Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 14, 2020Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 29.5

Home Win Probability

Liberty 94%

Market (consensus)

Liberty -39

Edge: Western Carolina +39 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 14, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
077014
LibertyLiberty
721141658

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-728-735-742-742-1448-1458-14
LibertyWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCLIBWCMISS941ydTD1266ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS49ydPUNT30ydTD791ydTD775ydTD675ydPUNT33ydTD662ydTO617ydMISS45ydEND524ydTD349ydMISS638ydTD168ydPUNT31ydTO529ydTD1157ydTD683ydTO410ydTD235ydPUNT35ydFG72ydTO24ydTO413ydEND511yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and Liberty
StatisticWestern CarolinaLiberty
Passing18-3018-24
Pass Yards140379
Rush Yards142254
Total Yards282633
Turnovers32
3rd Down5-138-12
Penalties4-207-77
Possession30:4429:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Will Jones
7/13, 74 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Donnavan Spencer
12 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Owen Cosenke
5 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Liberty
passing
Malik Willis
14/19, 306 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Malik Willis
8 CAR, 97 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kevin Shaa
2 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mark Wright pass complete to Reggie Jones for 8 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Donnavan Spencer run for 8 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Mark Wright pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 11 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mark Wright pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 6 yds to the Liber 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.26

Mark Wright pass complete to Reggie Jones for 4 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Mark Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Mark Wright run for 4 yds to the Liber 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Mark Wright pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Richard McCollum 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 8 yds to the Liber 42

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 8 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 11 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 10 yds to the WCaro 18 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the WCaro 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Malik Willis pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 4 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the WCaro 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 13 yds to the WCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the WCaro 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Mark Wright pass complete to Reggie Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 23

2nd & 12Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.43

Mark Wright sacked by Quinton Reese for a loss of 13 yards to the WCaro 10

3rd & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.05

Mark Wright pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 12 yds to the WCaro 22

4th & 13Punt+54 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 44 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 21 LIBERTY Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Liber 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Willis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 32

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mark Wright run for 4 yds to the Liber 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Mark Wright pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 1 yd to the Liber 27

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.89

Mark Wright sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 32

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 23 yds, downed at the Liber 9

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Joshua Mack run for 13 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 16 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malik Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 4 yds to the Liber 47

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.36

Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 44 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Caleb Ferguson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 26

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.54

Will Jones run for 4 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Caleb Ferguson run for 2 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.29

Will Jones pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 30 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Will Jones pass complete to Daquan Patten for 14 yds to the Liber 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Will Jones pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 9 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario Douglas

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.40

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 54 yds to the WCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Willis pass complete to Trevor Hobbs for 4 yds to the WCaro 15

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the WCaro 11

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Malik Willis run for 11 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Will Jones sacked by Tre'Shaun Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the WCaro 11

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Will Jones run for 6 yds to the WCaro 17

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Will Jones pass complete to Daquan Patten for 10 yds to the WCaro 27

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 22

4th & 7Punt+8 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 48 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 8 yds to the Liber 38

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Malik Willis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 44 Malik Willis fumbled, recovered by Liber

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.43

Malik Willis run for 11 yds to the WCaro 45

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the WCaro 40

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 40 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Participation (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 20

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Donnavan Spencer run for 12 yds to the WCaro 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the WCaro 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Donnavan Spencer run for 6 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Will Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+18 ydsPPA -0.63

Will Jones pass intercepted Durrell Johnson return for 18 yds to the WCaro 32

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 35

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Willis pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the WCaro 27

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Alex Barbir 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Donnavan Spencer run for 9 yds to the WCaro 36

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Calvin Jones run for no gain to the WCaro 36

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.59

Mark Wright run for 8 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Mark Wright sacked by Elijah James for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 41

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Donnavan Spencer run for 10 yds to the Liber 49

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Joshua Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 7 yds to the WCaro 43

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.54

Malik Willis run for 43 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mikai Stanley run for 5 yds to the WCaro 35

2nd & 5Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.54

Will Jones run for 28 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Jones pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 5 yds to the Liber 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Jones pass complete to Calvin Jones for no gain to the Liber 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Will Jones pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Richard McCollum 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Willis, Malik pass complete to Douglas, Demario for loss of 3 yards to the LIBERTY29, PENALTY LIBERTY face mask 15 yards to the LIBERTY17, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Passing Touchdown+83 ydsPPA +7.24

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 83 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Mikai Stanley run for 1 yd to the WCaro 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Will Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Will Jones pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 49 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 8 yds to the Liber 28

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Shedro Louis run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 13 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Trevor Hobbs for 1 yd Trevor Hobbs fumbled, recovered by WCaro

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mark Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.68

Mark Wright pass complete to Dylan Abernathy for 10 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Donnavan Spencer run for no gain to the Liber 45

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.66

Donnavan Spencer run for 15 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mark Wright pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 4 yds to the Liber 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Mark Wright pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 11 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Donnavan Spencer run for 6 yds to the Liber 9

2nd & 4Penalty+7 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the Liber 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 7

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mark Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Donnavan Spencer run for 4 yds to the Liber 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Mark Wright run for 3 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the Liber 25

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 26

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.78

Joshua Mack run for 14 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the Liber 44

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +6.02

Chris Ferguson pass complete to CJ Daniels for 56 yds for a TD (Jason Stricker PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Donnavan Spencer run for 5 yds to the WCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Mark Wright run for 5 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mark Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -0.74

Mark Wright pass intercepted Carl Poole return for 6 yds to the WCaro 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the WCaro 34

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.50

Peytton Pickett run for 34 yds for a TD (Jason Stricker KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Mark Wright run for 1 yd to the WCaro 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Mark Wright pass complete to Luke Sutton for 1 yd to the WCaro 22

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Mark Wright run for 8 yds to the WCaro 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caleb Ferguson punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCaro 38

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Troy Henderson run for 9 yds to the WCaro 29

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the WCaro 25

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Troy Henderson run for 5 yds to the WCaro 20 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WCaro 30

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.86

Johnathan Bennett sacked by Ty Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 35

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Troy Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 36

4th & 18Field Goal Good+54 yds

Alex Barbir 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Malik Richardson run for 4 yds to the WCaro 13

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Malik Richardson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 14 Malik Richardson fumbled, forced by Carl Poole, recovered by Liber Carl Poole

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Troy Henderson run for 4 yds to the WCaro 9

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the WCaro 6

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.99

Troy Henderson run for 5 yds Troy Henderson fumbled, recovered by WCaro

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Haki Bradley run for 3 yds to the WCaro 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Will Jones pass complete to Luke Sutton for 6 yds to the WCaro 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Haki Bradley run for 3 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Haki Bradley run for 2 yds to the WCaro 34

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Malik Richardson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 31

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays