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← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
AkronAkron
7
-Final
56
BuffaloBuffalo
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 37.2

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 97%

Market (consensus)

Buffalo -33

Edge: Buffalo -33 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AkronAkron
00077
BuffaloBuffalo
142114756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-035-042-049-056-7
BuffaloAkron

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AKRBUFAKRAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFAKRBUFPUNT32ydTD1146ydTD957ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydPUNT35ydTD554ydDOWNS621ydTD449ydPUNT3-2ydTD253ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT625ydEND13ydTD484ydPUNT622ydTD1293ydPUNT38ydPUNT514ydPUNT3-6ydTO34ydTD858ydTD475ydTO746ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Akron and Buffalo
StatisticAkronBuffalo
Passing12-276-10
Pass Yards11279
Rush Yards92428
Total Yards204507
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-155-11
Penalties4-498-62
Possession28:1831:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Akron
passing
Zach Gibson
6/13, 59 YDS
rushing
Jeremiah Knight
13 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Nate Stewart
5 REC, 39 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Kyle Vantrease
4/7, 68 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kevin Marks
15 CAR, 182 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Trevor Wilson
3 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the Akron 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Teon Dollard

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Gibson sacked by Eddie Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 27

4th & 8Punt+14 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 33 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 14 yds to the Akron 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Akron 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jovany Ruiz for 4 yds to the Akron 41

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.64

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jovany Ruiz for 7 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Akron 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 5 yds to the Akron 28

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Akron 11

2nd & 2Penalty+9 yds

[PSTL], VANTREASE, Kyle pass incomplete to NUNN, Antonio (WATTS, A.J.), PENALTY AKRON pass interference (WATTS, A.J.) 9 yards to the AKRON2, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Akron 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Akron 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 15 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.56

Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 26 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Teon Dollard run for 12 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael Mathison, broken up by Tyrone Hill

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr., broken up by E.J. Brown

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+63 yds

Cory Smigel 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tyrone Hill Tyrone Hill return for 63 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Teon Dollard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 26

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Teon Dollard run for 5 yds to the Akron 31

4th & 4Punt+7 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 38 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 7 yds to the Buff 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jovany Ruiz

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 50 yds, downed at the Akron 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Gibson pass complete to Shawn Naim for 3 yds to the Akron 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 2 yds to the Akron 17

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 46 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 9 yds to the Buff 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Akron 49

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (FUZAK, Jake) 5 yards to the UB46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Akron 45

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Jaret Patterson run for 17 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 3 yds to the Akron 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.53

Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 10 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the Akron 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jeremiah Knight run for 1 yd to the Akron 49

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Akron 49

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.34

Jaret Patterson run for 40 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Akron 9

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Akron 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Shawn Naim, broken up by Aapri Washington

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Gibson sacked by George Wolo and Max Michel for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 23

4th & 12Punt+9 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 39 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 9 yds to the Buff 47

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.43

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 30 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Shawn Naim

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.56

Zach Gibson sacked by George Wolo and Max Michel for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 41

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 9 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 12 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 40 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (Bernard Porter) to the Buff 30

1st & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 40

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jeremiah Knight run for 3 yds to the Akron 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 13 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[PSTL], PENALTY UB false start (KLENK, Jack) 5 yards to the UB24, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.09

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 18 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.17

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 52 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the Akron 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Akron 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

T.J. DeShields pass complete to Nate Stewart for 9 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jonzell Norrils run for 5 yds to the Akron 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

T.J. DeShields pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 7 , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard line BUFFALO Penalty, illegal block (Isaiah King) to the Buff 7

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 13

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Ron Cook Jr. run for 17 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the Buff 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Matt Myers pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 4 yds to the Buff 38

4th & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.30

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 18 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.69

Ron Cook Jr. run for 18 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[PSTL], MYERS, Matt pass complete to PORTER, Bernard for 13 yards to the AKRON13 (RICHARDSON, Jul), PENALTY UB ineligible downfield on pass (BURNISTON, Cole) 5 yards to the AKRON31, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 29

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 21

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 7 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Ron Cook Jr. run for 10 yds to the Akron 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Matt Myers run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

T.J. DeShields pass incomplete to Nate Stewart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

T.J. DeShields pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

T.J. DeShields pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 8 yds to the Akron 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 24

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 25

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

[PSTL], MYERS, Matt rush for 58 yards to the AKRON0, clock 13:45, PENALTY UB holding (ZIKUSKI, Nick) 10 yards to the UB32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Caron Robinson run for 1 yd to the Buff 33

3rd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Myers pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 7 yds to the Buff 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 32 yds, downed at the Akron 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

T.J. DeShields pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 30

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.43

T.J. DeShields sacked by Kyler Laing for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 22

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the Buff 37

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Caron Robinson run for 4 yds to the Buff 41

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.76

Trevor Bycznski pass intercepted A.J. Watts return for no gain to the Akron 42

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SGUN], DESHIELDS, T.J. pass incomplete to GRIMES, Tony, PENALTY AKRON holding (MURPHY, Owen) 10 yards to the AKRON32, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

T.J. DeShields pass incomplete to Shawn Naim

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

T.J. DeShields pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Jonzell Norrils run for 9 yds to the Akron 41

4th & 11Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Kevin Marks Jr.) to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.79

T.J. DeShields pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 24 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

T.J. DeShields pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jonzell Norrils run for no gain to the Buff 20

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Jeremiah Knight run for 9 yds to the Buff 11

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.00

Jonzell Norrils run for 11 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caron Robinson run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

2nd & 6Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.78

Caron Robinson run for 27 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Caron Robinson run for no gain to the Akron 44

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.38

Tajay Ahmed run for 44 yds for a TD (Jackson Baltar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

T.J. DeShields pass complete to Tristian Brank for 1 yd to the Akron 32

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

[SGUN], DESHIELDS, T.J. pass complete to KNIGHT, Jeremia for 6 yards to the AKRON38 (TATE, Caleb), PENALTY UB offside (38) 5 yards to the AKRON37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 39

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.84

Jeremiah Knight run for 24 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

T.J. DeShields pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 7 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

T.J. DeShields pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 4 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jeremiah Knight run for 3 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return+34 ydsPPA -4.13

T.J. DeShields pass intercepted Javien Cuff return for 34 yds to the Buff 47

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 46

Situational Analysis

Akron

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
15%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
25 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play