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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6
OhioOhio
21
-Final
20
BuffaloBuffalo
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 2.9

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 52%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
OhioOhio
0077721
BuffaloBuffalo
0707620

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-14
BuffaloOhio

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIOHIMISS768ydPUNT1038ydTD1590ydDOWNS1371ydDOWNS1256ydEND1-6ydTD878ydTO650ydTO1253ydPUNT35ydTO2-13ydTD134ydPUNT418ydPUNT34ydTD448ydPUNT37ydMISS531ydMISS1036ydPUNT38ydEND130yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio and Buffalo
StatisticOhioBuffalo
Passing12-1916-23
Pass Yards155197
Rush Yards186181
Total Yards341378
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-136-14
Penalties2-154-30
Possession31:5628:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio
passing
Nathan Rourke
12/19, 155 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
O'Shann Allison
27 CAR, 96 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Shane Hooks
1 REC, 34 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Kyle Vantrease
16/23, 197 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kevin Marks
22 CAR, 112 YDS
receiving
Jaret Patterson
1 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 2 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +4.33

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jaret Patterson for 61 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Ohio 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 4

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (AWOSIKA, Kayode) 5 yards to the OHIO9, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 7

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Jackson Baltar 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Nathan Rourke run for 12 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 2 yds to the Ohio 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 10 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Buff 45

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Nathan Rourke sacked by Taylor Riggins for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 46

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to O'Shaan Allison

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 4 yds to the Buff 42

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Michael Farkas punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Kyle Vantrease run for 9 yds to the Buff 19

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Kyle Vantrease run for 2 yds to the Buff 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 11 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

[PSTL], PENALTY OHIO offside (EVANS, W.) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.26

Kevin Marks run for 10 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the Ohio 33

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.09

Kevin Marks run for 11 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Carlton Todd for 5 yds to the Ohio 17

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for no gain to the Ohio 11

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the Ohio 4

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Ohio 4

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.94

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

[PSTL], ROURKE, N. pass incomplete to BUCKNER, J., PENALTY UB pass interference (HILL, Tyrone) 15 yards to the OHIO40, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Ohio 47

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 16 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the Buff 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the Buff 18

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.26

Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds to the Buff 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the Buff 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the Buff 10

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

[SGUN], ROURKE, N. pass complete to ALLISON, O. for no gain to the UB10 (WRIGHT, Kadofi), PENALTY UB holding (BAKER, Roy) 5 yards to the UB5, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.64

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the Buff 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the Buff 1

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan Luehrman

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 4

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 8

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 24

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Carlton Todd for 6 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.59

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Carlton Todd for 16 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 6 yds to the Ohio 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.02

Nathan Rourke sacked by Malcolm Koonce and Chibueze Onwuka for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 14 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 20 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Nathan Rourke run for 7 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.12

O'Shaan Allison run for 8 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Isiah Cox run for 15 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

O'Shaan Allison run for 8 yds to the Buff 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Buff 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Nathan Rourke run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.28

Kyle Vantrease run for 4 yds to the Ohio 25 Kyle Vantrease fumbled, forced by Eric Popp, recovered by Ohio Javon Hagan

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 23 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 6 yds to the Ohio 30

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.05

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 9 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 7 yds to the Ohio 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Buff 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 5 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.35

Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Kadofi Wright return for no gain to the Buff 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 14

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ohio 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the Ohio 47

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.75

Nathan Rourke sacked by Malcolm Koonce for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 34 Nathan Rourke fumbled, recovered by Buff Taylor Riggins , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 34 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 18 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to De'Montre Tuggle

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 12

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 37 yds , DL Knock returns for 3 yds to the Buff 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.14

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 34 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Buff 10

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Kevin Marks for 5 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (NUNN, Antonio) 5 yards to the UB25, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Carlton Todd for 7 yds to the Buff 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 34 yds, fair catch by DL Knock at the Ohio 34

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.29

Nathan Rourke run for 29 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[PSTL], ALLISON, O. rush for 4 yards to the UB33 (BANKS, Joey), PENALTY OHIO holding (MESERVY, H.) 10 yards to the UB47, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.87

Nathan Rourke sacked by Taylor Riggins for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 47

2nd & 26Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49

3rd & 24Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.61

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 16 yds to the Buff 35

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Louie Zervos 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 42

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kyle Vantrease run for 2 yds to the Ohio 40

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Kyle Vantrease run for 2 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Ohio 38

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Kevin Marks for 7 yds to the Ohio 29

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Jackson Baltar 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Ohio 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Michael Farkas punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 11

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Ohio 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Kevin Marks run for 10 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Ohio 8

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Ohio 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

Kyle Vantrease run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Buff 19

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

O'Shaan Allison run for 8 yds to the Buff 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Buff 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

O'Shaan Allison 5 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)

Situational Analysis

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
10 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play