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← Back to GamesNov 15, 2019Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Kent State 36%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 15, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
7107327
Kent StateKent State
0602430

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-143-176-246-2713-2727-2730-27
Kent StateBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSKSKSBUFKSBUFKSKSBUFKSBUFKSTD854ydPUNT614ydPUNT734ydPUNT3-6ydTD950ydTO718ydFG860ydFG1061ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT515ydPUNT3-9ydFG317ydPUNT416ydTD1993ydPUNT3-13ydFG849ydTD1176ydTD254ydPUNT30ydTD44ydPUNT520ydFG943yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Kent State
StatisticBuffaloKent State
Passing9-2216-25
Pass Yards134165
Rush Yards245119
Total Yards379284
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-168-16
Penalties5-558-59
Possession36:2823:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Kyle Vantrease
9/22, 134 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jaret Patterson
30 CAR, 141 YDS
receiving
Daniel Lee
4 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kent State
passing
Dustin Crum
16/25, 165 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Xavier Williams
9 CAR, 42 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Williams
2 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 46

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Elvis Hines

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 37

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Jaret Patterson run for 10 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Daniel Lee

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 25

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (Evin Ksiezarczyk) to the KntSt 30

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.46

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Daniel Lee for 30 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the KntSt 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 3 yds to the KntSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.27

Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the KntSt 40

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.96

Dustin Crum sacked by Malcolm Koonce and Taylor Riggins for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 35

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Derek Adams punt for 41 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 2 yds to the Buff 26

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Kevin Marks run for 17 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Elvis Hines

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the KntSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.11

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 25 yds, downed at the KntSt 15

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CRUM, Dustin pass complete to PRICE, Kavious for 11 yards to the KENTST26, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KENTST ineligible downfield on pass (GREGOIRE, Adam) 5 yards to the KENTST10, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 9

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41

4th & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.35

Jaret Patterson run for 16 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 28

3rd & 13Penalty+13 yds

VANTREASE, Kyle pass incomplete to NUNN, Antonio, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (HINES, Elvis) 13 yards to the KENTST15, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 9

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Kyle Vantrease run for 8 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kyle Vantrease run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 6 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.40

Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Kavious Price run for 8 yds to the Buff 21

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the Buff 20

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 22

1st & 15Pass Interception Return-18 ydsPPA -4.04

Dustin Crum pass intercepted Joey Banks return for 18 yds to the Buff 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.65

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 31 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 12 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Daniel Lee for 18 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 10

2nd & 7Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.08

Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 3 BUFFALO Penalty, illegal block (Antonio Nunn) to the KntSt 18

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 14

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr., broken up by Keith Sherald Jr.

4th & 11Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex McNulty 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 12 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the KntSt 49

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joachim Bangda run for no gain to the KntSt 49

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

CRUM, Dustin sacked for loss of 5 yards to the KENTST44 (ONWUKA, Chibuez), PENALTY UB illegal use of hands (WILSON, Eddie) 15 yards to the UB36, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Aapri Washington

3rd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.30

Joachim Bangda run for 17 yds to the Buff 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the Buff 13

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 18

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the Buff 11

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the Buff 6

4th & 1Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.13

Matthew Trickett 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Daniel Lee, broken up by Elvis Hines

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 43 yds, downed at the KntSt 34

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.66

Will Matthews run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 28

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the KntSt 33

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.82

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Daniel Lee for 6 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 31

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kyle Vantrease run for 5 yds to the Buff 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr., broken up by Qwuantrezz Knight

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 36 yds , Jamal Parker returns for 2 yds to the KntSt 30

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Dustin Crum sacked by Malcolm Koonce for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 26

2nd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.39

Dustin Crum sacked by Ledarius Mack for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 18

3rd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 37 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for no gain to the Buff 33 Ron Cook Jr. fumbled, recovered by KntSt Isaac Vance

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Matthews run for 15 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the Buff 16

2nd & 8Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -1.21

Matthew Trickett 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Dustin Crum pass complete to Xavier Williams for 15 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KntSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the Buff 49

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.31

Dustin Crum sacked by Taylor Riggins for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 45 yds, downed at the Buff 7

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Buff 12

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Daniel Lee for 4 yds to the Buff 16

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Buff 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 12 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the KntSt 47

4th & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.64

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jaret Patterson for 12 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the KntSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the KntSt 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre, broken up by Jamal Parker

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 9 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the KntSt 8

3rd & 7Penalty+6 yds

VANTREASE, Kyle pass incomplete to NUNN, Antonio, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (PARKER, Jamal) 6 yards to the KENTST2, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the KntSt 39

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

CRUM, Dustin rush for no gain to the KENTST39, out-of-bounds (TERRY, Tim), PENALTY KENTST holding (WARNOCK, Nate) 10 yards to the KENTST29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

CRUM, Dustin pass complete to PRICE, Kavious for 6 yards to the KENTST35, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KENTST ineligible downfield on pass (GREGOIRE, Adam) 5 yards to the KENTST24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25

3rd & 19Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dustin Crum sacked by Malcolm Koonce for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 21

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.96

Ron Cook Jr. run for 25 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 37

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 36

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.81

Jaret Patterson run for 16 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the KntSt 14

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (Antonio Nunn) to the KntSt 19

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 14

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the KntSt 14

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.69

Alex McNulty 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Dustin Crum pass complete to Keenan Orr for 7 yds to the KntSt 31

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dustin Crum run for 7 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joachim Bangda run for 5 yds to the KntSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 6 yds to the Buff 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 12 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 20

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

CRUM, Dustin rush for 20 yards to the UB0, clock 08:17, PENALTY KENTST holding (JOHNSON, Daniel) 10 yards to the UB30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Xavier Williams run for 20 yds to the Buff 10

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Buff 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Xavier Williams run for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 13 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Dustin Crum pass complete to Xavier Williams for 41 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Daniel Lee

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr., broken up by Keith Sherald Jr.

4th & 10Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Jeremiah Salaam blocked by Jeremiah Salaam

1st & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Buff 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keenan Orr

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Jaret Patterson run for 10 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Buff 45

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 45

4th & 3Punt+16 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 41 yds , Jamal Parker returns for 16 yds to the KntSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 7 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Dustin Crum pass complete to Keenan Orr for 12 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.19

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 17 yds to the Buff 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA -1.26

Matthew Trickett 44 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
29%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play