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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2020Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 5.5

Home Win Probability

Boston College 58%

Market (consensus)

Boston College -1

Edge: Boston College -1 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 28, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
3731427
Boston CollegeBoston College
7671434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-310-313-1020-1327-1327-2034-27
Boston CollegeLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCFG627ydTO1167ydTO744ydTD748ydTO830ydFG1250ydTD778ydFG760ydEND316ydTD668ydFG1374ydPUNT37ydPUNT741ydTD884ydTD1178ydTD552ydTD169ydPUNT33ydTO519ydEND37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Boston College
StatisticLouisvilleBoston College
Passing19-3119-26
Pass Yards294247
Rush Yards199188
Total Yards493435
Turnovers31
3rd Down7-124-12
Penalties4-413-13
Possession29:0330:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
19/31, 294 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Malik Cunningham
17 CAR, 133 YDS
receiving
Dez Fitzpatrick
8 REC, 182 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boston College
passing
Phil Jurkovec
15/19, 203 YDS
rushing
David Bailey
10 CAR, 53 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Zay Flowers
7 REC, 87 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ean Pfeifer for 15 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Hassan Hall run for 21 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 21

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hassan Hall run for no gain to the BC 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 26

4th & 19Field Goal Good+44 yds

James Turner 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 7 yds to the BC 36

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

David Bailey run for 8 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Phil Jurkovec run for 7 yds to the Lvile 49

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.27

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Lvile 49

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.42

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Zay Flowers run for 9 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Lvile 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 6 yds to the Lvile 6

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.41

Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the Lvile 4 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, forced by C.J. Avery, recovered by Lvile Russ Yeast

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.67

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 25

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 13 yds Tutu Atwell fumbled, recovered by BC Deon Jones

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 7 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

David Bailey run for no gain to the Lvile 39

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.88

Phil Jurkovec run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.42

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 21 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

David Bailey run for 6 yds to the Lvile 8

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.37

David Bailey run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Lvile 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Lvile 44

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.53

TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lvile Malik Cunningham

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.68

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 24 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Hassan Hall

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -2.97

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 44 Hassan Hall fumbled, forced by Jahmin Muse, recovered by BC Cam Horsley

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.58

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 27 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 2 yds to the Lvile 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 5 yds to the Lvile 20

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.75

Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 9 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the Lvile 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to CJ Lewis, broken up by Kei'Trel Clark

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Aaron Boumerhi 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.20

Malik Cunningham run for 19 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Malik Cunningham run for 18 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 6 yds to the BC 22

2nd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.35

Malik Cunningham run for 20 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.01

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 46 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.39

David Bailey run for 12 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 14

1st & 14Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.92

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 21

2nd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 11 yds to the Lvile 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Aaron Boumerhi 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 14 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

David Bailey run for 12 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.59

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Spencer Witter for 21 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

David Bailey run for 3 yds to the Lvile 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

David Bailey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 12 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Hassan Hall for 6 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 2 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon Ford

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.57

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the BC 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.44

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 27 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the BC 6

2nd & 6Penalty+3 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive holding (Jahmin Muse) to the BC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the BC 2

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

James Turner 24 yd FG GOOD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Travis Levy, broken up by Marlon Character

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the BC 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Hunter Long

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 13

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Jalen Mitchell run for 14 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.18

Malik Cunningham run for 23 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell, broken up by Josh DeBerry

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Harwell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the BC 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 5 yds to the BC 25

3rd & 1Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.73

Dennis Grosel run for 44 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Grosel,D pass incomplete to Levy,T, PENALTY LOU roughing passer (Conley, E.) 15 yards to the LOU13, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Jared Dawson) to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 11

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to CJ Lewis, broken up by Marlon Character

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.78

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Cunningham, M. rush for 9 yards to the BC45, PENALTY LOU illegal use of hands (Boone, A.) 15 yards to the LOU31, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 21Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.95

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 17 yds to the BC 48

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 49

4th & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.57

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 26 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the BC 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon Ford, broken up by John Lamot

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Malik Cunningham run for 15 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the BC 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.20

Pat Garwo III run for 22 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Lvile 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.22

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 21 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 69 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.93

Travis Levy run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 25

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the BC 30

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Braden Smith, broken up by Jason Maitre

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 9 yds to the Lvile 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 8 yds to the Lvile 49

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -3.35

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Shitta Sillah return for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 46

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays