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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2019Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 60%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
770141038
Fresno StateFresno State
010117735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-73-1410-1413-1421-2128-2128-2835-35
Fresno StateMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSFSMINFSMINFSMINMINFSTD1175ydMISS846ydTO341ydPUNT417ydPUNT58ydFG832ydTD1065ydTD675ydPUNT35ydTO25ydEND3-12ydFG1368ydTO737ydTD562ydTD1578ydPUNT35ydTD638ydTD1159ydPUNT32ydEND1-2ydTD625ydTD325ydFG46ydTO10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Fresno State
StatisticMinnesotaFresno State
Passing16-2324-35
Pass Yards234288
Rush Yards14657
Total Yards380345
Turnovers32
3rd Down9-153-12
Penalties7-656-45
Possession33:4126:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
16/23, 234 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
17 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rashod Bateman
7 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Fresno State
passing
Jorge Reyna
24/35, 288 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
15 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Derrion Grim
5 REC, 82 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jake Paulson for 3 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jake Paulson for 16 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.18

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.33

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 17 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.18

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 11 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

RIVERS, Ronnie rush for 9 yards to the FS44 (Durr, Coney;Winfield, A), PENALTY FS holding (BULL, Dontae) 5 yards to the FS30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.87

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FRESNOST 49 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, tripping (15 Yards) to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Minn 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jared Rice

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Cesar Silva 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mohamed Ibrahim

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.48

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 34 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.10

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 26 Mohamed Ibrahim fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by FrsSt Wylan Free

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Ronnie Rivers run for 19 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Minn 47

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

HOKIT, Josh rush for 11 yards to the MINN36 (Oliver, Braelen), PENALTY FS holding (MOSBY, Arron) 10 yards to the FS43, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 11

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 18

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Morgan sacked by Kevin Atkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 15

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius Douglas

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 48 yds, downed at the FrsSt 37

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Ronnie Rivers run for 15 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jorge Reyna run for 2 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jamal Glaspie for 14 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Minn 29

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.55

Jorge Reyna sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 38

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 7 yds to the Minn 31

4th & 11Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +1.34

Cesar Silva 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.26

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 16 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 5Penalty+13 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (Arron Mosby) to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 3

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.53

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 20 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Jorge Reyna sacked by Sam Renner for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.03

Jorge Reyna sacked by Chris Williamson for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 22Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +4.02

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 11 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 16 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 25 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 22

1st & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.54

Tanner Morgan sacked by Levelle Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 17

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rodney Smith for 10 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 32

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 5 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jorge Reyna pass intercepted Kiondre Thomas return for no gain to the FrsSt 46

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Tanner Morgan sacked by Isaiah Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.12

Tanner Morgan sacked by Kevin Atkins for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 42 Tanner Morgan fumbled, , return for 0 yards

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jorge Reyna run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Chris Coleman, broken up by Jordan Howden

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.53

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jared Rice, broken up by Jordan Howden for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 6 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Jorge Reyna run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 38 Jorge Reyna fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Jorge Reyna

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Josh Hokit for 10 yds to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.00

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 8 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.79

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 24 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Chris Coleman for 7 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jared Rice

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jorge Reyna run for no gain to the Minn 13

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.80

Cesar Silva 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 14 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Juju Hughes

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.68

Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38 Tanner Morgan fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by FrsSt Isaiah Johnson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.02

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 20 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 17 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 14 yds for a TD, (J. Hokit Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 17

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 18

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 15 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 42

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.55

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Jaron Bryant

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.09

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 16 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 12

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

Ibrahim, Mohamed rush for no gain to the FS1 (RICE, Justin), PENALTY FS offside 0 yards to the FS1, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Jorge Reyna sacked by Austin Winfield for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 32 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for no gain to the Minn 38 Demetrius Douglas fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Justin Rice

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.49

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Chris Coleman for 19 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jorge Reyna run for 3 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 6 yds to the Minn 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Josh Hokit run for no gain to the Minn 10

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jorge Reyna run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 8 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass complete to Douglas, Demetrius for 12 yards to the FS34 (RUFFIN, Deshawn;FREE, Wylan), PENALTY MINN holding (Faalele, Daniel) 10 yards to the MINN44, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.81

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 18 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 15 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Seth Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.38

Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 20 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Rodney Smith

4th & 13Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +4.51

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 20 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jared Rice, broken up by Kamal Martin

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jorge Reyna run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Zane Pope, broken up by Chris Williamson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 50 yds, downed at the Minn 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Chris Coleman for 7 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Minn 18

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Cam Sutton for 8 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Minn 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Cam Sutton, broken up by Chris Williamson

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

REYNA, Jorge pass incomplete to COLEMAN, Chris (Thomas, Kiondre), PENALTY MINN roughing passer (Oliver, Braelen) 5 yards to the MINN5, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 5 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 7

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Juju Hughes

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Lantz 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -4.30

Jorge Reyna pass intercepted Austin Winfield return for 2 yds to the Minn 2

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
62%
13 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
59%
29 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play