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← Back to GamesOct 20, 2019Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Hawai'i by 3.5

Home Win Probability

Hawai'i 57%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 20, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
72172156
Hawai'iHawai'i
3170626

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-03-73-1413-2113-2820-3526-3526-4926-56
Hawai'iAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWHAWAFFG1052ydTD875ydPUNT37ydTD1075ydTD373ydTD175ydFG1567ydTD586ydTD471ydPUNT33ydEND518ydTD1475ydPUNT515ydPUNT3-14ydTD1058ydTD375ydTO822ydTD742ydTD979ydPUNT32ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Hawai'i
StatisticAir ForceHawai'i
Passing6-734-53
Pass Yards169404
Rush Yards35382
Total Yards522486
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-106-14
Penalties6-555-50
Possession29:5230:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Mike Schmidt
5/6, 147 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Mike Schmidt
14 CAR, 120 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Geraud Sanders
3 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Hawai'i
passing
Cole McDonald
34/52, 404 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cole McDonald
10 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Jared Smart
11 REC, 140 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 5 yds to the Hawa 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 14 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.23

Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 18 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole McDonald run for 5 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.36

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 13 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Miles Reed run for 10 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared Smart

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Jared Smart) to the AFA 24

2nd & 24Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.09

Cole McDonald sacked by Demonte Meeks for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 30

3rd & 30Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Miles Reed run for 8 yds to the AFA 22

4th & 0Field Goal Good+41 yds

Ryan Meskell 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.81

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 22 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.66

Kadin Remsberg run for 24 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Hawa 15

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the Hawa 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mike Schmidt run for 4 yds to the Hawa 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Taven Birdow run for no gain to the Hawa 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Fred Holly III run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 4 yds to the Hawa 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Milton Bugg III

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Stan Gaudion punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Mike Schmidt run for 4 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Mike Schmidt run for 7 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Hawa 48

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Hawa 45

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (DJuan Matthews) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.25

Mike Schmidt pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 39 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike Schmidt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward, broken up by Jordan Jackson

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.80

Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 59 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Mike Schmidt pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 75 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 6 yds to the Hawa 31

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 7 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Cole McDonald run for 10 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Melquise Stovall, broken up by Eric Ward

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 7 yds to the AFA 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Miles Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 16

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Melquise Stovall

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 8 yds to the AFA 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.86

Ryan Meskell 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.01

Timothy Jackson run for 64 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 37

1st & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Mike Schmidt run for 8 yds to the Hawa 29

2nd & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.40

Mike Schmidt pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 19 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Mike Schmidt run for 3 yds to the Hawa 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.64

Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 32 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 17 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 17 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Cole McDonald pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Meskell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mike Schmidt run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Mike Schmidt pass complete to Timothy Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 28

4th & 7Punt+59 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Melquise Stovall at the HAWAII 26 HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Melquise Stovall) to the Hawa 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 9 yds to the Hawa 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 8 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared Smart

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, false start (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.28

Cole McDonald pass complete to Fred Holly III for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 22

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Hawa 31

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mike Schmidt run for no gain to the AFA 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike Schmidt pass incomplete to Daniel Morris

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Mike Schmidt pass complete to Taven Birdow for 16 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Mike Schmidt run for 8 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Timothy Jackson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Timothy Jackson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

N/A run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 31

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Hawa 14

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mike Schmidt run for 4 yds to the Hawa 10

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Timothy Jackson run for no gain to the Hawa 10

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Timothy Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 8 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Fred Holly III run for no gain to the AFA 41

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Cole McDonald sacked by Mosese Fifita for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 43 Cole McDonald fumbled, recovered by Hawa Cole McDonald , return for 0 yards

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Stan Gaudion punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the AFA 22

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.50

Geraud Sanders run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 16 Geraud Sanders fumbled,

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal procedure (Mike Schmidt) to the AFA 11

3rd & 20Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Lesley Dalger) to the AFA 6

3rd & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the AFA 7

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cedric Byrd II at the Hawa 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II

3rd & 10Penalty+10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive holding (Zane Lewis) to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Zane Lewis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 13 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Cole McDonald run for 9 yds to the AFA 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.29

Cole McDonald run for 3 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 13 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Kadin Remsberg run for 10 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Mike Schmidt run for 61 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 5 yds to the Hawa 25 HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (J.R. Hensley) to the Hawa 13

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.44

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh for 9 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST down

2nd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.89

Cole McDonald pass complete to JoJo Ward for 16 yds to the Hawa 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jared Smart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Cedric Byrd II

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to Jason-Matthew Sharsh, broken up by Jeremy Fejedelem

4th & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.09

Cole McDonald pass complete to Cedric Byrd II for 10 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.33

Cole McDonald sacked by Demonte Meeks for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 42 Cole McDonald fumbled, recovered by AFA Mosese Fifita , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the Hawa 33

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Mike Schmidt run for 2 yds to the Hawa 28

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joshua Stoner run for 5 yds to the Hawa 23

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 18

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.82

Mike Schmidt run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Miles Reed run for 16 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Cole McDonald run for 6 yds to the Hawa 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Cole McDonald pass complete to James Phillips for 7 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.40

Cole McDonald pass complete to Jared Smart for 25 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cole McDonald pass incomplete to JoJo Ward

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Cole McDonald pass complete to James Phillips for 3 yds to the AFA 26

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Cole McDonald run for 7 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Cole McDonald run for 15 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Interception Return Touchdown-92 ydsPPA -12.31

Cole McDonald pass intercepted for a TD Milton Bugg III return for 92 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fred Holly III run for 5 yds to the Hawa 31

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Christopher Musselman for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Scruton punt for 65 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Matthew Murla run for 6 yds to the AFA 14

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Matthew Murla run for 1 yd to the AFA 15

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Matthew Murla run for 4 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 18

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
53%
34 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play