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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2020Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 13.4

Home Win Probability

Liberty 75%

Market (consensus)

Liberty -33

Edge: North Alabama +33 (19.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Alabama
00077
LibertyLiberty
0714728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-028-028-7
LibertyNorth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NALIBNALIBNALIBNALIBNALIBNALIBNALIBNALIBNALIBNALIBPUNT38ydPUNT525ydPUNT1133ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-13ydMISS1045ydTO320ydTD640ydTO670ydPUNT34ydDOWNS924ydTD672ydPUNT3-4ydTD1351ydTO630ydTD869ydMISS1152ydTO10ydTD312ydEND929yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Alabama and Liberty
StatisticNorth AlabamaLiberty
Passing18-2715-25
Pass Yards184107
Rush Yards63250
Total Yards247357
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-156-12
Penalties6-558-75
Possession32:1027:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Alabama
passing
Rett Files
15/24, 156 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Parker Driggers
7 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Andre Little
1 REC, 47 YDS
defense
Liberty
passing
Chris Ferguson
12/21, 64 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Josh Mack
16 CAR, 130 YDS
receiving
CJ Yarbrough
2 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Blake Dever pass complete to Cortez Hall for 6 yds to the NorAl 23

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.71

Ron Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 22

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NorAl 17

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Blake Dever run for 8 yds to the NorAl 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joe Gurley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the Liber 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.06

Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 25 yds to the NorAl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ Yarbrough

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the NorAl 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.47

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Joshua Mack for a loss of 10 yards to the NorAl 48

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the NorAl 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Blake Dever pass complete to Cortez Hall for 16 yds to the NorAl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Blake Dever run for 7 yds to the NorAl 43

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Howell, Ja'Won rush for 10 yards to the LIBERTY47, PENALTY NORTHALA holding 10 yards to the NORTHALA33, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Penalty-15 yds

Dever, Blake pass complete to Hall, Cortez for 6 yards to the NORTHALA39, PENALTY NORTHALA pass interference 15 yards to the NORTHALA18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 28Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03

Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the NorAl 18

3rd & 28Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.63

Blake Dever pass complete to Corson Swan for 6 yds to the NorAl 24 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Targeting (Tre'Shaun Clark) to the NorAl 39 for a 1ST down. Clark ejected.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Parker Driggers run for 4 yds to the NorAl 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Rett Files pass incomplete to Dexter Boykin

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Rett Files sacked by Jayod Sanders for a loss of 3 yards to the NorAl 47

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Rett Files pass incomplete to Corson Swan

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Rett Files pass complete to Ron Thompson for 6 yds to the Liber 47

4th & 7Punt+37 yds

Joe Gurley punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 20 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Liber 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 12

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Peytton Pickett run for 9 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the Liber 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ Yarbrough

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ Yarbrough, broken up by Kyree Fields

4th & 4Punt+41 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Jack Peavey at the LIBERTY 17 LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NorAl 32

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Thompson, Ron rush for 3 yards to the NORTHALA35, PENALTY NORTHALA illegal formation 5 yards to the NORTHALA27, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Rett Files sacked by Carl Poole for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 26

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the NorAl 30

3rd & 12Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.30

Rett Files sacked by Stephens Sings V for a loss of 11 yards to the NorAl 19

4th & 23Punt+2 yds

Joe Gurley punt for 43 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 2 yds to the Liber 40

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Joshua Mack run for 13 yds to the NorAl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the NorAl 47

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the NorAl 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.09

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 9 yds to the NorAl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the NorAl 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.46

Chris Ferguson pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 14 yds to the NorAl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ Yarbrough

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the NorAl 9

3rd & 2Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.03

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for a loss of 6 yards to the NorAl 15

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Alex Barbir 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ron Thompson run for 3 yds to the NorAl 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 4 yds to the NorAl 27

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.31

Parker Driggers run for 13 yds to the NorAl 40 Parker Driggers fumbled, recovered by Liber , return for no gain to the NorAl 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the NorAl 37

