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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2020Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 1

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 53%

Market (consensus)

Georgia Southern +3

Edge: Georgia Southern +3 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
0103013
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
0614020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-76-106-1320-13
Georgia SouthernTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSTROGSTROGSTROGSGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSDOWNS630ydMISS839ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT34ydFG1887ydPUNT35ydTD10ydFG1257ydFG848ydEND517ydPUNT612ydPUNT39ydFG835ydTD275ydPUNT3-1ydTD885ydTO39ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT31ydPUNT416ydDOWNS635ydPUNT514ydPUNT3-1ydMISS533ydTO1064ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and Georgia Southern
StatisticTroyGeorgia Southern
Passing21-4712-13
Pass Yards20185
Rush Yards34326
Total Yards235411
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-165-15
Penalties3-276-60
Possession17:1342:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Jacob Free
21/47, 201 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jamontez Woods
3 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Kaylon Geiger
6 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Shai Werts
12/13, 85 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gerald Green
10 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
NaJee Thompson
1 REC, 35 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 20

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Logan Wright run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.01

J.D. King run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Troy 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.D. King run for 4 yds to the Troy 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

J.D. King run for no gain to the Troy 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.57

J.D. King run for no gain to the Troy 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacob Free pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Jacob Free pass complete to Tray Eafford for 14 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Jacob Free pass complete to Tray Eafford for 14 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacob Free pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jacob Free pass complete to Orlando Lacey for 4 yds to the GeoSo 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacob Free pass complete to Marcus Rogers for 4 yds to the GeoSo 16

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Evan Legassey 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 14

3rd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 15

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 38 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the Troy 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacob Free pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jacob Free pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 7

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 6

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Shai Werts pass complete to J.D. King for 10 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

J.D. King run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Matt LaRoche run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Logan Wright run for 19 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the Troy 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

J.D. King run for 2 yds to the Troy 31

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the Troy 17

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.31

Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the Troy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 16

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

J.D. King run for 10 yds to the Troy 6

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Shai Werts pass complete to Matt LaRoche for no gain to the Troy 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

Alex Raynor 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacob Free pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Free, Jacob pass incomplete to *, PENALTY GS offside 5 yards to the TROY36, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jacob Free pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Free pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Jack Martin punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 14 , Khaleb Hood returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 14

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+44 ydsPPA -7.34

Shai Werts pass intercepted for a TD Dell Pettus return for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Legassey KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 6 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.09

J.D. King run for 8 yds to the GASOUTHERN 49 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, personal foul (Reddy Steward) to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

J.D. King run for no gain to the Troy 34

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gerald Green run for no gain to the Troy 28 Gerald Green fumbled,

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the Troy 21

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Troy 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for 2 yds to the Troy 18

4th & 5Field Goal Good+35 yds

Alex Raynor 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray Eafford

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Jacob Free pass complete to Tray Eafford for 12 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.33

Jacob Free pass complete to Tez Johnson for 33 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 23

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacob Free pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 6 yds to the GeoSo 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacob Free pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Evan Legassey 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 14 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.29

Shai Werts sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 42

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the Troy 43

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Jacob Free pass complete to B.J. Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 47

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Orlando Lacey, broken up by Anthony Wilson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 52 yds, downed at the GeoSo 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 4

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 6

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 10

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 42 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the GeoSo 10 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, kick catching interference (NaJee Thompson) to the GeoSo 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacob Free pass complete to Orlando Lacey for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Jacob Free pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 7 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 20 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacob Free run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Kimani Vidal

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Evan Legassey 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Khaleb Hood run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.74

Gerald Green run for 69 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Kaylon Geiger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClain, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Darrell Baker Jr.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 9 yds to the GeoSo 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Malik Murray run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 36 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (Darion Anderson) to the GeoSo 26

1st & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.38

Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Gerald Green run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 47

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.86

Gerald Green run for 13 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.31

Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 35 yds to the Troy 5 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Shai Werts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 26 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (C.J. Wright) to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Jacob Free sacked by Anthony Wilson and Zyon McGee for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 35

2nd & 16Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacob Free pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for no gain to the GeoSo 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37

3rd & 4Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.05

Shai Werts sacked by TJ Harris for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSo 26

4th & 15Punt+3 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 41 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 3 yds to the Troy 29 TROY Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Troy 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Jacob Free pass complete to B.J. Smith for 2 yds to the Troy 30

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 53 yds, downed at the GeoSo 17

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Logan Wright run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Shai Werts pass complete to Matt LaRoche for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 33

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 35 yds, downed at the Troy 32

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Jamontez Woods run for 22 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 11 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamontez Woods run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Reggie Todd, broken up by Darrell Baker Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Rashad Byrd

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.82

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Anthony Wilson

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for no gain to the GeoSo 43

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the GeoSo 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClain

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 30 yds, downed at the Troy 49

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.11

Shai Werts run for 27 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the Troy 21

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the Troy 16

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Gerald Green run for no gain to the Troy 16

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Alex Raynor 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Troy 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jacob Free pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jacob Free pass complete to Reggie Todd for 13 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Jacob Free pass complete to Orlando Lacey for 20 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Jacob Free pass complete to Khalil McClain for 8 yds to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClain, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Jacob Free pass complete to Khalil McClain for 10 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClain, broken up by Derrick Canteen

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacob Free pass incomplete to B.J. Smith

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA -3.72

Jacob Free pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for 15 yds to the GeoSo 1 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Chris Harris Jr.) to the GeoSo 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 8

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 7

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
30 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
25%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play