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← Back to GamesDec 13, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 13.3

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 21%

Market (consensus)

New Mexico +14.5

Edge: New Mexico +14.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 13, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
7177839
New MexicoNew Mexico
71472149

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-1421-2421-3128-3135-3142-3149-39
New MexicoFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMPUNT3-2ydTD644ydTD975ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydTD650ydTD675ydFG556ydPUNT37ydTD184ydTD771ydPUNT612ydPUNT610ydEND1-1ydTD1670ydTD577ydPUNT412ydTD1485ydPUNT5-10ydTD135ydTO643ydTD570ydTD874ydEND45yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and New Mexico
StatisticFresno StateNew Mexico
Passing26-4314-18
Pass Yards350196
Rush Yards58299
Total Yards408495
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-1112-16
Penalties4-508-73
Possession28:2730:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
26/43, 350 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Mims
3 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Cropper
12 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
defense
New Mexico
passing
Isaiah Chavez
14/18, 196 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bobby Cole
18 CAR, 138 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Marcus Williams
3 REC, 55 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 25

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Isaiah Chavez sacked by Kwami Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the NMex 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.49

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 32 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 10 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Chavez sacked by Justin Houston for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24

2nd & 11Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.12

Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 27 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 15 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Isaiah Chavez run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Isaiah Chavez run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Isaiah Chavez run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.63

Jake Haener sacked by Kameron Miller for a loss of 10 yards to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 20Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jake Haener sacked by Ben Gansallo for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 18

3rd & 23Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.33

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 17 yds to the FrsSt 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the NMex 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 3 yds to the NMex 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 6 yds to the NMex 25 NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the NMex 12

3rd & 13Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.25

Isaiah Chavez run for 13 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jevon Bigelow run for 5 yds to the NMex 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 10 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the NMex 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 16 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

DYER, Tyson punt 44 yards to the FS28, fair catch by POPE, Zane, PENALTY FS roughing the kicker (BROWN, Jordan) 15 yards to the NM43, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 10 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.15

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Marcus Williams for 44 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.02

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 51 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 5 yds to the NMex 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly, broken up by Patrick Peek

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Asa Fuller 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 38

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 16

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +6.58

Jordan Mims run for 84 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 31

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 32

3rd & 7Rush+54 ydsPPA +4.25

Isaiah Chavez run for 54 yds to the FrsSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chad Alexander run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Marcus Williams for 4 yds to the FrsSt 7

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Bobby Cole run for 4 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside (Ray Leutele) to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Jake Haener sacked by Ben Gansallo for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.68

Jake Haener sacked by Joey Noble for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 37

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Mac Dalena, broken up by Donte Martin

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 37 yds, downed at the NMex 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Chavez run for 2 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Marcus Williams for 7 yds to the NMex 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.26

Isaiah Chavez sacked by Kevin Atkins for a loss of 12 yards to the NMex 26 NEW MEXICO Penalty, intentional grounding (Isaiah Chavez) to the NMex 26

2nd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Chavez run for 4 yds to the NMex 30

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Bobby Cole run for 6 yds to the NMex 36

4th & 12Punt+9 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 49 yds , Zane Pope returns for 9 yds to the FrsSt 45 FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jevon Bigelow

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jevon Bigelow run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 29

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 13 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jevon Bigelow run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the NMex 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Jevon Bigelow run for 3 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Jake Haener pass complete to Jevon Bigelow for 9 yds to the NMex 37

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 6 yds Jalen Cropper fumbled, forced by Devin Sanders, recovered by FrsSt Jalen Cropper for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.08

Jake Haener sacked by Joey Noble for a loss of 13 yards to the NMex 44

2nd & 23Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 14 yds to the NMex 30

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jake Haener run for 5 yds to the NMex 25

4th & 4Penalty+12 yds

HAENER, Jake pass incomplete to KELLY, Josh, PENALTY NM roughing passer (SHOOK, Brandon) 12 yards to the NM13, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the NMex 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Jake Haener sacked by Patrick Peek and Tavian Combs for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 5

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jake Haener run for 3 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for no gain to the NMex 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 6 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Bobby Cole run for 9 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Johnson) to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Conner Kinslow for 49 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.16

Jevon Bigelow run for 9 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Joey Noble) to the NMex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.19

Jake Haener sacked by Jake Saltonstall for a loss of 12 yards to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the NMex 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 16

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the NMex 23

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Bobby Cole run for 9 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 38

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

CHAVEZ, Isaiah rush for loss of 2 yards to the NM36 (BAILEY, Levelle), PENALTY NM holding (COOK, Austin) 10 yards to the NM28, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.21

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 7 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Bobby Wooden

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.16

Bobby Cole run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

JARVIS, Kyle pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Mar., PENALTY FS pass interference (GAGNON, Kenny) 15 yards to the FS19, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Nathaniel Jones run for 10 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jevon Bigelow run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Jevon Bigelow run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Mac Dalena, broken up by Jerrick Reed II

2nd & 10Sack-19 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Haener sacked by Kameron Miller for a loss of 19 yards to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 29Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (Jake Haener) to the FrsSt 10

3rd & 34Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.00

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

4th & 34Punt+9 yds

Carson King punt for 34 yds , Emmanuel Logan-Greene returns for 9 yds to the FrsSt 35

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Bobby Cole run for 35 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.06

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 24 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds to the NMex 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Jevon Bigelow run for 4 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+33 ydsPPA -4.13

Jake Haener pass intercepted Patrick Peek return for 18 yds to the NMex 14 NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Donovan Murphree) to the NMex 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.34

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 27 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 6Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.02

Bobby Cole run for 30 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Bobby Cole run for 9 yds for a TD (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 13 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.49

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 16 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the NMex 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Haener pass to Zane Pope for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Bryson Carroll run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Bryson Carroll run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 43

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
30 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
36%
28 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
29%
14 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th