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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 56%

Market (consensus)

Western Kentucky -14

Edge: Chattanooga +14 (9.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Chattanooga
703010
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
303713

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-73-76-1013-10
Western KentuckyChattanooga

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHACHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHAWKTD1475ydFG750ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydDOWNS1569ydTO1959ydEND21ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT35ydFG44ydFG943ydPUNT921ydDOWNS539ydDOWNS930ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-1ydTD1054ydDOWNS4-5ydUncategorized1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Chattanooga and Western Kentucky
StatisticChattanoogaWestern Kentucky
Passing9-2316-25
Pass Yards90132
Rush Yards135122
Total Yards225254
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-153-12
Penalties4-343-25
Possession32:2126:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Chattanooga
passing
Drayton Arnold
9/23, 90 YDS
rushing
Ailym Ford
25 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Tyron Arnett
2 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Western Kentucky
passing
Tyrrell Pigrome
4/8, 73 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gaej Walker
17 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
Mitchell Tinsley
4 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 28

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Drayton Arnold run for 12 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Chatt 46

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.74

Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the WKent 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Chris James for 5 yds to the WKent 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Drayton Arnold run for 3 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyrell Price run for 2 yds to the WKent 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 12 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Ailym Ford run for 13 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.61

Drayton Arnold run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 14 Drayton Arnold fumbled,

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the WKent 10

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Drayton Arnold run for 10 yds for a TD, (Victor Ulmo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kevaris Thomas run for no gain to the WKent 36

2nd & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.47

Gaej Walker run for 38 yds to the Chatt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Gaej Walker run for 10 yds to the Chatt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the Chatt 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 15

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Joshua Simon for 1 yd to the Chatt 14

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brayden Narveson 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 8 yds to the Chatt 33

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.90

Drayton Arnold sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Chatt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 4 yds to the WKent 39

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.99

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 53 yds, downed at the Chatt 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 4 yds to the Chatt 14

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 8 yds to the Chatt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the Chatt 29

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Drayton Arnold run for 9 yds to the Chatt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Ailym Ford run for 9 yds to the Chatt 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete, broken up by Dominique Bradshaw

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Tyrell Price rush for 2 yards to the UTC49 (MALONE, D.), PENALTY UTC false start (Colin Truett) 5 yards to the UTC42, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.87

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 16 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the WKent 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the WKent 38

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drayton Arnold run for 4 yds to the WKent 34

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.72

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly, broken up by Omari Alexander

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Reginald Henderson for 8 yds to the WKent 21

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.50

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 3 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 9 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the WKent 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.49

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WKent 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Gaej Walker for 11 yds to the Chatt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 7 yds to the Chatt 35

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jakairi Moses run for 11 yds to the Chatt 24 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Craig Burt Jr.) to the Chatt 34

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the Chatt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 7 yds to the Chatt 25

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 5 yds to the Chatt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mitchell Tinsley run for 5 yds to the Chatt 15

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Chatt 14

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Xavier Lane for 4 yds to the Chatt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.84

Craig Burt Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the Chatt 18

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -3.65

Kevaris Thomas run for a loss of 8 yards to the Chatt 20 Kevaris Thomas fumbled, forced by Jay Person, recovered by Chatt Ty Boeck

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson, broken up by Beanie Bishop

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kevaris Thomas pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for no gain to the WKent 30

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Kevaris Thomas sacked by Jay Person for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 23

4th & 18Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 43

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Drayton Arnold run for no gain to the Chatt 43

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Drayton Arnold run for 4 yds to the Chatt 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 41 yds , Dionté Ruffin returns for no gain to the WKent 9 Dionté Ruffin fumbled, recovered by Chatt Jerrell Lawson

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the WKent 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the WKent 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson, broken up by Dionté Ruffin

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Victor Ulmo 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 49

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.88

Gaej Walker run for 11 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Chatt 34

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the Chatt 34

3rd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.24

Jakairi Moses run for 23 yds to the Chatt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MOSES, J. rush for 8 yards to the UTC3 (Jerrell Lawson), PENALTY WKU holding (WITT, T.) 10 yards to the UTC21, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

2nd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Kevaris Thomas run for 7 yds to the Chatt 14

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kevaris Thomas pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Jay Person

4th & 13Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brayden Narveson 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 5 yds to the Chatt 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drayton Arnold run for no gain to the Chatt 35

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense (Jeremy Darvin) to the Chatt 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Chris James for 3 yds to the Chatt 43 CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.37

Drayton Arnold run for 4 yds to the Chatt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 47

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Drayton Arnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 46

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Reginald Henderson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.96

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 38 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 3 yds to the Chatt 32

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 34

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 41

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.50

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 2 yds to the Chatt 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.27

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 25 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the WKent 27

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly (MEADOWS, T.), PENALTY UTC holding (Harrison Moon) 10 yards to the WKU37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the WKent 36

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the WKent 36

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Chris James

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

4th & 11Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 53 yds, downed at the Chatt 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 19

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.43

Drayton Arnold sacked by Eli Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the Chatt 11 CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 46

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the Chatt 47

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Chatt 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 1 yd to the Chatt 45

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.19

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Chatt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.70

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 28 yds to the Chatt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Chatt 12

2nd & 9Penalty+6 yds

PIGROME, T. pass incomplete to TINSLEY, M., PENALTY UTC roughing passer (Jay Person) 6 yards to the UTC6, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Chatt 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 3

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

CHATTANOOGA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-13 Yards) to the Chatt 12

1st & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Kanore McKinnon

2nd & 23Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 8 yds to the Chatt 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Kanore McKinnon

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.36

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly, broken up by Omari Alexander

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 22

Situational Analysis

Chattanooga

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play