for 2 yards to the VA45 (Nick Jackson), PENALTY VA illegal participation 5 yards to the VA42, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive offside (Cameron DeGeorge) to the Virg 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.68

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 46 yds to the Virg 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant Misch

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.28

Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Monty Montgomery) to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Shane Simpson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Shane Simpson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the Lvile 44

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Lvile 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 6 yds to the Lvile 36

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive offside (Dayna Kinnaird) to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Dayna Kinnaird for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 34

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Shane Simpson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.40

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 24 yds to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lavel Davis Jr.) to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Demick Starling for 6 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant Misch

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shane Simpson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 7

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Lvile 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

Brian Delaney 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Renato Brown) to the Lvile 24

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Maurice Burkley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds to the Lvile 38

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+27 ydsPPA -1.19

Malik Cunningham run for 27 yds to the Virg 35 Malik Cunningham fumbled, forced by Nick Grant, recovered by Virg Nick Grant

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Virg 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling

3rd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.79

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 29 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 10 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Lvile 8

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Shane Simpson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 9

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Brennan Armstrong run for 9 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.92

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds Dez Fitzpatrick fumbled, forced by Zane Zandier, recovered by Virg Antonio Clary

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 9 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Billy Kemp IV run for 2 yds to the Lvile 30

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.97

Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Lvile 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 24 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Maurice Burkley for 5 yds to the Virg 41

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Maurice Burkley run for no gain to the Virg 41

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Virg 38

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.10

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Virg 43

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Virg 45

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 5 yds to the Lvile 20

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play