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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Old Dominion 43%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
1070724
Old DominionOld Dominion
3010821

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-103-1713-1713-2421-24
Old DominionEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECODECODODECODECODECODECODODODECODECODECODECODECODECODECFG987ydFG1166ydPUNT35ydTD3-4ydPUNT822ydTD496ydPUNT828ydTO33ydTO39ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-18ydPUNT3-2ydEND1-1ydPUNT31ydTD336ydTO34ydFG624ydPUNT826ydPUNT36ydPUNT411ydPUNT39ydTD875ydTO30ydMISS43ydTO828ydPUNT35ydTD858ydDOWNS4-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and Old Dominion
StatisticEast CarolinaOld Dominion
Passing8-2120-30
Pass Yards202203
Rush Yards10790
Total Yards309293
Turnovers33
3rd Down4-168-19
Penalties6-467-75
Possession23:3136:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Holton Ahlers
8/21, 202 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Demetrius Mauney
10 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Blake Proehl
2 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Old Dominion
passing
Stone Smartt
20/30, 203 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Stone Smartt
22 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nigel Fitzgerald
1 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) to the ECaro 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.45

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 53 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.88

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 8 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the ODU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ODU 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the ODU 14

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.09

Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ODU 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Geronda Hall

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.38

Jake Verity 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Stone Smartt run for 3 yds to the ODU 41

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the ODU 42

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Stone Smartt run for 14 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Matt Geiger run for no gain to the ECaro 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Stone Smartt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.25

Stone Smartt run for 37 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Messiah deWeaver run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 9

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Stone Smartt run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 11

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ECaro 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Rice 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Trace Christian run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trace Christian for 7 yds to the ECaro 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 47 yds, downed at the ODU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Stone Smartt pass complete to Matt Geiger for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 21

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.27

Matt Geiger run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 19

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean Strong

4th & 14Blocked Punt+4 yds

Bailey Cate punt blocked by Warren Saba blocked by Warren Saba Warren Saba return for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Matt Geiger run for 2 yds to the ODU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 11 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Cornell Hendrick Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 39

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Stone Smartt pass complete to Steven Williams for 10 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Cornell Hendrick Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 45

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Kesean Strong

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kesean Strong run for 2 yds to the ODU 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Bailey Cate punt for 49 yds, downed at the ECaro 4

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.86

Demetrius Mauney run for 21 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Demetrius Mauney run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.93

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 72 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Stone Smartt run for 6 yds to the ODU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Stone Smartt pass complete to Matt Geiger for 1 yd to the ODU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 4 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 37

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Stone Smartt run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line Stone Smartt fumbled, forced by Ja'Quan McMillian, , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ECaro 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 1 yd to the ECaro 48

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ECaro 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bailey Cate punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Demetrius Mauney run for 9 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

MAUNEY, Dmtrius rush for no gain to the ECU29 (HALL, Geronda;BREWTON, Calvin), PENALTY ECU holding (HOWE, Hussein) 10 yards to the ECU19, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 23

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-30 ydsPPA +0.06

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Geronda Hall return for 30 yds to the ECaro 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Messiah deWeaver run for 4 yds to the ECaro 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ECaro 3

3rd & 3Penalty+1 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (Jalen Price) to the ECaro 2

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -4.46

Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ECaro 11 Stone Smartt fumbled, forced by Jalen Price, recovered by ECaro Bruce Bivens , return for 10 yds to the ECaro 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Snead run for 4 yds to the ECaro 15

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ECaro 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Tobias Moss

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Verity punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.86

Stone Smartt run for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 24 Stone Smartt fumbled, recovered by ODU Kesean Strong

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Hasaan Patterson) to the ODU 19

2nd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 23

3rd & 21Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.07

Stone Smartt sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 16

4th & 28Punt+3 yds

Bailey Cate punt for 34 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 3 yds to the ODU 47

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Trace Christian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 48

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Demetrius Mauney run for 3 yds to the ODU 49

