Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 27, 2020Week 4
TroyTroy
7
-Final
48
BYUBYU

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 11

Home Win Probability

BYU 74%

Market (consensus)

BYU -14.5

Edge: Troy +14.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 27, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
07007
BYUBYU
717141048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-031-738-748-7
BYUTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROTROBYUTROBYUTROBYUTROBYUTROBYUTROBYUBYUTROBYUTROBYUTROBYUTROBYUTROBYUTO518ydDOWNS49ydPUNT634ydPUNT519ydTD864ydPUNT514ydTD874ydPUNT3-18ydDOWNS618ydPUNT36ydTD787ydTD775ydEND641ydTD275ydPUNT36ydDOWNS632ydMISS1120ydTD764ydPUNT38ydTD660ydPUNT34ydFG1163ydPUNT30ydUncategorized1068yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and BYU
StatisticTroyBYU
Passing21-3628-34
Pass Yards162472
Rush Yards19192
Total Yards181664
Turnovers01
3rd Down2-145-12
Penalties5-501-15
Possession19:5340:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
21/33, 162 YDS
rushing
Kimani Vidal
4 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Tray Eafford
2 REC, 59 YDS
defense
BYU
passing
Zach Wilson
21/25, 352 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Lopini Katoa
11 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Dax Milne
7 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the Troy 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 10 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 5 yds to the Troy 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 42 yds , Dax Milne returns for no gain to the BYU 22 Dax Milne fumbled, recovered by Troy Jaylon Beasley

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the BYU 17

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the BYU 14

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the BYU 13

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.94

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the BYU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.45

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 22 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 38

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.30

Lopini Katoa run for 19 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.25

Zach. Wilson sacked by Elgin Griffin for a loss of 12 yards to the BYU 45

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.25

Zach Wilson sacked by Elgin Griffin for a loss of 12 yards to the BYU 45

2nd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 48

3rd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 47

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Terence Dunlap at the Troy 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

B.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Troy 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Marcus Rogers for 8 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 24

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.66

Gunnar Watson sacked by Khyiris Tonga for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 17

2nd & 22Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 3 yds to the Troy 20

3rd & 19Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.31

Kimani Vidal run for 14 yds to the Troy 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 23 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Dax Milne run for 1 yd to the Troy 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 11 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 24 yds to the Troy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the Troy 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the Troy 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the Troy 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Masen Wake run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 8 yds to the Troy 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 9 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Gunnar Watson run for 1 yd to the Troy 37

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 32

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.03

Tyler Allgeier run for 17 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Neil Pau'u pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zach. Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 9 yds to the Troy 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

Zach. Wilson run for 2 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.36

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 41 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Zach Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Zach. Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 20

2nd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.23

Gunnar Watson sacked by Khyiris Tonga for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 13

3rd & 22Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.03

Gunnar Watson sacked by Zac Dawe for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 7

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the Troy 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the Troy 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Dax Milne run for 5 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 6 yds to the Troy 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 6 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Zach. Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the Troy 28

4th & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -3.01

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 29

4th & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -3.01

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 5 yds to the Troy 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 53 yds , Dax Milne returns for 1 yd to the BYU 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 18

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 9 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.62

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 52 yds to the Troy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the Troy 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 10 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Troy 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +4.18

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tray Eafford for 55 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Khalil McClain for 9 yds to the BYU 6

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Khalil McClain

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan Legassey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 12 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 17 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 9 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 3 yds to the Troy 22

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

BYU Penalty, Illegal Contact (-15 Yards) to the Troy 37

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Zach. Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

3rd & 22Field Goal Good+54 yds

Jake Oldroyd 54 yd FG GOOD

0th & 22End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.98

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 70 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 9 yds to the Troy 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 15 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Troy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the Troy 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach. Wilson pass incomplete to Lopini Katoa

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 4 yds to the Troy 33

4th & 3Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.45

Zach. Wilson sacked by Reddy Steward for a loss of 11 yards to the Troy 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the BYU 48

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.36

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Bret Clark for 3 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Marcus Rogers for 8 yds to the BYU 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 4 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 11 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 32

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Kimani Vidal

3rd & 20Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Gunnar Watson sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 36

4th & 24Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Evan Legassey 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 12 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Lopini Katoa run for 19 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Lopini Katoa run for 11 yds to the Troy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Zach Wilson run for 7 yds to the Troy 7

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Masen Wake for 5 yds to the Troy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Zach Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Bret Clark for 5 yds to the Troy 21

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 3 yds to the BYU 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.41

Zach. Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 37 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the Troy 18

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Dax Milne run for 8 yds to the Troy 10

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Masen Wake run for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tray Eafford for 4 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gunnar Watson run for no gain to the Troy 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 37 yds , Dax Milne returns for no gain to the BYU 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kavika Fonua run for 6 yds to the BYU 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kavika Fonua run for 2 yds to the BYU 42

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.80

Kavika Fonua run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Baylor Romney pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 7 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kavika Fonua run for no gain to the Troy 43

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Kavika Fonua run for 4 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.63

Baylor Romney pass complete to Kyle Griffitts for 29 yds to the Troy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kavika Fonua run for 4 yds to the Troy 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kavika Fonua run for 3 yds to the Troy 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Baylor Romney pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Jake Oldroyd 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacob Free pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Orlando Lacey

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacob Free pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 28

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Miles Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Baylor Romney pass complete to Kody Epps for 14 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Baylor Romney pass complete to Miles Davis for 7 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Miles Davis run for 11 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kody Epps run for 5 yds to the Troy 37

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Miles Davis run for no gain to the Troy 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Baylor Romney pass complete to Miles Davis for 23 yds to the Troy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Miles Davis run for 11 yds to the Troy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Miles Davis run for no gain to the Troy 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 4

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
17 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
66%
38 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
40%
5 plays