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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 66%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
1000010
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
241914057

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425610-317-1030-1036-1050-1057-10
Western MichiganGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMTD275ydFG660ydFG744ydPUNT1139ydTD480ydTD475ydTD475ydPUNT517ydTD380ydTO330ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-5ydTD480ydPUNT418ydPUNT524ydTO3-10ydTD426ydEND14ydPUNT616ydTD1196ydDOWNS718ydTD439ydPUNT517ydPUNT419ydPUNT35ydPUNT516ydTO31ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-4ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Western Michigan
StatisticGeorgia StateWestern Michigan
Passing11-2516-21
Pass Yards126244
Rush Yards210450
Total Yards336694
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-164-11
Penalties9-9511-85
Possession27:3032:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
11/20, 126 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tra Barnett
19 CAR, 127 YDS
receiving
Devin Gentry
1 REC, 44 YDS
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Jon Wassink
15/20, 246 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
LeVante Bellamy
15 CAR, 192 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Skyy Moore
6 REC, 97 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 20 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (D'Wayne Eskridge) to the WMich 40

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +5.51

LeVante Bellamy run for 60 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 11 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.54

Tra Barnett run for 45 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the WMich 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the WMich 15

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.50

Brandon Wright 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 16 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.30

Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 20 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jon Wassink pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 11

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.60

Thiago Kapps 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Seth Paige run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.35

Dan Ellington pass complete to Matlin Marshall for 18 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Matlin Marshall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dan Ellington pass complete to Matlin Marshall for 5 yds to the WMich 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal procedure ( Yards) declined

2nd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.17

Dan Ellington sacked by Treshaun Hayward for a loss of 13 yards to the WMich 40

3rd & 23Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.83

Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the WMich 36 GEORGIA ST Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the WMich 46

3rd & 29Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Dan Ellington run for 10 yds to the WMich 36

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the WMich 26

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the WMich 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Sean Tyler run for 61 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)

1st & 10Rush+64 ydsPPA +3.56

Dan Ellington run for 64 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the WMich 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 2 yds to the WMich 24

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the WMich 20

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.03

Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 30 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jon Wassink pass incomplete

3rd & 11Penalty+10 yds

WASSINK, J. pass incomplete to CROOMS, C., PENALTY GSU pass interference (Gore, Tyler) 10 yards to the GSU36, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

LeVante Bellamy run for 36 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tra Barnett run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Tra Barnett run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Justin Tranquill

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the WMich 49

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.85

Dan Ellington sacked by Drake Spears and Treshaun Hayward for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 42

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 38 yds , Skyy Moore returns for no gain to the WMich 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 20

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WMich 27

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +6.69

LeVante Bellamy run for 73 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 36

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to Gentry, Devin, QB hurry by BALABANI, A., PENALTY GSU personal foul (Carter, Roger) 15 yards to the GSU16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 24Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.14

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 44 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.81

Dan Ellington pass intercepted Justin Tranquill return for no gain to the WMich 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall, broken up by Tyler Gore

4th & 4Punt+11 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds , Cornelius McCoy returns for 11 yds to the GeoSt 41 GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 24

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.29

Dan Ellington sacked by Alex Grace for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 17

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 55 yds , Keith Mixon Jr. returns for 2 yds to the WMich 19 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WMich 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.77

Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 33 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jon Wassink pass complete to Keith Mixon Jr. for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.89

Sean Tyler run for 30 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Tra Barnett run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Ellington, Dan pass complete to Barnett, Tra for 1 yard to the GSU40 (CURTIS, A.;BARNES, Z.), PENALTY GSU illegal block (McCoy, C.) 10 yards to the GSU29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Destin Coates run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Matlin Marshall, broken up by Stefan Claiborne

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 56 yds, downed at the WMich 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.61

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 14 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jon Wassink pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the WMich 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cornelius McCoy at the GeoSt 36

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 9 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.74

Dan Ellington sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 33

3rd & 13Penalty-10 yds

Ellington, Dan pass complete to McCoy, C. for 21 yards to the WMU46, PENALTY GSU HL (Glover, Travis) 10 yards to the GSU23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA +0.35

Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 1 yd Destin Coates fumbled, forced by Treshaun Hayward, recovered by WMich Drake Spears

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Jon Wassink run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Jon Wassink run for 16 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney, broken up by Anton Curtis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 55 yds, downed at the WMich 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 6

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Jon Wassink pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.82

Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 19 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 44

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 49

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.26

Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 5 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Jon Wassink pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 41 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.73

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 1 yd to the GeoSt 32

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Ellington, Dan pass incomplete, PENALTY WMU offside (SPEARS, D.) 5 yards to the GSU37, NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 39

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Davon Tucker run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 19

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.25

Davon Tucker run for 19 yds for a TD, (Thiago Kapps KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Andre Carter) to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 13Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Andre Carter) to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Cornelious Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cornelious Brown pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Sean Tyler run for 23 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TYLER, S. rush for 9 yards to the GSU48 (Bacon, Chris;Williams, C.), PENALTY WMU personal foul (DEATHERAGE, D.) 15 yards to the WMU28, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Ra'Sean Davie run for 5 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Ra'Sean Davie run for no gain to the WMich 33

3rd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Ra'Sean Davie run for 6 yds to the WMich 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Cornelius McCoy at the GeoSt 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Destin Coates

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Matlin Marshall

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyron Arnett at the WMich 22

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Dawson Schick run for 8 yds to the WMich 30

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Dawson Schick run for 6 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dawson Schick run for 4 yds to the WMich 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Griffin Alstott pass complete to Alex Mussat for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 38

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ra'Sean Davie run for no gain to the WMich 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cornelius McCoy at the GeoSt 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Darius Stubbs run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 25

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.09

Cornelious Brown pass intercepted Harrison Taylor return for no gain to the WMich 47

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 42

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Dawson Schick run for 1 yd to the WMich 43

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Dawson Schick run for 3 yds to the WMich 46

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Dawson Schick run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 32 yds, downed at the GeoSt 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Darius Stubbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 12

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Stubbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 10

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSt 10

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ra'Sean Davie run for 1 yd to the WMich 38

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

DAVIE, R. rush for 7 yards to the WMU45 (Veneziale, J.), PENALTY WMU FL (TODD, J.) 10 yards to the WMU28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ra'Sean Davie run for 4 yds to the WMich 32

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Dawson Schick run for 2 yds to the WMich 34

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
29 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
88%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play