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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2020Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulsa by 6.1

Home Win Probability

South Florida 33%

Market (consensus)

South Florida +12

Edge: South Florida +12 (5.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulsaTulsa
71421042
South FloridaSouth Florida
607013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-76-76-146-2113-2113-2813-42
South FloridaTulsa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULSFTULTULSFTULSFSFTULSFTULSFTULSFPUNT32ydTD465ydTO24ydTO10ydFG617ydPUNT37ydFG41ydPUNT643ydPUNT36ydTD1073ydPUNT417ydTD1280ydTO1171ydEND221ydPUNT34ydTD1072ydTD375ydTD34ydPUNT37ydTD756ydDOWNS1360ydPUNT524ydMISS945ydPUNT619ydEND2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulsa and South Florida
StatisticTulsaSouth Florida
Passing17-2522-36
Pass Yards235183
Rush Yards227122
Total Yards462305
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-122-15
Penalties5-406-30
Possession28:3331:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulsa
passing
Zach Smith
16/24, 233 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Deneric Prince
15 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Sam Crawford Jr.
4 REC, 82 YDS
defense
South Florida
passing
Noah Johnson
18/27, 150 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cade Fortin
4 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Omarion Dollison
6 REC, 54 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the SFla 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFla 29

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to DeVontres Odoms-Dukes

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 42 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 1 yd to the Tulsa 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 21 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

JuanCarlos Santana 33 Yd pass from Zach Smith (Zack Long Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the SFla 45

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.17

Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 45 Johnny Ford fumbled, forced by Akayleb Evans, recovered by Tulsa Lamar Mullins , return for no gain to the SFla 45

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+16 ydsPPA -3.46

Zach Smith pass intercepted for a 1ST down Daquan Evans return for 31 yds to the Tulsa 14 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Latrell Williams

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Jordan McCloud run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Latrell Williams

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jared Sackett 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 17

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 19

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

4th & 3Punt+60 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 50 yds , KJ Sails returns for 60 yds to the Tulsa 9

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 14

1st & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 13

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 5 yds to the Tulsa 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Jared Sackett 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 23

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 25

3rd & 1Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.89

Corey Taylor II run for 27 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 9 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Deneric Prince run for no gain to the SFla 39

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.61

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 15

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Brian Battie for 3 yds to the SFla 21

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 52 yds, downed at the Tulsa 27

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

JuanCarlos Santana run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Deneric Prince run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Deneric Prince run for 5 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 14 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Keylon Stokes run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 7 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 24

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.68

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 16 yds to the SFla 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the SFla 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Corey Taylor II 5 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Noah Johnson pass complete to Bryce Miller for 9 yds to the SFla 33

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Noah Johnson pass complete to Bryce Miller for 8 yds to the SFla 45

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 1 yd to the SFla 46

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 41

4th & 7Punt+13 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 52 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 13 yds to the Tulsa 20

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.62

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 15 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Deneric Prince run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 33

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.87

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 15 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Smith, Zach pass complete to Crawford Jr., Sam for 5 yards to the SOUFLA47, PENALTY TULSA illegal touching (Crawford Jr., Sam) 0 yards to the TULSA48, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Deneric Prince run for 4 yds to the SFla 48

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Smith, Zach pass incomplete to Crawford Jr., Sam, PENALTY SOUFLA offside 5 yards to the SOUFLA43, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.96

Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the SFla 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Stewart

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 10 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zach Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.23

Deneric Prince 27 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 8 yds to the SFla 31

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Noah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Noah Johnson pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 14 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Noah Johnson run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Noah Johnson pass complete to DeVontres Odoms-Dukes for 13 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Noah Johnson pass complete to Johnny Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 32

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Latrell Williams

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Johnson, Noah pass complete to Ford, Johnny for loss of 5 yards to the TULSA37, PENALTY TULSA personal foul 15 yards to the TULSA17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUFLA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Noah Johnson pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 10 yds to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Noah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 4

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Noah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 6

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.18

Noah Johnson run for no gain to the Tulsa 6 Noah Johnson fumbled, forced by Zaven Collins, recovered by Tulsa Grant Sawyer , return for no gain to the Tulsa 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.04

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 22 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Deneric Prince run for no gain to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 47 yds , KJ Sails returns for 4 yds to the SFla 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Cade Fortin pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cade Fortin run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 47

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 41

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Leonard Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 42

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.15

Cade Fortin pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 3 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.09

Cade Fortin run for 33 yds to the Tulsa 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Leonard Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 7

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Cade Fortin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 11

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Cade Fortin run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Bryce Miller 4 Yd pass from Noah Johnson (Jared Sackett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Deneric Prince run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Deneric Prince 62 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Latrell Williams) to the SFla 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Noah Johnson pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 5 yds to the SFla 39

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+38 ydsPPA -7.63

Zaven Collins 38 Yd Interception Return (Zack Long Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFla 16

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the SFla 18

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tulsa 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.90

Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 35 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Deneric Prince run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SFla 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Stewart for 15 yds to the SFla 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the SFla 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Corey Taylor II 1 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 10 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Johnson pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Omarion Dollison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Noah Johnson pass complete to Chris Carter for 4 yds to the Tulsa 39

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Johnson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 38

4th & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.68

Noah Johnson pass complete to Bryce Miller for 18 yds to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 12 yds to the Tulsa 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Leonard Parker run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 3

2nd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Noah Johnson sacked by Grant Sawyer for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 5

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Leonard Parker run for no gain to the Tulsa 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Christian Lovick run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 14

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.18

Christian Lovick run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Stewart for 5 yds to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Christian Lovick run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 30

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Noah Johnson run for 12 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Omarion Dollison

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.62

Noah Johnson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Noah Johnson pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 21 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Frederick Lloyd Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Noah Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Omarion Dollison

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jared Sackett 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Anthony Watkins run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Davis Brin pass complete to Cannon Montgomery for 2 yds to the Tulsa 45

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Malik Rodgers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 23

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 19

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 22

Situational Analysis

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
43%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays