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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
NavyNavy
45
-Final
17
TulsaTulsa
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Tulsa 46%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
72101745
TulsaTulsa
307717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-143-2110-2810-3517-3517-3817-45
TulsaNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTO00ydMISS45ydPUNT3-2ydFG1136ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-4ydTD548ydPUNT627ydTD1077ydPUNT512ydTD358ydPUNT35ydTD472ydPUNT31ydEND49ydTD975ydPUNT78ydPUNT34ydPUNT620ydPUNT61ydTD650ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydTD1298ydFG528ydDOWNS4-8ydTD217ydDOWNS855ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Tulsa
StatisticNavyTulsa
Passing3-523-48
Pass Yards35254
Rush Yards38869
Total Yards423323
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-128-21
Penalties4-3510-51
Possession31:2128:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
CJ Williams
1/1, 26 YDS
rushing
Malcolm Perry
20 CAR, 218 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jamale Carothers
1 REC, 26 YDS
defense
Tulsa
passing
Zach Smith
23/48, 254 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shamari Brooks
12 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
J.C. Santana
9 REC, 98 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Navy 14

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Navy 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Jacob Rainey 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 20

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 18

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

CJ Williams run for no gain to the Navy 18

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 7 yds to the Tulsa 49

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Tulsa 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Navy 49

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.34

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 21 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson, broken up by Evan Fochtman

4th & 10Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.55

Jacob Rainey 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tazh Maloy run for 9 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 40

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 48 yds, downed at the Tulsa 10

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, false start (Gerard Wheeler) to the Tulsa 5

1st & 15Penalty-2 yds

TULSA Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the Tulsa 3

1st & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.11

Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 2

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr. TULSA Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) to the Tulsa 2

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.03

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 9 yds to the Tulsa 11

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 6

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulsa 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

CJ Williams run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 39

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 33

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Malcolm Perry run for 29 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 9 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 14 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Navy 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Michael McMorris

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes, broken up by Evan Fochtman

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 31 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 6 yds to the Navy 23

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Jamale Carothers run for 16 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Malcolm Perry run for 18 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to CJ Williams

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 40

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 34

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.69

Malcolm Perry run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 23

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Malcolm Perry run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

CJ Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 6 yds to the Tulsa 13

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Shamari Brooks run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson

4th & 13Punt+11 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 50 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 11 yds to the Navy 42

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.04

Malcolm Perry run for 47 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 6

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.45

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Zach Smith pass complete to Denzel Carter for 7 yds to the Tulsa 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Smith run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 42 yds, downed at the Navy 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

CJ Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.16

CJ Williams pass complete to Jamale Carothers for 26 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Tazh Maloy run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Malcolm Perry run for 35 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Zach Smith pass complete to Denzel Carter for 1 yd to the Tulsa 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 39 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 9 yds to the Navy 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

CJ Williams run for 7 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Nelson Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson, broken up by Jacob Springer

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Smith run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Zach Smith run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Shamari Brooks run for 22 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 4 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Shamari Brooks run for 13 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 12

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Zach Smith pass complete to Shamari Brooks for 11 yds to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to CJ Williams, broken up by Reggie Robinson II

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

CJ Williams run for 4 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.97

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 37 NAVY Penalty, illegal block (Myles Fells) to the Navy 27

1st & 19Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 22

1st & 24Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 22

2nd & 24Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 7 yds to the Tulsa 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 44 yds, downed at the Navy 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 43

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Michael McMorris

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 9 yds to the Tulsa 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.78

Zach Smith sacked by Chelen Garnes and Diego Fagot for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 9

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 6 yds to the Tulsa 15

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Smith sacked by Deondrae Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 7

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 48

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Tazh Maloy run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tazh Maloy run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 31

3rd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.98

Malcolm Perry run for 28 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Smith pass incomplete to James Palmer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 4 yds to the Tulsa 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Thomas Bennett punt for 33 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jamale Carothers run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 42

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

CJ Williams run for no gain to the Tulsa 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 40 yds, downed at the Tulsa 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

T.K. Wilkerson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.89

Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 51 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

T.K. Wilkerson run for 3 yds to the Navy 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 9 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.16

T.K. Wilkerson run for 2 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Zach Smith pass complete to James Palmer for 6 yds to the Navy 12

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Smith pass incomplete to James Palmer, broken up by Elan Nash

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.82

Zach Smith pass complete to T.K. Wilkerson for 12 yds for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.97

Tazh Maloy run for 22 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.95

CJ Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 29

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Malcolm Perry pass complete to OJ Davis for 9 yds to the Tulsa 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.28

Bijan Nichols 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Zach Smith sacked by Mike Flowers for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana, broken up by Michael McMorris

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson

4th & 16Sack-2 ydsPPA +0.37

Zach Smith sacked by Paul Carothers for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 17

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Perry Olsen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 19

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.08

Jamale Carothers run for 19 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 8 yds to the Tulsa 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.16

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 28 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana, broken up by Daniel Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 12 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson, broken up by David Miller

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Smith pass incomplete to Cannon Montgomery

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 7 yds to the Navy 24

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.20

Zach Smith pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 23

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play