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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2020Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oklahoma State by 14.7

Home Win Probability

Oklahoma State 81%

Market (consensus)

Oklahoma State -24

Edge: Tulsa +24 (9.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 19, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulsaTulsa
07007
Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
3001316

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-710-713-716-7
Oklahoma StateTulsa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TULOSTULOSTULOSTULOSTULOSTULOSTULOSOSTULOSTULOSTULOSTULOSTULOSTULPUNT623ydFG1776ydPUNT39ydTO1-3ydDOWNS49ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1160ydTO33ydPUNT36ydDOWNS45ydTD356ydEND310ydPUNT412ydPUNT43ydPUNT521ydPUNT39ydTO740ydPUNT519ydTD681ydMISS1167ydFG1257ydDOWNS4-23ydFG4-10ydTO10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulsa and Oklahoma State
StatisticTulsaOklahoma State
Passing18-2814-20
Pass Yards164138
Rush Yards111144
Total Yards275282
Turnovers12
3rd Down0-126-15
Penalties15-1208-68
Possession29:2730:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulsa
passing
Zach Smith
18/28, 164 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Deneric Prince
14 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Keylon Stokes
4 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Oklahoma State
passing
rushing
Chuba Hubbard
27 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tylan Wallace
4 REC, 94 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Keylon Stokes run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 6 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Deneric Prince run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 35

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the Tulsa 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 2 yds to the Tulsa 43

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 49 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 6 yds to the OKSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the OKSt 22

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.16

Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.40

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 17 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Spencer Sanders sacked by Zaven Collins for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 41

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 48

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Spencer Sanders run for 16 yds to the OKLAST 36 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Ld Brown run for 16 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ld Brown run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 31

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 22

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

TULSA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Tulsa 17

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.32

Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Spencer Sanders sacked by Robert Revels III for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 16

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Ld Brown run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 8

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ld Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Alex Hale 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 9 yds to the Tulsa 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 29 yds, downed at the OKSt 40

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 37 Spencer Sanders fumbled, recovered by Tulsa

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

T.K. Wilkerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Rodarius Williams

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (Sam Crawford Jr.) to the OKSt 43

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 6 yds to the OKSt 37

4th & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -1.22

Zach Smith pass complete to Shamari Brooks for 9 yds to the OKSt 28

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 24

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 29

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.32

Ethan Bullock sacked by Anthony Goodlow for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 25

4th & 13Punt+2 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27 TULSA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Tulsa 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

T.K. Wilkerson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Smith run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Stewart

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ethan Bullock pass incomplete to Braydon Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Ld Brown run for 8 yds to the OKSt 44

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.50

Ethan Bullock sacked by Zaven Collins for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 39

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

T.K. Wilkerson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 23

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Smith, Zach pass incomplete, PENALTY OKLAST face mask 15 yards to the TULSA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Wilkerson, T.K. rush for 4 yards to the TULSA42, PENALTY TULSA holding 10 yards to the TULSA28, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 6 yds to the Tulsa 34

2nd & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.73

Deneric Prince run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Smith, Zach pass incomplete to Santana, JuanCarlos, PENALTY OKLAST holding 10 yards to the OKLAST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deneric Prince run for 5 yds to the OKSt 36

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 37

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OKSt 32

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

T.K. Wilkerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 33

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.60

T.K. Wilkerson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

T.K. Wilkerson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Zach Smith pass complete to T.K. Wilkerson for 4 yds to the OKSt 21

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Zach Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 22

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.44

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the OKSt 21

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.84

Ethan Bullock run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 17

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Landon Wolf for 2 yds to the OKSt 19

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OKSt 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ethan Bullock pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for no gain to the Tulsa 37 Keylon Stokes fumbled, recovered by Tulsa

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Smith run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 40

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 1 yd to the Tulsa 43

4th & 4Punt+34 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 34 yds to the Tulsa 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ethan Bullock run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 1 yd to the Tulsa 41

4th & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.81

Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.81

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 41 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 16

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.95

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 16 yds for a TD (Tyler Tipton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 20

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST down

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Ethan Bullock sacked by Zaven Collins for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 46

3rd & 14Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -0.71

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 38

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Deneric Prince run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 39 TULSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulsa 29

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 31

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Deneric Prince run for no gain to the Tulsa 31

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 2 yds to the OKSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 44

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

TULSA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 1 yd to the Tulsa 40

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Ethan Bullock sacked by Cullen Wick for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

T.K. Wilkerson run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 28

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 23

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Smith run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ethan Bullock pass incomplete to Dillon Stoner

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ld Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Landon Wolf for 9 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Ld Brown run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Ethan Bullock pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ethan Bullock pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -3.68

Ethan Bullock pass intercepted Allie Green IV return for 7 yds to the Tulsa 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 4 yds to the Tulsa 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 13 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Keylon Stokes run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Cannon Montgomery, broken up by Tanner McCalister

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.97

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 24 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.17

Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Jelani Woods for 8 yds to the Tulsa 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.38

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 36 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Deneric Prince run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 11 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+3 yds

Smith, Zach pass incomplete to Stokes, Keylon, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference 3 yards to the TULSA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

T.K. Wilkerson run for no gain to the Tulsa 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.74

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 21 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TULSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 49

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.31

Zach Smith pass complete to Deneric Prince for 11 yds to the OKSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Deneric Prince run for 10 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 yds

Deneric Prince run for 19 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the OKSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for no gain to the OKSt 3

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Tyler Tipton 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 20

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.45

Chuba Hubbard run for 20 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 49

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 39

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.07

Ld Brown run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Illingworth, Shane pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY TULSA pass interference 15 yards to the TULSA33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the Tulsa 27

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 18

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Landon Wolf

3rd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Ld Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 23

4th & 11Field Goal Good+40 yds

Alex Hale 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Deneric Prince run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 28

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

TULSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulsa 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 16

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 11

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

4th & 24Sack-9 ydsPPA +0.40

Zach Smith sacked by Malcolm Rodriguez for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulsa 2

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Shane Illingworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 5

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.64

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 10

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 7

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

Alex Hale 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -0.92

Zach Smith pass intercepted Kolby Harvell-Peel return for 26 yds to the Tulsa 40

Situational Analysis

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
20 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Oklahoma State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
32%
28 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play