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AHLERS, Holton pass incomplete to PROEHL, Blake, PENALTY ECU holding (SMITH, D'Ante) 10 yards to the ECU43, NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jake Verity punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Stone Smartt run for 1 yd to the ODU 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt Geiger run for no gain to the ODU 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Stone Smartt pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bailey Cate punt for 38 yds , Tyler Snead returns for no gain to the ECaro 36 Tyler Snead fumbled, recovered by ODU Demetrius Stitmon

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Stone Smartt run for 6 yds to the ECaro 30

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Colby Gore) to the ECaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Robert Washington run for 10 yds to the ECaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Stone Smartt run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Demetrius Mauney run for 1 yd to the ECaro 39

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -0.63

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Jordan Young return for 7 yds to the ECaro 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 13 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 16 yds to the ECaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Hasaan Patterson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Stone Smartt run for no gain to the ECaro 17

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.60

Stone Smartt sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 22

4th & 15Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.92

Nick Rice 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by Harrell Blackmon

4th & 8Penalty+15 yds

OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Keion White) to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tay Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tay Williams run for 2 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.83

Holton Ahlers sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 9 yards to the ECaro 43 Holton Ahlers fumbled, recovered by ECaro D'Ante Smith , return for 0 yards

2nd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Tay Williams run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jake Verity punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darrell Brown at the ODU 15

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Robert Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 10

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 6 yds to the ODU 16

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Stone Smartt run for 5 yds to the ODU 21

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bailey Cate punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 39

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Trace Christian run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trace Christian run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Trace Christian run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by Tobias Moss

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Verity punt for 28 yds, downed at the ODU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Stone Smartt pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 2 yds to the ODU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Stone Smartt pass complete to Blake Watson for 6 yds to the ODU 30

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Cameron Muller) to the ODU 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Stone Smartt pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bailey Cate punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 21 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Tyler Snead run for 20 yds to the OLDDOMNION 34 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (C.J. Johnson) to the ODU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the ODU 39

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ODU 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.79

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 28 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Demetrius Mauney run for 4 yds to the ODU 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Demetrius Mauney run for 2 yds to the ODU 5

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Anthony Watley for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Stone Smartt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Stone Smartt pass incomplete to Hasaan Patterson

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA +0.15

Stone Smartt pass intercepted Gerard Stringer return for 10 yds to the ODU 31 Gerard Stringer fumbled, forced by Darrell Brown, recovered by ECaro Myles Berry

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ODU 30

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the ODU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal+45 yds

Jake Verity 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jeremy Meiser TEAM return for no gain to the ODU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Stone Smartt pass complete to Hasaan Patterson for 8 yds to the ODU 42

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.34

Robert Washington run for no gain to the ODU 42

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Donta Anthony Jr.) to the ODU 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 7 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Kesean Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 42

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Stone Smartt run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.32

Stone Smartt pass complete to Marcus Joyner for 17 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Stone Smartt sacked by Chance Purvis for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 38

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.55

Stone Smartt pass intercepted Ja'Quan McMillian return for no gain to the ECaro 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Demetrius Mauney run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 19

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the ECaro 24

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 25

4th & 5Punt+20 yds

Jake Verity punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 42 , Darrell Brown returns for 20 yds to the ODU 42

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Keion White) to the ODU 27

1st & 25Penalty-15 yds

OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Lance Boykin) to the ODU 12

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.56

Stone Smartt sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 7

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Stone Smartt run for 8 yds to the ODU 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Stone Smartt pass complete to Chris Cunningham for 13 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 8 yds to the ODU 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Stone Smartt pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.56

Stone Smartt pass complete to Kesean Strong for 18 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.61

Stone Smartt pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 45 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kesean Strong 1 Yd Run (Chris Cunningham Pass to Stone Smartt for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jonathan Coleman II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 49

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 45

3rd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.47

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 43

4th & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA +0.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 41

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Old Dominion

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
31%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
27%
11 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
70%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play