Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 5.3

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 58%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
7247038
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
077721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-217-2414-3121-38
Western KentuckyLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUPUNT621ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-8ydTD1058ydPUNT614ydTD1083ydTD282ydTD875ydPUNT34ydFG1049ydTD38ydEND1-1ydTO29ydTD736ydPUNT613ydPUNT421ydPUNT513ydTO627ydTD162ydTD968ydDOWNS66ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS1044ydPUNT36ydDOWNS40ydEND631yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Western Kentucky
StatisticLouisvilleWestern Kentucky
Passing11-1725-47
Pass Yards209245
Rush Yards20643
Total Yards415288
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-114-16
Penalties6-695-25
Possession31:1128:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
9/14, 123 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Javian Hawkins
19 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chatarius Atwell
5 REC, 145 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Western Kentucky
passing
Steven Duncan
25/47, 245 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Gaej Walker
14 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Joshua Simon
1 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Steven Duncan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 4 yds to the WKent 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 11 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 2 yds to the WKent 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by C.J. Avery

4th & 4Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 18

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Lvile 24

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 19

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Cunningham sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 15

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Gaej Walker

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.15

Steven Duncan sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 38

4th & 18Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 44

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 49

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the WKent 42

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 10 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the WKent 18

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the WKent 9

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 9 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 4 yds to the WKent 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for no gain to the WKent 40

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 39

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

John Haggerty punt for 49 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Devante Peete for 11 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Josh Johnson

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.36

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the WKent 46

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.82

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 46 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the WKent 23

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.41

Steven Duncan pass complete to Joshua Simon for 77 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Javian Hawkins run for 10 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins, broken up by Dionté Ruffin

3rd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.62

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 23 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the WKent 25

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (Jeremy Darvin) to the WKent 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Devante Peete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Javian Hawkins run for 20 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the WKent 26

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 23

4th & 6Punt+12 yds

John Haggerty punt for 63 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 12 yds to the Lvile 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 6 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 32

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 9 yds to the Lvile 46

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.62

Hassan Hall run for 17 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.38

Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.26

Malik Cunningham sacked by Juwuan Jones and DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 29

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 24

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 25 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 13Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.99

Blanton Creque 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 ydsPPA -0.26

Steven Duncan run for 1 yd Steven Duncan fumbled, forced by Amonte Caban, recovered by Lvile Rodjay Burns , return for 30 yds, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Tutu Atwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 36 Tutu Atwell fumbled, recovered by WKent Devon Key

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Dorian Etheridge

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Lvile 27

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.07

Steven Duncan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Steven Duncan pass complete to Gaej Walker for 17 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Lvile 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Lvile 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins, broken up by Trae Meadows

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

DUNCAN, S. pass incomplete to JACKSON, L., PENALTY UL pass interference (Johnson, A.) 15 yards to the WKU46, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Gaej Walker

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 45

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 47

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

John Haggerty punt for 37 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 5 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Hassan Hall run for 5 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Cunningham sacked by Jeremy Darvin for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Evan Conley pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 6 yds to the WKent 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for no gain to the WKent 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.46

Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 13 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 49

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Lvile 45

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -1.58

Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds Lucky Jackson fumbled, forced by Anthony Johnson, recovered by Lvile Anthony Johnson

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 62 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 39

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

DUNCAN, S. pass incomplete to WALKER, G., PENALTY UL roughing passer (Character, M.) 15 yards to the UL41, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Steven Duncan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.49

Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 20 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Steven Duncan pass complete to Gaej Walker for 4 yds to the Lvile 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 14 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 6 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Gaej Walker, broken up by G.G. Robinson

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Steven Duncan run for no gain to the Lvile 38

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Lucky Jackson) to the Lvile 43

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Anthony Johnson

1st & 15Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.57

Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42 LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Javian Hawkins) to the Lvile 27

2nd & 26Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 27 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 26Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 24 yds to the WKent 49

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the WKent 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Jahcour Pearson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 44

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Steven Duncan pass complete to Xavier Lane for 12 yds to the Lvile 44

4th & 2Penalty+14 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Jack Fagot) to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

KeShawn McClendon run for 6 yds to the Lvile 24

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

KeShawn McClendon run for 9 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the Lvile 6

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Joshua Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 8

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.97

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Russ Yeast

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 15

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Evan Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 14

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Clayton Bush at the WKent 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by G.G. Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Monty Montgomery

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.08

Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Anthony Johnson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the WKent 31

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Evan Conley run for 7 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the WKent 15

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.28

Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the WKent 8

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
31%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play