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the NorAl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Peytton Pickett run for 9 yds to the NorAl 20

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the NorAl 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 11 yds to the NorAl 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 16 yds to the NorAl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rett Files pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Files, Rett pass incomplete to Boykin, Dexter, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference 5 yards to the NORTHALA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHALA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +1.99

Rett Files pass complete to Andre Little for 47 yds to the Liber 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Parker Driggers run for 2 yds to the Liber 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Rett Files pass incomplete to Dexter Boykin

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+14 ydsPPA -4.24

Rett Files pass intercepted Anthony Butler return for 14 yds to the Liber 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 18

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Jakob Cummings

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jack Peavey at the NorAl 42

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the NorAl 38

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Ja'Won Howell run for 6 yds to the NorAl 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.04

Rett Files pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 16 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the Liber 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Rett Files pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 10 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rett Files pass incomplete to Andre Little

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Rett Files run for 1 yd to the Liber 29

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Rett Files sacked by Anthony Butler for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 39

4th & 19Penalty+5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the Liber 34

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Joe Gurley 51 yd FG MISSED

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the Liber 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.55

Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +2.03

Joshua Mack run for 46 yds to the NorAl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ron Thompson run for 2 yds to the NorAl 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rett Files pass incomplete to Corson Swan

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Rett Files sacked by Durrell Johnson and Stephens Sings V for a loss of 6 yards to the NorAl 21

4th & 14Punt+13 yds

Joe Gurley punt for 43 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 13 yds to the Liber 49

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Chris Ferguson sacked by Christon Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 42

2nd & 17Penalty-10 yds

Bennett, Johnathan pass complete to Shaa, Kevin for 7 yards to the LIBERTY49, PENALTY LIBERTY holding 10 yards to the LIBERTY32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 27Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Peytton Pickett run for 6 yds to the Liber 38

3rd & 21Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for a loss of 13 yards to the Liber 25 for a 1ST down NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Liber 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the Liber 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the NorAl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chris Ferguson run for 2 yds to the NorAl 47

2nd & 8Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.80

Shedro Louis run for 30 yds to the NorAl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the NorAl 12

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Brody Brumm

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the NorAl 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the NorAl 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Brody Brumm for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ron Thompson run for 2 yds to the NorAl 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rett Files pass complete to Ron Thompson for 6 yds to the NorAl 41

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.97

Parker Driggers run for 10 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ron Thompson run for 5 yds to the Liber 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 7 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.95

Rett Files pass intercepted Anthony Butler return for no gain to the Liber 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 36

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.70

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 29 yds to the NorAl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Joshua Mack run for 16 yds to the NorAl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the NorAl 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the NorAl 5

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Chris Barrett for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 15 yds to the NorAl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for a loss of 5 yards to the NorAl 41

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rett Files pass incomplete to Andre Little

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.79

Rett Files pass complete to Patrick McKaufman for 21 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the Liber 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Rett Files pass complete to Parker Driggers for 6 yds to the Liber 30

3rd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.07

Parker Driggers run for 23 yds to the Liber 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Rett Files pass complete to Parker Driggers for 4 yds to the Liber 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Parker Driggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 5

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 10

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.59

Rett Files sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 17

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Joe Gurley 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+13 ydsPPA -0.61

Johnathan Bennett pass intercepted K.J. Smith return for 13 yds to the Liber 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ron Thompson run for 5 yds to the Liber 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ron Thompson run for 2 yds to the Liber 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Parker Driggers run for 5 yds for a TD (Sam Contorno KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Troy Henderson run for 13 yds to the Liber 42 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 32

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Troy Henderson run for 4 yds to the Liber 36

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Shedro Louis run for 12 yds to the NorAl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 48

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the NorAl 46

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Troy Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 47

4th & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +3.27

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 9 yds to the NorAl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 4 yards to the NorAl 42

Situational Analysis

North Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
71%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play