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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2019Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Louisville 33%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
770721
LouisvilleLouisville
7071428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1414-1421-1428-21
LouisvilleVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRVIRDOWNS1240ydTD760ydTD271ydPUNT3-4ydMISS761ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT37ydTD553ydPUNT4-4ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-8ydTO741ydEND20ydPUNT425ydTD1289ydPUNT47ydPUNT3-4ydTO314ydTD334ydPUNT5-5ydPUNT521ydPUNT628ydTD463ydTD1569ydEND31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and Louisville
StatisticVirginiaLouisville
Passing24-428-14
Pass Yards233133
Rush Yards78227
Total Yards311360
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-145-12
Penalties8-705-30
Possession29:4230:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
24/41, 233 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Wayne Taulapapa
11 CAR, 54 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Hasise Dubois
7 REC, 93 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
6/10, 126 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Javian Hawkins
28 CAR, 136 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chatarius Atwell
6 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Micale Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Lvile 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 29

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.44

Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 5 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.40

Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 9 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Micale Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.18

Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 29

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.35

Micale Cunningham sacked by Eli Hanback for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 36

4th & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.90

Micale Cunningham sacked by Joey Blount for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 9 yds to the Virg 49

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Perkins, B sideline pass complete to Reed, J for 3 yards to the LOU46, out-of-bounds (Etheridge, D.), PENALTY LOU offside defense (Peterson, T.) 5 yards to the LOU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tavares Kelly Jr. run for no gain to the Lvile 44

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.38

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 39 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 24

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 23

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +7.12

Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 77 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Virg 44

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Perkins, B deep pass incomplete to Kelly, T, PENALTY VA holding (Reinkensmeyer,D) 10 yards to the VA34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Virg 37

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Marlon Character

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 20

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Javian Hawkins run for 10 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.05

Micale Cunningham run for 48 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 16

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 20

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell, broken up by Nick Grant

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Blanton Creque 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tavares Kelly Jr.

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 78 yds, downed at the Lvile 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 8

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 14

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Evan Conley pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 4 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Wayne Taulapapa run for 12 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 12 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Wayne Taulapapa run for 19 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Conley, E. sideline pass complete to Dawkins, S. for 19 yards to the LOU44, out-of-bounds (Nelson, B), PENALTY LOU illegal formation 5 yards to the LOU20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.50

Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 24 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 14

1st & 21Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Evan Conley pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 1 yd to the Lvile 15

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 6 yds to the Lvile 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Evan Conley pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+43 yds

Mason King punt for 43 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Joe Reed run for 2 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the Virg 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed, broken up by C.J. Avery

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 10 LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.24

Tutu Atwell run for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 2 Tutu Atwell fumbled, recovered by Lvile Tutu Atwell

3rd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.01

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 2

4th & 18Punt+4 yds

Mason King punt for 53 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 4 yds to the Virg 6 VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Virg 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 9 yds Terrell Jana fumbled, forced by Anthony Johnson,

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Wayne Taulapapa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 12 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 20

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.29

Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Chandler Jones return for no gain to the Lvile 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Evan Conley sacked by Zane Zandier for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 8

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Bryce Perkins run for 22 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Lvile 35

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Dillon Reinkensmeyer) to the Lvile 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the Lvile 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 24 yds, downed at the Lvile 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by De'Vante Cross

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 10

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.23

Micale Cunningham run for 15 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 10 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Micale Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 43

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Cunningham, M. sideline pass incomplete to Dawkins, S., PENALTY VA personal foul (Mack, J) 15 yards to the VA42, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Javian Hawkins run for 12 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.90

Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 26 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 14 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.66

Bryce Perkins sacked by Marlon Character for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 21

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

4th & 17Punt+34 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 44 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 34 yds to the Virg 31

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 34

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hassan Hall run for 5 yds to the Virg 29

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Micale Cunningham sacked by Eli Hanback for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 35

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 35 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.39

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 6 yds Joe Reed fumbled, forced by Boosie Whitlow, recovered by Lvile C.J. Avery

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Micale Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.92

Micale Cunningham run for 25 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Lvile 36

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 40

3rd & 13Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.87

Bryce Perkins sacked by G.G. Robinson for a loss of 14 yards to the Virg 46

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 32 yds, downed at the Lvile 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 22

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.84

Javian Hawkins run for 15 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Micale Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 56 yds, downed at the Virg 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 9 yds to the Virg 10

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 29

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nash Griffin punt for 34 yds, downed at the Lvile 37

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Cunningham, M. deep pass incomplete to Fitzpatrick, D., PENALTY VA pass interference (Cross, D) 15 yards to the VA48, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Javian Hawkins run for 19 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Javian Hawkins run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 9 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 8 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Bryce Perkins sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana, broken up by Chandler Jones

4th & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +3.07

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 8 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

4th & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.30

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 13 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 7 yds to the Lvile 20

2nd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.67

Bryce Perkins sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 28

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.39

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 24 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Chandler Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Lamont Atkins for 1 yd to the Lvile 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete, broken up by Seth Dawkins

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
54%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
22 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play