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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2019Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 9.4

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 69%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
70007
San Diego StateSan Diego State
730717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-77-710-717-7
San Diego StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSPUNT523ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS622ydTD571ydPUNT616ydTO31ydTD222ydTO33ydTO3-9ydDOWNS48ydFG845ydPUNT533ydPUNT932ydPUNT46ydMISS1149ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydTO1379ydPUNT1129ydTD1072ydTO1069ydDOWNS1386yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and San Diego State
StatisticFresno StateSan Diego State
Passing13-2533-47
Pass Yards135323
Rush Yards70102
Total Yards205425
Turnovers32
3rd Down3-129-17
Penalties7-555-50
Possession23:4736:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jorge Reyna
13/25, 135 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
15 CAR, 47 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zane Pope
2 REC, 58 YDS
defense
San Diego State
passing
Ryan Agnew
33/47, 323 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chance Bell
14 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Jesse Matthews
8 REC, 119 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the SDSt 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.54

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 16 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 4 yds to the SDSt 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

4th & 4Punt+71 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 61 yds for a touchback FRESNO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Leevel Tatum III)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 8

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Devo Bridges

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Zane Pope

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 9 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.29

Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chance Bell for 3 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Agnew run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 31

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.63

Kaegun Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.74

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 53 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the SDSt 8

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 5 yds to the SDSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 7 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Chance Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 9 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 54 yds, downed at the FrsSt 3

1st & 10Penalty-1 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (Dontae Bull) to the FrsSt 2

1st & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 5

2nd & 8Penalty-2 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Dontae Bull) to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 4

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.31

Jorge Reyna pass intercepted Tariq Thompson return for no gain to the FrsSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 2Penalty+12 yds

Agnew, Ryan pass incomplete to Matthews, Jesse, PENALTY FRESNOST pass interference (Jordan, Randy) 12 yards to the FRESNOST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Cam Sutton

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jorge Reyna pass intercepted Luq Barcoo return for no gain to the FrsSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for no gain to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.69

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ryan Agnew for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 19Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Ryan Agnew pass intercepted Chris Gaston return for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 44

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 6 yds to the SDSt 49

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jorge Reyna run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Jasmin run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Zachary Thomas) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.32

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 29 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Agnew run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 8 yds to the FrsSt 2

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Matt Araiza 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 11 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 20 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the SDSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the SDSt 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall, broken up by Dwayne Johnson Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 24 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 7 yds to the SDSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Ryan Agnew run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Ryan Agnew sacked by Kevin Atkins for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 46

2nd & 17Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chance Bell for 9 yds to the SANDIEGOST 45 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Isaiah Richardson) to the SDSt 45

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to BJ Busbee

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews, broken up by Jaron Bryant

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 11 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.52

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jalen Cropper for a loss of 7 yards to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Josh Hokit for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Zane Pope, broken up by Trenton Thompson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 10 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 5 yds to the SDSt 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 7 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 4 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 8 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 12 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 3 yds to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal+42 yds

Matt Araiza 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ricky McCoy

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jared Rice

4th & 5Punt+50 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 50 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 19

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 17

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 9 yds to the SDSt 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.45

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 19 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordon Brookshire run for 2 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 11 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 11 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (William Dunkle) to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.51

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chance Bell for 21 yds to the FrsSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 11

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -4.35

Chance Bell run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 2 Chance Bell fumbled, forced by Arron Mosby, recovered by FrsSt Alex Cruz

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 4

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Jorge Reyna run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jorge Reyna sacked by Cameron Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Jorge Reyna run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jorge Reyna run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 6Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.40

Jorge Reyna sacked by Myles Cheatum for a loss of 14 yards to the FrsSt 31

4th & 20Punt+1 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 42 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 1 yd to the SDSt 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 16 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the SDSt 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.80

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the SANDIEGOST 47 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Alex Cruz) to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.34

Chase Jasmin run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 9 yds to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Ryan Agnew run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.75

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 17 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Reyna, Jorge pass incomplete to Sutton, Cam, PENALTY SANDIEGOST pass interference 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FRESNOST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 2 yds to the SDSt 48

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.93

Jorge Reyna run for 13 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Ronnie Rivers run for 16 yds to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the SDSt 19

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Reyna, Jorge pass incomplete, PENALTY SANDIEGOST pass interference (Barcoo, Luq) 15 yards to the SANDIEGOST4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FRESNOST.

1st & 4Penalty-10 yds

Hokit, Josh rush for 4 yards to the SANDIEGOST0, PENALTY FRESNOST holding (Aibuedefe, Nick) 10 yards to the SANDIEGOST14, NO PLAY.

1st & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 7 yds to the SDSt 7

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jorge Reyna run for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 13 Jorge Reyna fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Ronnie Rivers Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the SDSt 13

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.67

Jorge Reyna pass intercepted Luq Barcoo return for no gain to the SDSt 4

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 3

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 1

3rd & 13Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.67

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 29 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the SDSt 35

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 10 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 7 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Chance Bell run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 14

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 13

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.73

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 10

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
31%
32 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
18 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays