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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 53%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Illinois State
030710
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
3071424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-310-317-1024-10
Northern IllinoisIllinois State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNININIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISISNIPUNT832ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT30ydFG973ydPUNT31ydPUNT56ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydPUNT421ydPUNT518ydTO22ydFG517ydMISS957ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS525ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT3-1ydTD992ydTD575ydTD168ydPUNT729ydPUNT833ydDOWNS751ydPUNT37ydTD10ydDOWNS524ydUncategorized3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois State and Northern Illinois
StatisticIllinois StateNorthern Illinois
Passing14-3220-33
Pass Yards187299
Rush Yards5190
Total Yards238389
Turnovers21
3rd Down1-143-15
Penalties4-368-86
Possession26:4633:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois State
passing
Brady Davis
14/32, 187 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brady Davis
8 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Taylor Grimes
6 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Northern Illinois
passing
Ross Bowers
20/33, 299 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tre Harbison
23 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Tyrice Richie
3 REC, 102 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Kyle Pugh
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the IllSt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 11 yds to the IllSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Davis pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, offside defense (Jordan Cole) to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

James Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.51

Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brady Davis run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

James Robinson run for no gain to the NoIll 44

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

James Robinson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Ross Bowers sacked by Tuvone Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 12

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

3rd & 18Penalty-6 yds

BOWERS, Ross pass complete to LERSCH, Corey for 17 yards to the NIU29 (Draka,Dylan), PENALTY NIU personal foul 6 yards to the NIU6, NO PLAY.

3rd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.03

Ross Bowers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 11 yds to the NoIll 17

4th & 13Punt+14 yds

Matt Ference punt for 51 yds , Taylor Grimes returns for 14 yds to the IllSt 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor Grimes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brady Davis pass incomplete to James Robinson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brady Davis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the NoIll 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 12 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 6 yds to the NoIll 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.31

Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 45 yds to the IllSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Marcus Jones run for no gain to the IllSt 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the IllSt 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

John Richardson 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jeffrey Proctor run for no gain to the IllSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Brady Davis run for 1 yd to the IllSt 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady Davis pass incomplete to James Robinson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the NoIll 27

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 24

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor Grimes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Brady Davis pass complete to Braxton Haley for 9 yds to the IllSt 41

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

James Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 7 yds to the NoIll 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

James Robinson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor Grimes, broken up by Mark Aitken

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brady Davis run for no gain to the IllSt 23

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 46 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 4 yds to the NoIll 27 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoIll 25

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Tre Harbison run for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ross Bowers pass incomplete, broken up by John Ridgeway

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 4 yds to the NoIll 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jeffrey Proctor run for 7 yds to the IllSt 16

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Brady Davis pass complete to Robert Gillum for 10 yds to the IllSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jeffrey Proctor run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 25

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jeffrey Proctor run for 2 yds to the IllSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Brady Davis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 46 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Ross Bowers pass intercepted Dylan Draka return for 3 yds to the NoIll 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 13 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brady Davis run for 4 yds to the NoIll 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brady Davis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.50

Sam Fenlason 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the NoIll 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Ritchie

3rd & 3Penalty+6 yds

BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Denni, PENALTY ILS pass interference (Woods,Charles) 6 yards to the NIU49, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.37

Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 27 yds to the IllSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ross Bowers run for 3 yds to the IllSt 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 3 yds to the IllSt 18

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+36 yds

John Richardson 36 yd FG MISSED

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Ross Bowers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 28

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.42

Ross Bowers sacked by Romeo McKnight and Zeke Vandenburgh for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 45 yds , Taylor Grimes returns for no gain to the IllSt 33 Taylor Grimes fumbled, recovered by NoIll Marshe Terry

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.33

Tre Harbison run for 17 yds to the IllSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the IllSt 13

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ross Bowers run for 5 yds to the IllSt 8

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the IllSt 7

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.10

Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

James Robinson run for no gain to the IllSt 8

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

James Robinson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 10

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Brady Davis run for 1 yd to the IllSt 11

4th & 7Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 48 yds, downed at the NoIll 41

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 5 yds to the NoIll 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson, broken up by Luther Kirk

4th & 7Penalty-15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 29

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 26

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

James Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IllSt 23

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Blackman run for 2 yds to the IllSt 25

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

4th & 11Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 67 yds, downed at the NoIll 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Ross Bowers pass complete to Maximilian Thrower for 8 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 12 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 16 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Maximilian Thrower, broken up by Ty DeForest

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.34

Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 21 yds to the IllSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 10 yds to the IllSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 22 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Brady Davis pass complete to Braxton Haley for 15 yds to the IllSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Proctor,Jeff rush for 3 yards to the ILS43 (JONES-DAVIS, A), PENALTY ILS holding (Rients,Jared) 10 yards to the ILS30, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Brady Davis pass complete to Braxton Haley for 7 yds to the IllSt 37

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jeffrey Proctor run for 2 yds to the IllSt 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.46

Brady Davis pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 19 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 42 yds for a TD, (Sam Fenlason KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Ritchie for 68 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

James Robinson run for no gain to the IllSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Davis,Brady pass incomplete to Grimes,Taylor, PENALTY NIU personal foul (LEROY, Ben) 15 yards to the ILS37, 1ST DOWN ILS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brady Davis run for 6 yds to the IllSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Jeffrey Proctor run for 6 yds to the IllSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the IllSt 34

1st & 25Penalty+15 yds

Davis,Brady pass incomplete to Grimes,Taylor, PENALTY NIU pass interference (FOSTER, Traysho) 15 yards to the ILS49, 1ST DOWN ILS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

James Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 47

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brady Davis run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for no gain to the NoIll 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 7 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by John Ridgeway

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Nettles run for 4 yds to the IllSt 48

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the IllSt 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 46 yds, downed at the IllSt 1

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Davis,Brady pass incomplete to Gillum,Robert, PENALTY NIU pass interference 15 yards to the ILS16, 1ST DOWN ILS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

James Robinson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.69

Brady Davis pass complete to Taylor Grimes for 28 yds to the IllSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Brady Davis pass complete to James Robinson for 12 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

James Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Braxton Haley

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Taylor Grimes

4th & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Brady Davis sacked by Quintin Wynne for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the IllSt 47

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the IllSt 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Taylor Grimes at the IllSt 11

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-32 ydsPPA -7.24

Brady Davis pass intercepted for a TD Jalen McKie return for 32 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.34

James Robinson run for 18 yds to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Brady Davis pass complete to James Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Brady Davis pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 8 yds to the IllSt 42

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Davis pass incomplete to Robert Gillum

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 43

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 44

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 45

Situational Analysis

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play