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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 0.5

Home Win Probability

Air Force 48%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
14100024
Air ForceAir Force
71571443

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1414-1422-2122-2429-2436-2443-24
Air ForceFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFAFFSAFFSAFFSFSAFTD785ydTD375ydTD1275ydTD1475ydTD673ydTD1275ydFG510ydEND1-2ydPUNT414ydPUNT33ydTD840ydPUNT519ydTD1379ydTD2-3ydPUNT31ydEND1770yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Air Force
StatisticFresno StateAir Force
Passing20-272-3
Pass Yards20981
Rush Yards59340
Total Yards268421
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-85-10
Penalties5-191-5
Possession20:3139:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jorge Reyna
20/27, 209 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
9 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Emoryie Edwards
4 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
2/3, 81 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Timothy Jackson
20 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Benjamin Waters
1 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.06

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Cam Sutton for 29 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 6 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.89

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 39 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 4 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

2nd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Kadin Remsberg run for 18 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the AFA 47

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +3.13

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 53 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 14 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 4 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 6 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Cam Sutton for 13 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 13 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 13 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 1 yd to the AFA 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 7 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.14

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 37

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.29

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.27

Timothy Jackson run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Timothy Jackson run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 13 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.48

Derrion Grim run for 17 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Cam Sutton, broken up by Kyle Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 8 yds to the AFA 26

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.07

Ronnie Rivers run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Taven Birdow) to the AFA 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.30

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 28 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 22

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 18

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 5

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Timothy Jackson run for no gain to the FrsSt 5

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 3

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.82

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds for a TD, (D. Hammond III Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 16 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 2 yds to the AFA 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 2 yds to the AFA 20

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.61

Jorge Reyna sacked by Kyle Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the AFA 30

4th & 16Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.79

Cesar Silva 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Keiti Iakopo) to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 36

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Kadin Remsberg

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Cam Sutton, broken up by Zane Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Emoryie Edwards, broken up by Jordan Jackson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 27 yds, downed at the FrsSt 40

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Timothy Jackson run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Timothy Jackson run for no gain to the FrsSt 27

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Benjamin Waters run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 18

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.91

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 12 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Josh Hokit for 1 yd to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Derrion Grim

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 35 yds, downed at the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Timothy Jackson run for 9 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Taven Birdow run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Kadin Remsberg run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Joshua Stoner run for no gain to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 14

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.88

Joshua Stoner run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Taven Birdow run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Jorge Reyna run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 23 Jorge Reyna fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Jorge Reyna

2nd & 13Interception Return Touchdown-24 ydsPPA -6.99

Jorge Reyna pass intercepted for a TD Kyle Johnson return for 24 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jamal Glaspie

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jamal Glaspie

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Josh Hokit for 6 yds to the FrsSt 41

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the AFA 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.92

Timothy Jackson run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 34

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 18

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Joshua Stoner run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Mike Schmidt run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 10

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
17 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
100%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
53%
30 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays