Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 18.6

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 11%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
07007
Bowling GreenBowling Green
1073020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-717-720-7
Bowling GreenToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGFG561ydTO662ydTD791ydPUNT35ydPUNT510ydTD1475ydTD982ydPUNT38ydDOWNS49ydPUNT32ydTO20ydMISS678ydDOWNS736ydPUNT414ydMISS856ydFG1067ydPUNT417ydPUNT942ydPUNT619ydPUNT514ydDOWNS1024ydDOWNS46ydTO635ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Bowling Green
StatisticToledoBowling Green
Passing23-3514-21
Pass Yards260185
Rush Yards132240
Total Yards392425
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-166-14
Penalties2-109-74
Possession29:2730:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Mitchell Guadagni
17/20, 194 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bryant Koback
14 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Grant Loy
14/21, 185 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Grant Loy
19 CAR, 137 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryson Denley
6 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.53

Grant Loy run for 56 yds to the Toled 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Grant Loy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 6 yds to the Toled 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Davon Jones

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.57

Nate Needham 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 29

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.71

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Drew Rosi for 15 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.50

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 50 yds to the BwGrn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the BwGrn 4

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Cameron Bell) to the BwGrn 9

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.26

Mitchell Guadagni run for no gain to the BwGrn 9 Mitchell Guadagni fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Nico Lautanen

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Grant Loy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 10

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.01

Grant Loy pass complete to Austin Dorris for 12 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Grant Loy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Grant Loy run for no gain to the BwGrn 28

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 66 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY TOLEDO personal foul off-setting, PENALTY BGSU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 2

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 4 yds to the Toled 6

4th & 5Punt+64 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 64 yds , Jake Rogers returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 29

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

RB Marlow III run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 38

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Grant Loy run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.55

Grant Loy sacked by Nate Givhan for a loss of 11 yards to the BwGrn 39

3rd & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Grant Loy pass complete to Davon Jones for no gain to the BwGrn 39

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 36 yds, downed at the Toled 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 6 yds to the Toled 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (Jerry Roberts) to the Toled 45

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryant Koback run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.38

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 6 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 6 yds to the BwGrn 26

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Mitchell Guadagni run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Mitchell Guadagni run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 23

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Mitchell Guadagni run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 14

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Bryant Koback for 14 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Grant Loy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 27

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Davon Jones run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Grant Loy pass complete to Davon Jones for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.68

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 15 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Austin Dorris) to the Toled 46

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 3 yds to the Toled 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Grant Loy pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 6 yds to the Toled 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 22 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Grant Loy run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 5 yds to the Toled 7

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 4

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Drew Rosi for 6 yds to the Toled 10

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Grant Loy run for 1 yd to the Toled 32

2nd & 9Penalty-9 yds

LOY, Grant pass incomplete to ORTEGA-JONES, J, PENALTY BGSU holding 9 yards to the TOLEDO41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.44

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 12 yds to the Toled 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the Toled 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Davon Jones run for no gain to the Toled 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 30

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Mitchell Guadagni sacked by Nico Lautanen for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 26

4th & 8Blocked Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt blocked by Jamari Bozeman blocked by Jamari Bozeman

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Davon Jones run for no gain to the Toled 17

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -4.08

Grant Loy pass intercepted Samuel Womack return for 8 yds to the Toled 16 Samuel Womack fumbled, forced by Davon Jones, recovered by Toled Jordan Fisher

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Mitchell Guadagni run for 10 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.90

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Drew Rosi for 27 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.79

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Bryant Koback for 9 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Bryant Koback run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Blocked Field Goal+23 yds

Evan Davis 23 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by David Konowalski

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 16 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Bryant Koback for 9 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.10

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 5 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.15

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 42

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Bryson Denley run for 12 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Wayne-Prather run for 3 yds to the Toled 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the Toled 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin Dorris

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (David Konowalski) to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49

2nd & 5Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.49

Mitchell Guadagni run for 31 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 7 yds to the BwGrn 11

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Reggie Gilliam) to the BwGrn 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 15

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.16

Mitchell Guadagni sacked by Jordan Anderson for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 24

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Evan Davis 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.30

Grant Loy run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 45

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Grant Loy run for no gain to the BwGrn 48

3rd & 12Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.60

Grant Loy pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 26 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Grant Loy run for 1 yd to the Toled 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 10 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 4 yds to the Toled 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Bryson Denley

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.88

Nate Needham 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Bryant Koback run for 11 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Bryant Koback run for 8 yds to the Toled 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips, broken up by Jordan Anderson

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 35 yds, downed at the BwGrn 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Davon Jones run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Davon Jones run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Bryson Denley run for 10 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the Toled 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin Morris

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Grant Loy pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the Toled 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 10 yds to the Toled 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.78

Carter Bradley sacked by Nico Lautanen for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 12

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Bryant Koback run for 9 yds to the Toled 21

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the Toled 23 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 51 yds, downed at the BwGrn 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Davon Jones run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Grant Loy run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 43

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Davon Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 38

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Grant Loy run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 40

4th & 6Punt+43 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 43 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 4 yds to the Toled 20

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Carter Bradley run for 5 yds to the Toled 25

4th & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 4 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Nick Kovacs, broken up by Jamari Bozeman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.24

Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 15 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Carter Bradley sacked by David Konowalski for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 40

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell, broken up by JaJuan Hudson

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.16

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Nick Kovacs, broken up by Jamari Bozeman

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the Toled 39

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the Toled 35

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the Toled 34

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.22

Grant Loy pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Eli Peters pass complete to Bryant Koback for 9 yds to the Toled 43

2nd & 1Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.05

Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 24 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell, broken up by Jordan Anderson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Eli Peters run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 26

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Eli Peters sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 31 Eli Peters fumbled, recovered by Toled Nick Rosi , return for 0 yards

4th & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.02

Eli Peters pass intercepted, touchback. Jamari Bozeman return for no gain

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
54%
28 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays