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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 21.8

Home Win Probability

Louisville 9%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
1477735
LouisvilleLouisville
1400317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1414-2114-2817-2817-35
LouisvilleNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOULOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUTD675ydTD1288ydPUNT39ydTD675ydTD975ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1046ydPUNT518ydPUNT39ydPUNT49ydPUNT35ydTO30ydTO10ydTO1-4ydTD420ydEND29ydTO751ydPUNT421ydPUNT3-7ydTD257ydPUNT52ydPUNT519ydFG1059ydTD1275ydDOWNS1023ydPUNT35ydEND523yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Louisville
StatisticNotre DameLouisville
Passing14-2312-28
Pass Yards193134
Rush Yards230249
Total Yards423383
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-126-15
Penalties4-208-50
Possession28:0032:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
14/23, 193 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tony Jones Jr.
15 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Claypool
5 REC, 94 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Jawon Pass
12/27, 134 YDS
rushing
Javian Hawkins
19 CAR, 122 YDS
receiving
Chatarius Atwell
5 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.98

Ian Book run for 37 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Tony Jones Jr. run for 9 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.39

Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 16 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Lvile 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jahmir Smith 3 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 18 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Javian Hawkins run for 13 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 46

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Jawon Pass run for 11 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 45

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Julian Okwara) to the NDame 40

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Jawon Pass run for 13 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 6 yds to the NDame 21

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Javian Hawkins run for 15 yds to the NDame 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Jawon Pass 8 Yd Run (Blanton Creque Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Ian Book run for 9 yds to the NDame 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 25

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Khalid Kareem) to the Lvile 30

3rd & 5Rush+44 ydsPPA +4.02

Javian Hawkins run for 44 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 9 yds to the NDame 17

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.68

Jawon Pass 17 Yd Run (Blanton Creque Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tony Jones Jr. run for 8 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Tony Jones Jr. run for 10 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Tony Jones Jr. run for 15 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 5 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.67

Ian Book sacked by Rodjay Burns for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 45

3rd & 13Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.36

Tony Jones Jr. run for 35 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 11

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Tony Jones Jr. 11 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Thomas Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jawon Pass run for 2 yds to the Lvile 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Javian Hawkins

4th & 8Punt-2 yds

Mason King punt for 52 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kyren Williams

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Jahmir Smith run for 12 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.68

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 11 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Ian Book sacked by Nick Okeke for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 16 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jahmir Smith run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 4 yds to the Lvile 36

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 38

4th & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -1.83

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 2 yds to the Lvile 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Hassan Hall run for 15 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 9 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 24 Ian Book fumbled, forced by Khane Pass, recovered by NDame Jahmir Smith

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jahmir Smith run for no gain to the NDame 24

4th & 1Punt+50 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LOUISVILLE 36 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Lvile 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 14 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Hawkins, Javian rush for no gain to the LOUISVILLE40, PENALTY LOUISVILLE personal foul 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE25, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jawon Pass sacked by Drew White for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 23

2nd & 27Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Javian Hawkins

3rd & 27Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.11

Hassan Hall run for 12 yds to the Lvile 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the NDame 30

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jahmir Smith run for 2 yds to the NDame 32

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 20

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jawon Pass run for no gain to the Lvile 20

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jawon Pass run for 6 yds to the Lvile 26 Jawon Pass fumbled, forced by Alohi Gilman, recovered by NDame Alohi Gilman

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.28

Ian Book sacked for loss of 2 yds to the Lvile 28 Ian Book fumbled, recovered by Etheridge at the Lvile 24.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -0.85

Jawon Pass run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 20 Jawon Pass fumbled, recovered by NDame Jack Lamb

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Ian Book run for 12 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ian Book pass incomplete to Brock Wright

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Liam Eichenberg) to the Lvile 11

3rd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Ian Book 11 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Hassan Hall run for 12 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 46

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the NDame 40

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Hassan Hall run for 16 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.32

Jawon Pass run for 4 yds to the NDame 22 Jawon Pass fumbled, forced by Adetokunbo Ogundeji, recovered by NDame Daelin Hayes , return for 2 yds to the NDame 22

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Tony Jones Jr. run for 12 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tony Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the NDame 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NDame 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the NDame 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 24

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 22

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (T.J. McCoy) to the Lvile 17

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.75

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 31 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Tommy Tremble 26 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jawon Pass pass complete to Tobias Little for 9 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.05

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lvile Hassan Hall

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Dez Fitzpatrick) to the Lvile 23

3rd & 24Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 27

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 13 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NDame 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris Finke

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 16

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.71

Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 10

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 14 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 34 Javian Hawkins fumbled, recovered by Lvile Javian Hawkins

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.67

Jawon Pass pass complete to Marshon Ford for 37 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tutu Atwell pass incomplete to Marshon Ford

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the NDame 31

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the NDame 29

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the NDame 25

4th & 9Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.53

Blanton Creque 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ian Book run for 6 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Ian Book pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 10 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.59

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 10 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ian Book pass complete to Jahmir Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 40

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Ian Book run for 4 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.80

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 34 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jahmir Smith 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Jawon Pass sacked by Kurt Hinish for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 19

2nd & 14Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.47

Jawon Pass run for 22 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Tyler Haycraft) to the Lvile 36

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Isaac Martin

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 10 yds to the Lvile 46

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jawon Pass run for 6 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.21

Jawon Pass sacked by Daelin Hayes for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 44

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

3rd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Jawon Pass run for 10 yds to the NDame 34

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Caleb Chandler) to the NDame 39

4th & 12Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.05

Jawon Pass sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE 46 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jawon Pass) to the Lvile 46

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

C'Bo Flemister run for 7 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the Lvile 38

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tutu Atwell at the Lvile 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Jawon Pass pass complete to Josh Johnson for 12 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Jawon Pass pass complete to Jawon Pass for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 16

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 24

4th & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
29 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play