Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 40.8

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 99%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
00000
Notre DameNotre Dame
211410752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-035-038-045-052-0
Notre DameBowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDBGNDBGNDBGNDBGNDBGNDBGNDBGBGNDBGNDBGNDBGNDPUNT36ydPUNT33ydTD680ydPUNT3-4ydTD346ydPUNT3-1ydTD450ydPUNT1427ydPUNT621ydDOWNS744ydTD453ydPUNT616ydTD678ydTO741ydMISS1252ydFG668ydPUNT616ydTD675ydPUNT621ydTD1279ydPUNT33ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Notre Dame
StatisticBowling GreenNotre Dame
Passing15-2721-27
Pass Yards110340
Rush Yards118233
Total Yards228573
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-198-11
Penalties6-391-5
Possession33:2026:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Grant Loy
13/25, 106 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Davon Jones
16 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Quintin Morris
10 REC, 92 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
16/20, 261 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Tony Jones Jr.
7 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Javon McKinley
5 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 6 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Young for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 29

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 31

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 42 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 29 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 19

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 18

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 17

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 5 yds to the BwGrn 22

4th & 7Punt-6 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 52 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 20

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Tony Jones Jr. run for 13 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Tony Jones Jr. run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Tony Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40

3rd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.22

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 23 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 17 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

RB Marlow III run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 25

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.22

Darius Wade sacked by Jamir Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 21

4th & 14Punt+25 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds , Chris Finke returns for 25 yds to the BwGrn 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Avery Davis run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.60

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 19 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Davon Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Grant Loy pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Davon Jones

4th & 11Punt+15 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 49 yds , Chris Finke returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Avery Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Braden Lenzy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 10 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 34 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Grant Loy run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the BwGrn 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Grant Loy run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Grant Loy run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Grant Loy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Grant Loy run for 8 yds to the NDame 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.29

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-Jones

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Davon Jones run for no gain to the NDame 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.52

Grant Loy pass complete to Davon Jones for no gain to the NDame 22

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 27

3rd & 15Sack-21 ydsPPA -1.09

Grant Loy sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 21 yards to the NDame 48 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the NDame 48

4th & 36Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the NDame 18

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the NDame 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 9 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael Young

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ian Book pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 18, BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the BwGrn 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 14

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 24 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the NDame 48

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the NDame 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Grant Loy run for no gain to the NDame 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.31

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 24 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.47

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 21 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the BwGrn 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-Jones

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Bryson Denley run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin Morris

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Davon Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 22

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.09

Jahmir Smith run for 24 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Robert Hainsey) to the NDame 41

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for no gain to the NDame 41

2nd & 15Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.72

Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 40 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.42

Avery Davis run for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25

3rd & 16Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +4.34

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Davon Jones run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.40

Bryson Denley run for 16 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin Dorris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 3 yds to the NDame 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin Morris

4th & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.84

Grant Loy pass intercepted, touchback. Jalen Elliott return for no gain

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 12 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Grant Loy pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.09

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 15 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the NDame 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin Dorris

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 15 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the NDame 28

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Grant Loy run for no gain to the NDame 28

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the NDame 23

4th & 4Blocked Field Goal+40 yds

Nate Needham 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Julian Okwara

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.97

Tony Jones Jr. run for 36 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.68

Tony Jones Jr. run for 26 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 6 yds to the BwGrn 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.88

Jonathan Doerer 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Grant Loy run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 20 Grant Loy fumbled, recovered by BwGrn

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds Quintin Morris fumbled, recovered by BwGrn

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Grant Loy pass incomplete to Davon Jones

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the BwGrn 41

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 36 yds , Joe Wilkins returns for 2 yds to the NDame 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Javon McKinley for 26 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Phil Jurkovec run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jahmir Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins

3rd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.89

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Avery Davis for 32 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Avery Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Grant Loy pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 5 yds to the BwGrn 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Joe Wilkins at the NDame 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

C'Bo Flemister run for 5 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Javon McKinley for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.04

C'Bo Flemister run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.63

Phil Jurkovec run for 19 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 17

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 14

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.09

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 5 yds to the BwGrn 7

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.52

Jahmir Smith run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nigel Sealey run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Nigel Sealey run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 26

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Nigel Sealey run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Mick Assaf run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 20

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Mick Assaf run for no gain to the NDame 20

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.80

Mick Assaf run for 13 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mick Assaf run for 3 yds to the NDame 36

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Brendon Clark run for 9 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 43

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
27%
15 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
70%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
68%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play