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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3
BuffaloBuffalo
17
-Final
35
LibertyLiberty

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 1

Home Win Probability

Liberty 52%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
073717
LibertyLiberty
7217035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-721-728-728-1035-1035-17
LibertyBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBBUFLIBTD575ydMISS1665ydPUNT3-10ydTD740ydTD774ydDOWNS658ydTD871ydPUNT5-8ydTD331ydMISS959ydEND1-1ydPUNT34ydPUNT78ydFG1352ydPUNT518ydPUNT30ydTD155ydDOWNS849ydPUNT620ydTD1089ydEND1165yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Liberty
StatisticBuffaloLiberty
Passing15-3323-30
Pass Yards167325
Rush Yards20676
Total Yards373401
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-155-9
Penalties8-797-85
Possession31:5128:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Matt Myers
15/33, 167 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kevin Marks
18 CAR, 108 YDS
receiving
Antonio Nunn
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Liberty
passing
Stephen Calvert
23/30, 325 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Josh Mack
9 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Antonio Gandy-Golden
8 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 11 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Chibueze Onwuka) to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 16 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 11 yds to the Buff 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 19 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 10 yds to the Buff 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 24

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Matt Myers run for 3 yds to the Buff 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Myers run for 4 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 31

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.67

Matt Myers run for 16 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 5 yds to the Liber 48

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Liber 41

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Liber 32

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Kevin Marks run for 8 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 29

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Liber 26

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Liber 26

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Matt Myers pass complete to Kevin Marks for 6 yds to the Liber 20

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Alex McNulty 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 19

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.16

Stephen Calvert sacked by Ledarius Mack for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 10

4th & 20Punt+6 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 6 yds to the Liber 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Matt Myers pass complete to LeMaro Smith Jr. for 14 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Liber 19

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 24

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Liber 13

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Matt Myers pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 13 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.53

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 15 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 8 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 8 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.59

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Buff 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.51

Matt Myers pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 33 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Solomon Ajayi) to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Matt Myers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Liber 29

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 30

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.85

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Liber 29 BUFFALO Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Shedro Louis for 8 yds to the Liber 37

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.96

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 15 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Buff 45

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

CALVERT, S. sideline pass incomplete to HUNTLEY, J., PENALTY UB holding (PATTERSON, Jame) 10 yards to the UB35, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 36

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.84

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 36 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Jaret Patterson run for 10 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 39 BUFFALO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Evin Ksiezarczyk) to the Buff 24

3rd & 21Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.07

Matt Myers sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 7 yards to the Buff 17

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 14 yds, downed at the Buff 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.90

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 30 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Devon Russell

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Dylan McDuffie) to the Buff 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Matt Myers pass complete to Jaret Patterson for 6 yds to the Buff 19

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.95

Kevin Marks run for 13 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Matt Myers pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 7 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Kevin Marks run for 10 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.16

Kevin Marks run for 23 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Liber 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Carlton Todd

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Alex McNulty 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Jaret Patterson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 33 yds, downed at the Liber 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

CALVERT, S. deep pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN. A, PENALTY UB offside defense (MACK, Ledarius) 5 yards to the UB45, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HICKSON, F. rush up middle for no gain to the UB45 (RUSSELL, Devon), PENALTY LIBERTY holding (SARGEANT, T.) 10 yards to the LIBERTY45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

2nd & 20Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.56

Joshua Mack run for 22 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

CALVERT, S. sideline pass complete to GANDY-GOLDEN. A for 5 yards to the UB28, out-of-bounds (TERRY, Tim), PENALTY LIBERTY illegal block (FOUTZ, Z.) 15 yards to the UB48, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Damian King, broken up by Devon Russell

2nd & 25Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Zac Foutz for 9 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 16Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.52

Stephen Calvert sacked by Malcolm Koonce for a loss of 9 yards to the Buff 48

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Jaret Patterson run for 12 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 7 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 47

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Liber 46

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

MYERS, Matt deep pass incomplete to LEE, Daniel, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (CLARK, K.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY31, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Liber 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie, broken up by Ceneca Espinoza Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Matt Myers run for 12 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MYERS, Matt middle pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Domini, PENALTY UB holding off-setting, PENALTY LIBERTY holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.42

Matt Myers sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 28

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Liber 26

3rd & 17Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Matt Myers pass complete to Kevin Marks for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 28

4th & 19Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +1.92

Alex McNulty 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 8 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 7 yds to the Liber 43

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.27

Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Liber 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Emanuel Dabney

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 55 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Buff 8

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 12Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.24

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 27 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Matt Myers run for 10 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt Myers pass incomplete to LeMaro Smith Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

MYERS, Matt middle pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Marlyn, PENALTY LIBERTY holding (WILSON, B.) 10 yards to the LIBERTY42, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Matt Myers sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 47

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Myers pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 4 yds to the Liber 43

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Matt Myers run for 5 yds to the Liber 38

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie, broken up by Elijah Benton

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.85

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Chris Barrett for 7 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Chris Barrett for 3 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Buff 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 11

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Kevin Marks run for 11 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

MYERS, Matt middle pass incomplete to TODD, Carlton, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (MEGGINSON, C.) 6 yards to the UB28, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Myers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Carlton Todd BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.60

Kevin Marks run for 15 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Micah Glaize

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Matt Myers pass complete to Tito Overton for 16 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Elijah James) to the Liber 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Matt Myers pass complete to Daniel Lee for 16 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Liber 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Matt Myers pass complete to Cole Burniston for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the Liber 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 20 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Shedro Louis for 7 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Peytton Pickett run for 6 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Buff 18

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Buff 17

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Joshua Mack run for 9 yds to the Buff 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 10

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
32 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
58%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th