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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 8.5

Home Win Probability

Troy 67%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
14392147
TroyTroy
7772142

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-1414-1414-1721-2021-2621-3335-4742-47
TroySouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMPUNT36ydTD1793ydPUNT33ydTD460ydTD593ydPUNT941ydTD797ydPUNT634ydPUNT620ydFG663ydPUNT538ydTD480ydFG1253ydMISS864ydTD780ydPUNT516ydTD267ydTD00ydTD00ydTD765ydTD475ydPUNT521ydPUNT33ydTD777ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Troy
StatisticSouthern MissTroy
Passing29-3729-43
Pass Yards514504
Rush Yards11224
Total Yards626528
Turnovers00
3rd Down11-174-11
Penalties9-654-47
Possession35:1124:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Jack Abraham
28/36, 463 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
De'Michael Harris
14 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Quez Watkins
7 REC, 209 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Kaleb Barker
29/43, 504 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
DK Billingsley
9 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kaylon Geiger
6 REC, 118 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the SoMis 44

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 3 yds to the SoMis 41

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Kaleb Barker sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 43 Kaleb Barker fumbled, recovered by Troy J.L. Gaston , return for 0 yards

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.66

De'Michael Harris run for 16 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

De'Michael Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.07

Jack Abraham pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 28 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

De'Michael Harris run for 7 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the Troy 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Jack Abraham run for 2 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the Troy 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 4 yds to the Troy 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.26

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 7 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 7 yds to the Troy 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the Troy 20

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Steven Anderson run for 6 yds to the Troy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

De'Michael Harris run for 3 yds to the Troy 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

De'Michael Harris run for 3 yds to the Troy 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.06

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 4 yds to the Troy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

De'Michael Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jack Abraham run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 23

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaleb Barker sacked by Delmond Landry for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Kaleb Barker pass complete to B.J. Smith for 10 yds to the Troy 28

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for 5 yds to the SoMis 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.23

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 48 yds to the Troy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

De'Michael Harris run for 2 yds to the Troy 10

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Kevin Perkins run for 9 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Steven Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Reggie Todd for 7 yds to the Troy 14

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 13 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 16 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 57 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 5 yds to the SoMis 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 3 yds to the SoMis 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 13 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 3 yds to the SoMis 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.43

Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 12 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kevin Perkins run for 5 yds to the Troy 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 2 yds to the Troy 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.92

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 39

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 36 yds, downed at the Troy 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.52

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Khalil McClain for 16 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 38 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SoMis 38

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to B.J. Smith

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the SoMis 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.49

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 27 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the SoMis 7

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Barker, Kaleb deep pass incomplete to Todd, Reggie, PENALTY USM pass interference (MITCHELL, R.) 5 yards to the USM2, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

De'Michael Harris run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Jack Abraham run for 11 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.39

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 40 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 26

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

De'Michael Harris run for no gain to the Troy 26

3rd & 13Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.63

Jack Abraham sacked by Travis Sailo for a loss of 10 yards to the Troy 36

4th & 23Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Troy 41

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 3 yds to the Troy 13

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaleb Barker sacked by D.Q. Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 9

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Kaleb Barker pass complete to DK Billingsley for 14 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 6 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kaleb Barker pass complete to DK Billingsley for 6 yds to the Troy 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Khalil McClain, broken up by Ty Williams

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kevin Perkins run for 3 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.93

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 40 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.37

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 18 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 7 yds to the Troy 9

3rd & 3Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.30

Andrew Stein 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

De'Michael Harris run for 4 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.35

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 39 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

De'Michael Harris run for no gain to the Troy 33

2nd & 10Penalty-38 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-38 Yards) to the Troy 38

2nd & 38Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by O'shai Fletcher

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

DK Billingsley run for 8 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.31

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Reggie Todd for 17 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.58

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 30 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 25 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds to the Troy 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 4 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Steven Anderson run for 9 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Steven Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 30

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.58

Jack Abraham run for 6 yds to the Troy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Abraham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

De'Michael Harris run for 2 yds to the Troy 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.16

Andrew Stein 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 14 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Reggie Todd for no gain to the Troy 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.42

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 42 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DK Billingsley run for 5 yds to the SoMis 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Khalil McClain

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to DK Billingsley

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Tyler Sumpter 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 7 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 2 yds to the SoMis 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.15

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.26

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 33 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 19

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Kevin Perkins

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.55

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

DK Billingsley run for 8 yds to the Troy 22

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

DK Billingsley run for 9 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the Troy 33

2nd & 8Penalty-11 yds

Barker, Kaleb deep pass incomplete to Geiger, Kaylon (SHOWERS, S.), PENALTY TROY holding 11 yards to the TROY22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 1 yd to the Troy 23

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 7 yds to the Troy 30

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaylond Adams run for 1 yd to the SoMis 34

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

ABRAHAM, Jack deep pass incomplete to WATKINS, Quez, PENALTY TROY pass interference (Fletcher, O.) 15 yards to the USM49, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Neil McLaurin pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 51 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+69 yds

Andrew Stein kickoff for 49 yds , Reggie Todd return for 69 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Jack Martin kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylond Adams return for 100 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to DK Billingsley, broken up by Ty Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the Troy 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.68

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Luke Whittemore

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Tray Eafford

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Barker, Kaleb middle pass intercepted by MABERRY, Darius at the USM44, MABERRY, Darius return to the TROY0, clock 09:38, PENALTY USM pass interference (KENNEDY, Darius) 15 yards to the USM35, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd to the SoMis 34

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.50

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Khalil McClain for 34 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 10 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

De'Michael Harris run for 1 yd to the SoMis 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.76

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 64 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Khalil McClain for 19 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 10 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Luke Whittemore

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.37

Kaleb Barker sacked by D.Q. Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 44

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 19

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.41

De'Michael Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 16

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jack Abraham run for 6 yds to the SoMis 22

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 55 yds, downed at the Troy 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Bret Clark for 8 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Kaylon Geiger

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Reggie Todd, broken up by Rachuan Mitchell

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.81

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 29 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Reggie Todd

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.66

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Khalil McClain for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Steven Anderson run for 6 yds to the Troy 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Steven Anderson run for no gain to the Troy 33

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.68

Jack Abraham run for 6 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
58%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play