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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 10.9

Home Win Probability

Penn State 76%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
0100010
Penn StatePenn State
737017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-310-1017-10
Penn StatePittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPUNT33ydPUNT730ydPUNT650ydTD598ydPUNT39ydPUNT452ydFG1885ydPUNT31ydTD878ydFG1148ydEND1-2ydPUNT514ydPUNT517ydTD1388ydPUNT57ydPUNT521ydPUNT941ydPUNT520ydMISS1065ydPUNT525ydEND1058yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Penn State
StatisticPittsburghPenn State
Passing35-5114-30
Pass Yards372222
Rush Yards24167
Total Yards396389
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-164-13
Penalties2-183-40
Possession34:1625:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Kenny Pickett
35/51, 372 YDS
rushing
receiving
Taysir Mack
12 REC, 125 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
14/30, 222 YDS
rushing
Journey Brown
10 CAR, 109 YDS
receiving
KJ Hamler
3 REC, 68 YDS
defense
Micah Parsons
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

A.J. Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 3 yds to the Pitt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 46 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 16 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Sean Clifford sacked by Jaylen Twyman and Elias Reynolds for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 41

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 45

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.76

Sean Clifford run for 13 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -2.86

Sean Clifford sacked by Phil Campbell III for a loss of 13 yards to the PnSt 45 Sean Clifford fumbled, recovered by PnSt Michal Menet , return for 0 yards

3rd & 23Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 11 yds to the Pitt 44

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the Pitt 13

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

A.J. Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 10

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 12

3rd & 11Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.11

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 48 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

A.J. Davis run for no gain to the PnSt 40

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 37 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Kenny Pickett Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the PnSt 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 35 yds, downed at the PnSt 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the PnSt 3

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Journey Brown

3rd & 9Rush+85 ydsPPA +4.78

Journey Brown run for 85 yds to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

Clifford, Sean pass pass intercepted by Ford, Paris at the PITTSBURGH3, Ford, Paris return 52 yards to the PENNST45, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Bright, Cam) 8 yards to the PITTSBURGH4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the Pitt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Devyn Ford 1 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

V'Lique Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

V'Lique Carter run for 1 yd to the Pitt 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 10 yds to the Pitt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.59

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 53 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Ricky Slade run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 44

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, downed at the Pitt 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 1 yd to the Pitt 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 3 yds to the Pitt 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 9 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.85

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 16 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 15 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 2 yds to the PnSt 44

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the PnSt 40

4th & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.35

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 4 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Kenny Pickett run for 7 yds to the PnSt 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.01

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 9 yds to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 11 yds to the PnSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 3 yds to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the PnSt 2

3rd & 2Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Alex Kessman 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the PnSt 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 53 yds, downed at the Pitt 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Tre Tipton

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Ffrench, Maurice, PENALTY PENNST holding (Reid, John) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Vincent Davis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 11 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 17 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.35

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Dontavius Butler-Jenkins for 27 yds to the PnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Vincent Davis 3 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 15

3rd & 8Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.74

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for 40 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 9 yds to the Pitt 36

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.66

Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for 2 yds to the Pitt 31

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.47

Sean Clifford sacked by Jaylen Twyman for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 39

4th & 16Field Goal Good+57 ydsPPA +2.47

Jordan Stout 57 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 6 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Journey Brown run for 2 yds to the PnSt 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan Chisena

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

A.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 18

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 1 yd to the Pitt 19

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Ffrench, Maurice, PENALTY PENNST pass interference 15 yards to the PITTSBURGH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Tre Tipton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 2 yds to the Pitt 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the PnSt 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 8 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 13 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 13 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the Pitt 38

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.24

Noah Cain run for 7 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Sean Clifford run for 6 yds to the Pitt 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 8 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the Pitt 13

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Noah Cain 13 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Shocky Jacques-Louis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 3 yds to the Pitt 39

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.42

Kenny Pickett sacked by Jan Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 34

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kenny Pickett sacked by Cam Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 32

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 38 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the PnSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.13

Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 16 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Ricky Slade run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 38 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for no gain to the Pitt 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 10

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.88

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 23 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Vincent Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 28

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.83

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 16 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Tre Tipton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 5 yds to the Pitt 49

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48

4th & 2Punt+5 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 38 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 5 yds to the PnSt 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Sean Clifford pass complete to Devyn Ford for 9 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Sean Clifford run for 6 yds to the PnSt 34

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 35

4th & 1Punt+31 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Maurice Ffrench at the PENNST 19 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for no gain to the Pitt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 9 yds to the Pitt 43

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench

4th & 1Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.74

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 36 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 1 yd Maurice Ffrench fumbled, recovered by Pitt Maurice Ffrench

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding 10 yards to the PENNST30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 29 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the PnSt 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+19 yds

Alex Kessman 19 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the PnSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.00

Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 18 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Journey Brown run for 5 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 47 yds , Maurice Ffrench returns for 8 yds to the Pitt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.53

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 21 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for no gain to the Pitt 37

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.10

Kenny Pickett sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 30

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 5 yds to the Pitt 35

4th & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.15

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 28 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 11 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
24%
29 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
20%
15 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
44%
16 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play