Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 28, 2020Week 13
TroyTroy
10
-Final
47
App StateApp State
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 19

Home Win Probability

App State 87%

Market (consensus)

App State -14

Edge: App State -14 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 28, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
0100010
App StateApp State
211313047

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-028-028-331-334-1040-1047-10
App StateTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROASTROASTROTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROPUNT34ydTD372ydPUNT34ydTD671ydTD36ydPUNT36ydTD1297ydFG1366ydFG935ydTD485ydFG1562ydEND15ydPUNT39ydPUNT4-10ydTD1075ydPUNT33ydTD775ydPUNT33ydDOWNS558ydEND1677yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and App State
StatisticTroyApp State
Passing13-2222-30
Pass Yards125279
Rush Yards106275
Total Yards231554
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-148-13
Penalties7-5712-90
Possession29:3930:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
13/20, 125 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jamontez Woods
10 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Kaylon Geiger
3 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD
defense
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
22/29, 279 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Camerun Peoples
10 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Williams
7 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamontez Woods run for 2 yds to the Troy 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 5 yds to the Troy 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Henry Pearson

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.89

Camerun Peoples run for 63 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (Derrick Graham) to the Troy 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd to the Troy 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Khalil McClain for 3 yds to the Troy 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Troy 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 29

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Nate Noel run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 25

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.72

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 20 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the Troy 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.02

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 17 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 17 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 15 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to B.J. Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the Troy 31

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+34 ydsPPA -7.39

Gunnar Watson pass intercepted for a TD Steven Jones return for 34 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 3 yds to the Troy 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 66 yds, downed at the AppSt 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the AppSt 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 12

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.23

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Zac Thomas run for 14 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, personal foul (Carlton Martial) to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the Troy 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Malik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Henry Pearson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.93

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 20 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the Troy 22

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.99

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 22 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Watson, Gunnar pass complete to McClain, Khalil for 11 yards to the TROY40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TROY ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TROY24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Jamontez Woods run for 14 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 13 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Bret Clark for 22 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Reggie Todd for 5 yds to the AppSt 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the AppSt 17

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

DK Billingsley run for 4 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the AppSt 12

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the AppSt 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Evan Legassey 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams, broken up by Kyle Nixon

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 5 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Henry Pearson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Thomas Hennigan) to the Troy 30

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Nate Noel, broken up by Reddy Steward

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 5 yds to the Troy 25

4th & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Chandler Staton 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Khalil McClain for 22 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Jamontez Woods run for 15 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Watson, Gunnar pass incomplete to McClain, Khalil, PENALTY APP pass interference (Jones, Steven) 15 yards to the APP33, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 33 yds for a TD (Evan Legassey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Cooper Hodges) to the AppSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Zac Thomas pass complete to Camerun Peoples for 2 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the Troy 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.92

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams, broken up by Dell Pettus

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.15

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 25 yds to the Troy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete, PENALTY TROY substitution infraction 5 yards to the TROY6, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, T., PENALTY APP ineligible downfield on pass (Hunter, Baer) 5 yards to the TROY11, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the Troy 11

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Zac Thomas sacked by AJ Pierce for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 13 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Zac Thomas) to the Troy 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Malik Williams pass incomplete to Zac Thomas

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Chandler Staton 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamontez Woods run for 5 yds to the Troy 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Zac Thomas pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 2 yds to the AppSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 22

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.03

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the Troy 25 TROY Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Troy 13

1st & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Reggie Todd, broken up by Shaun Jolly

2nd & 19Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 12

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jamontez Woods

4th & 20Punt+63 yds

Jack Martin punt for 53 yds, downed at the APPALCHAN 35 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Milan Tucker) to the AppSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 20 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Zac Thomas run for 2 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the Troy 35

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the Troy 25

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the Troy 8

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.18

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Cooper Hodges) to the Troy 6

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 6 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Bret Clark, broken up by Demetrius Taylor

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jamontez Woods run for no gain to the Troy 32

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (Derrick Graham) to the Troy 27

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 8 yds to the Troy 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 25 , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.63

Zac Thomas pass complete to Christan Horn for 54 yds to the Troy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the Troy 8 Camerun Peoples fumbled, forced by Luis Medina, recovered by AppSt Noah Hannon

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the Troy 5

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the Troy 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Zac Thomas pass complete to Caleb Spurlin for 2 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Parker McNeil run for 3 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Parker McNeil pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Parker McNeil pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Coale punt for 46 yds, downed at the AppSt 26

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +3.31

Anderson Castle run for 49 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the Troy 24

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the Troy 20

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the Troy 19

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.43

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the Troy 16

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Strong, Charles rush for 1 yard to the TROY17 (Dingle-Prince), PENALTY APP offside 5 yards to the TROY21, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Charles Strong run for no gain to the Troy 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Charles Strong run for 4 yds to the Troy 25

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Charles Strong run for 3 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kyle Toole run for 4 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Strong, Charles rush for no gain to the TROY32 (Dawkins, Tommy;Ellenberger, T.), PENALTY APP offside (Ellenberger, T.) 5 yards to the TROY37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Charles Strong run for 8 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Charles Strong run for 1 yd to the Troy 46

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Billingsley, DK rush for 6 yards to the APP48 (Bird, Tyler), PENALTY APP offside (Walliser, T.) 5 yards to the APP49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the AppSt 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Josh Mays run for 2 yds to the AppSt 46

4th & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.78

Charles Strong run for 4 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Christian Johnstone) to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the AppSt 24

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the AppSt 23

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

DK Billingsley run for 4 yds to the AppSt 19

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyle Toole run for 3 yds to the AppSt 13

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Josh Mays run for 4 yds to the AppSt 9

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Mays run for 2 yds to the AppSt 7

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
58%
31 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
64%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play