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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2019Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Penn State 84%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
0103013
Penn StatePenn State
70281045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-37-1021-1335-1338-1345-13
Penn StateBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSPSBUFBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSPUNT630ydPUNT37ydTO38ydTD237ydMISS743ydPUNT612ydFG1969ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT534ydTD1096ydEND1-6ydTO340ydTD34ydPUNT32ydTD123ydFG1067ydTD365ydPUNT3-3ydTD555ydPUNT626ydFG755ydPUNT1031ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS47ydTD474ydDOWNS640ydEND1-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Penn State
StatisticBuffaloPenn State
Passing16-3216-22
Pass Yards245279
Rush Yards18478
Total Yards429357
Turnovers21
3rd Down10-232-9
Penalties8-783-25
Possession42:3217:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Matt Myers
16/31, 245 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaret Patterson
23 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Antonio Nunn
5 REC, 113 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
16/22, 279 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Sean Clifford
11 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Jahan Dotson
4 REC, 109 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Jaret Patterson run for 12 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 13 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the PnSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Matt Myers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Matt Myers run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 12

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 11

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Brown for 9 yds to the PnSt 20

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 36

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 37 Kevin Marks fumbled, forced by Cam Brown, recovered by PnSt Cam Brown

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Journey Brown run for 9 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.27

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 28 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by John Reid

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Jaret Patterson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.22

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 42 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 34

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Myers run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Myers pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 4 yds to the PnSt 32

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Alex McNulty 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 6 yds to the PnSt 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sean Clifford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Ricky Slade run for 1 yd to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ricky Slade run for 1 yd to the PnSt 43

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 45

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 19

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Kevin Marks run for 10 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 37

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Buff 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 43

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 37

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

PATTERSON, Jare rush for 4 yards to the PSU33 (Mustipher, PJ), PENALTY UB holding 10 yards to the PSU47, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.71

Matt Myers pass complete to Jaret Patterson for 19 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 11 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Joey Banks, broken up by Tariq Castro-Fields

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Myers run for 3 yds to the PnSt 14

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 19

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.35

Alex McNulty 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 31

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Clifford, Sean pass complete to Hamler, KJ for loss of 1 yard to the PSU30 (HILL, Tyrone), PENALTY PSU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the PSU26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayson Oweh run for 1 yd to the PnSt 27

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 47

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 44

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 7 yds to the PnSt 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Matt Myers pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 18 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Journey Brown run for 10 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Journey Brown run for 2 yds to the PnSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 8

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Matt Myers pass complete to Joey Banks for 10 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.27

Matt Myers pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 29 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt Myers pass complete to Carlton Todd for 3 yds to the PnSt 45

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.34

Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 40 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Matt Myers pass complete to Julien Bourassa for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 17 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Dotson, Jahan, PENALTY UB pass interference (RUSSELL, Devon) 15 yards to the UB33, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -4.10

Ricky Slade run for 6 yds to the Buff 27 Ricky Slade fumbled, forced by Joey Banks, recovered by Buff Aapri Washington

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown-36 ydsPPA -7.23

Matt Myers pass intercepted for a TD John Reid return for 36 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matt Myers pass incomplete to LeMaro Smith Jr., broken up by Tariq Castro-Fields

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

4th & 8Punt+22 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 33 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 22 yds to the Buff 49 BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Evan Finegan) to the Buff 23

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 23

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Matt Myers run for no gain to the Buff 37

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.90

Matt Myers pass complete to Carlton Todd for 28 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.73

Kevin Marks run for 29 yds to the PnSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the PnSt 7

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Matt Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex McNulty 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 5 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.92

Sean Clifford run for 58 yds to the Buff 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Noah Cain run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt Myers pass complete to Joey Banks for 5 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.26

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 8 yards to the Buff 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by John Reid

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 19 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the Buff 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds to the Buff 28

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.99

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 28 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MYERS, Matt pass incomplete to SMITH, LeMaro, PENALTY PSU pass interference (Castro-Fields) 15 yards to the UB40, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Myers pass complete to LeMaro Smith Jr. for 5 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.59

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the PnSt 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.06

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 45 yds to the Buff 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Sean Clifford sacked by Taylor Riggins and James Patterson for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 22

2nd & 13Penalty+8 yds

Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Hamler, KJ, QB hurry by PATTERSON, Jame, PENALTY UB pass interference (GROSS, Cory) 8 yards to the UB14, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Cam Brown, broken up by Devon Russell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the Buff 13

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

4th & 9Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.39

Jake Pinegar 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Kevin Marks run for 8 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Matt Myers pass complete to Joey Banks for 12 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan McDuffie run for 7 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the PnSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Matt Myers run for 3 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.71

Matt Myers sacked by Ellis Brooks and Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 48

2nd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the PnSt 44

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 34 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.19

Sean Clifford sacked by Joey Banks for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 8

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.07

Sean Clifford sacked by Chibueze Onwuka for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 2

4th & 18Punt+11 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 42 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 11 yds to the PnSt 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the PnSt 32

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Matt Myers pass complete to Aapri Washington for 11 yds to the PnSt 25

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.24

Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Journey Brown run for 2 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Sean Clifford run for no gain to the PnSt 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.61

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 16 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 50Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, OF (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 45

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Dylan McDuffie run for 11 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Dylan McDuffie run for 20 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the PnSt 38

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the PnSt 35

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.53

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson, broken up by Keaton Ellis

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.72

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 29

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
34 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
22%
9 plays
31%
16 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play