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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2020Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 37.5

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 98%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina -48.5

Edge: Western Carolina +48.5 (11.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 5, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
30069
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
21217049

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-321-328-342-349-349-9
North CarolinaWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCNCWCPUNT517ydTD971ydFG1052ydTD458ydPUNT32ydTD354ydPUNT36ydTO446ydPUNT437ydTD1088ydTO522ydTD547ydPUNT31ydTD250ydEND29ydTO319ydDOWNS840ydPUNT39ydDOWNS47ydTD950ydPUNT826ydTD934ydPUNT614ydEND526yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and North Carolina
StatisticWestern CarolinaNorth Carolina
Passing11-1924-29
Pass Yards116309
Rush Yards139231
Total Yards255540
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-145-8
Penalties5-453-35
Possession31:4428:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Will Jones
5/12, 48 YDS
rushing
Donnavan Spencer
13 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Owen Cosenke
1 REC, 40 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
20/23, 287 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Michael Carter
8 CAR, 73 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Dazz Newsome
6 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mikai Stanley run for 5 yds to the WCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Donnavan Spencer run for 6 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Will Jones run for 1 yd to the WCaro 37

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Jones run for 5 yds to the WCaro 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Jones pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 29 , Dazz Newsome returns for 10 yds to the NCaro 29

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Michael Carter run for 11 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 6 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 10 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.99

Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 39 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCaro 46

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.81

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 17 yds to the WCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the WCaro 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 13 yds to the WCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Michael Carter run for 17 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Mikai Stanley run for 11 yds to the WCaro 40 Mikai Stanley fumbled, forced by Kevin Hester Jr., for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Donnavan Spencer run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Donnavan Spencer run for 11 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Donnavan Spencer run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Will Jones pass complete to Reggie Jones for 10 yds to the NCaro 31

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Will Jones run for 5 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Will Jones pass incomplete to Donnavan Spencer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 3 yds to the NCaro 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Jones pass incomplete to Jakobe Quillen

4th & 7Field Goal Good+40 yds

Paxton Robertson 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 6 yds to the NCaro 48

3rd & 4Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.76

Sam Howell run for 30 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 22 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Will Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Jones pass incomplete to Donnavan Spencer

4th & 8Punt+22 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 22 yds to the NCaro 46

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Howell, S sideline pass complete to Walston, G for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (Ronald Kent Jr.), PENALTY WCU offside defense (C. Geffrard) 5 yards to the WCU49, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.22

Sam Howell run for 11 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 16 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Michael Carter run for 22 yds for a TD WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Syheam McQueen run for 4 yds to the WCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Mikai Stanley run for 1 yd to the WCaro 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Syheam McQueen run for 1 yd to the WCaro 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCaro 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 16 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 7 yds to the NCaro 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 5 yds to the WCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -3.39

Sam Howell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 17 yds Rontavius Groves fumbled, forced by A.J. Rogers, recovered by WCaro Curtis Roach

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.93

Reggie Jones pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 40 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 36

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kason Lincke run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Mikai Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 36 Mikai Stanley fumbled, recovered by WCaro Mikai Stanley

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Kason Lincke run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 12

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the NCaro 20

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.06

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 17 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.69

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 32 yds to the WCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 15 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the WCaro 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 6 yds to the WCaro 3

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Javonte Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kason Lincke run for 3 yds to the WCaro 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Syheam McQueen run for 2 yds to the WCaro 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Kason Lincke pass complete to Calvin Jones for 12 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kason Lincke run for 5 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.55

Syheam McQueen run for 1 yd to the WCaro 47 Syheam McQueen fumbled, forced by Cam'Ron Kelly, recovered by NCaro Kevin Hester Jr.

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Dazz Newsome run for 15 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sam Howell pass incomplete, broken up by Nigel Manns

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 17 yds to the WCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 10 yds to the WCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Michael Carter run for 5 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Donnavan Spencer run for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Kason Lincke pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 8 yds to the WCaro 28

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kason Lincke sacked by Raymond Vohasek for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 26

4th & 9Punt+24 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 35 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.12

Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 24 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 26 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mikai Stanley run for 5 yds to the WCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Caleb Ferguson run for 4 yds to the WCaro 34

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

D.J. Jones run for 11 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Jacolby Criswell run for 8 yds to the WCaro 48

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return+39 ydsPPA -3.59

Jacolby Criswell pass intercepted Ronald Kent return for 24 yds to the NCaro 24 WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Darrius Smith) to the NCaro 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Donnavan Spencer run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Donnavan Spencer run for 3 yds to the NCaro 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.57

Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 8 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Donnavan Spencer run for 20 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Donnavan Spencer run for no gain to the NCaro 15

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the NCaro 13

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Donnavan Spencer run for 4 yds to the NCaro 9

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.88

Cade Snotherly pass incomplete to Clayton Bardall

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the NCaro 16

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the NCaro 18

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Daquan Patten at the WCaro 43

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Donnavan Spencer run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 41

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Will Jones pass complete to Daquan Patten for 6 yards to the WCU47 (Grimes, T;Collins, C), PENALTY WCU ineligible downfield on pass (Owen Cosenke) 5 yards to the WCU36, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Jones pass incomplete to Calvin Jones

3rd & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Will Jones pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

D.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 5 yds to the WCaro 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Jacolby Criswell run for 3 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Criswell, J deep pass incomplete to Green, A, PENALTY WCU pass interference (Aaron Gethers) 15 yards to the WCU24, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacolby Criswell run for no gain to the WCaro 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 11 yds to the WCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

D.J. Jones run for 12 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 6

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

D.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the WCaro 3

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacolby Criswell run for 2 yds to the WCaro 2 Jacolby Criswell fumbled, forced by Ty Harris, recovered by NCaro D.J. Jones

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

D.J. Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Mikai Stanley run for 1 yd to the WCaro 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Will Jones pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 13 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Mikai Stanley run for 6 yds to the WCaro 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mikai Stanley run for 2 yds to the WCaro 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Will Jones pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 4 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mikai Stanley run for no gain to the WCaro 44

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Mikai Stanley run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 41

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Jones pass complete to Jakobe Quillen for 3 yds to the WCaro 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 48 yds, downed at the NCaro 8

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.46

Elijah Green run for 12 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Jace Ruder pass complete to Austyn Chestnut for 3 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jace Ruder run for 4 yds to the NCaro 36

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jace Ruder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Elijah Green run for 15 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+42 yds

Jace Ruder sacked by Trevor Childers for a loss of 9 yards Jace Ruder fumbled, recovered by WCaro Nigel Manns , return for 0 yards , return for 42 yds (Richard McCollum PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jefferson Boaz pass complete to Kendall Karr for 3 yds to the NCaro 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

British Brooks run for 3 yds to the NCaro 47

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.82

British Brooks run for 5 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

British Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 48

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the WCaro 49

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the WCaro 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 44 yds, downed at the WCaro 1

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.46

Mikai Stanley run for 16 yds to the WCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kason Lincke run for 3 yds to the WCaro 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Kason Lincke pass complete to Caleb Ferguson for 1 yd to the WCaro 21

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Kason Lincke run for 9 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Kason Lincke run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 27

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
62%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
78%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play