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← Back to GamesNov 15, 2020Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 11.5

Home Win Probability

NC State 74%

Market (consensus)

NC State -11.5

Edge: Florida State +11.5 (0.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 15, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
0361322
NC StateNC State
71414338

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-321-328-935-938-1638-22
NC StateFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSTD1275ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1059ydDOWNS721ydTD531ydFG1146ydPUNT615ydPUNT36ydTD865ydTO521ydEND10ydPUNT3-1ydTD750ydTD1268ydPUNT30ydTD545ydDOWNS817ydTO412ydTD480ydFG1060ydTD774ydEND3-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and NC State
StatisticFlorida StateNC State
Passing18-2824-34
Pass Yards200265
Rush Yards147148
Total Yards347413
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-1410-15
Penalties6-666-70
Possession30:4929:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Chubba Purdy
15/23, 181 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jashaun Corbin
14 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ontaria Wilson
7 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense
NC State
passing
Bailey Hockman
24/34, 265 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Zonovan Knight
17 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thayer Thomas
11 REC, 135 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 10 yds to the NCSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 3 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 9 yds to the NCSt 46

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 11 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.95

Bailey Hockman sacked by Janarius Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSt 42

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.50

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 26 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.11

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 5 yds to the FlaSt 6 NC STATE Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the FlaSt 21

1st & 20Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.15

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 21 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 8 yds to the FlaSt 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.13

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Zonovan Knight

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 13 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 17

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the FlaSt 10

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.03

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the FlaSt 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 13

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.70

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 27

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 31

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 2 yds to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 14 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 10 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Jashaun Corbin run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson, broken up by Joshua Pierre-Louis

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 11 yds to the NCSt 43

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.10

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive holding (Malik Dunlap) to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the NCSt 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Jashaun Corbin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

Parker Grothaus 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Bailey Hockman run for 8 yds to the NCSt 32

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.84

Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 37

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY ST holding off-setting, PENALTY FS holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Bailey Hockman run for 9 yds to the NCSt 46

4th & 1Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Porter Rooks for 3 yds to the NCSt 49 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Devin Carter) to the NCSt 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 44 yds, downed at the FlaSt 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 17

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 24

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 34

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 31

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.95

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 44

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the FlaSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 11 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Amari Gainer) to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.20

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 20 yds to the FlaSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Bailey Hockman run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Bailey Hockman run for 4 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 8 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.06

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 4 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Tate Rodemaker run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.60

Tate Rodemaker sacked by Terrell Dawkins for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 40

2nd & 18Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tate Rodemaker pass intercepted Tyler Baker-Williams return for 1 yd to the NCSt 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 23

3rd & 8Penalty-11 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (Derrick McLendon II) to the FlaSt 12

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Chubba Purdy pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 8 yds to the FlaSt 20

4th & 11Punt+23 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 53 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 23 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Porter Rooks for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.29

Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Porter Rooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the FlaSt 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 14 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Zonovan Knight run for 18 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chubba Purdy pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 5 yds to the FlaSt 40

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.35

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Warren Thompson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chubba Purdy run for no gain to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.25

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 13 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Camren McDonald, broken up by Shyheim Battle

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Chubba Purdy pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 9 yds to the NCSt 28

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.87

Jashaun Corbin run for 28 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Porter Rooks for 1 yd to the NCSt 21

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to C.J. Riley

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 39 yds , Travis Jay returns for no gain to the FlaSt 45 Travis Jay fumbled, recovered by NCSt Anthony Smith

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 20 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Devin Carter

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.61

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 24 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 34 Chubba Purdy fumbled, forced by Cecil Powell, recovered by FlaSt

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.46

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 39 La'Damian Webb fumbled, forced by Terrell Dawkins, recovered by FlaSt Jashaun Corbin

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.18

Chubba Purdy sacked by C.J. Hart Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 33

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 40

4th & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.02

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 2 yds to the FlaSt 42

1st & 10Rush+2 yds

Trent Pennix run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 40 FLORIDA ST Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the FlaSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Porter Rooks run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Cary Angeline, broken up by Sidney Williams

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.63

Bailey Hockman pass intercepted, touchback. Jarvis Brownlee Jr. return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jashaun Corbin run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Chubba Purdy run for no gain to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.50

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 69 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Zonovan Knight run for 8 yds to the NCSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Zonovan Knight run for 36 yds to the NCSTATE 25 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Zonovan Knight) to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan Houston run for 20 yds to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 16

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 15 NC STATE Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to C.J. Riley

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Christopher Dunn 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Chubba Purdy sacked by Vi Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.11

Chubba Purdy pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 12 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Chubba Purdy run for 21 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Chubba Purdy run for 18 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chubba Purdy run for no gain to the NCSt 24

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Malik Dunlap) to the NCSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Keyshawn Helton) to the NCSt 24

1st & 24Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.48

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Warren Thompson for 24 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.21

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 27

3rd & 16Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 30

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
11%
9 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
5 plays
4th
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays