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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2019Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 21.9

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 90%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MarylandMaryland
709016
Michigan StateMichigan State
3100619

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-713-713-1013-1616-1619-16
Michigan StateMaryland

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSFG850ydTO30ydDOWNS939ydTO311ydTO10ydPUNT3-10ydTO10ydTD259ydFG1057ydDOWNS954ydTD1273ydDOWNS1132ydFG760ydPUNT38ydTD163ydPUNT31ydPUNT822ydMISS1069ydTO446ydFG1359ydPUNT34ydFG1274ydDOWNS45ydEND2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maryland and Michigan State
StatisticMarylandMichigan State
Passing12-2830-42
Pass Yards152342
Rush Yards16488
Total Yards316430
Turnovers32
3rd Down1-118-16
Penalties2-54-40
Possession22:0737:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maryland
passing
Josh Jackson
11/27, 141 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Anthony McFarland
8 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dontay Demus
7 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
30/40, 342 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Collins
15 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Cody White
4 REC, 84 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 29

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.68

Elijah Collins run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 5 yds to the Mary 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 23 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Anthony Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 23

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass complete to Nailor, Jalen for 22 yards to the UMD1 (Lewis, Marcus), PENALTY MSU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UMD28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 4 yds to the Mary 24

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the Mary 22

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt Coghlin 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 31

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 31

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.01

Josh Jackson pass intercepted Josiah Scott return for no gain to the Mary 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the Mary 40

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Mary 39

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Nailor run for 3 yds to the Mary 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 17 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Mary 11

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Mary 10

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 6 yds to the Mary 4

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -4.17

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 4 yds to the Mary 11

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 7 yds Dontay Demus Jr. fumbled, forced by Antjuan Simmons, recovered by MchSt Antjuan Simmons

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.41

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted, touchback. Marcus Lewis return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Josh Jackson pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 14

2nd & 16Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Mary 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.13

Javon Leake run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 15

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 10

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -3.16

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted Deonte Banks return for 7 yds to the Mary 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 15 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 44 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 10 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 13 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 27 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Mary 17

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 18

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Jalen Nailor

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.06

Matt Coghlin 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 23

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Okonkwo, Chigoziem, PENALTY MSU roughing passer 15 yards to the UMD38, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Josh Jackson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 9 yds to the Mary 47

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Josh Jackson run for 4 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Jackson run for 4 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 11 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Rayshad Lewis

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 7 yds to the MchSt 27

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.98

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.67

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 16 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 4 yds to the Mary 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 6 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brandon Wright run for no gain to the Mary 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 24 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brandon Wright run for 5 yds to the Mary 14

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 10 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the Mary 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 29

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 10 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Josh Jackson run for 9 yds to the Mary 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 10 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 11 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jackson, Josh sacked for loss of 10 yards to the MSU41 (Willekes, Kenny), PENALTY MSU personal foul 15 yards to the MSU16, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.96

Josh Jackson sacked by Jacub Panasiuk for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 23

2nd & 17Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.36

Josh Jackson sacked by Raequan Williams and Kenny Willekes for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 31

3rd & 25Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.42

Josh Jackson sacked by Kenny Willekes for a loss of 13 yards to the MchSt 44 MARYLAND Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the MchSt 44

4th & 38Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.32

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

0th & 38End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 9 yds to the Mary 34

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Javon Leake run for 12 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.64

Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 40 yds to the MchSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Javon Leake run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 15

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.10

Joseph Petrino 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the MchSt 19

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 6 yds to the MchSt 25

4th & 2Punt+15 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 53 yds , Tyler DeSue returns for 15 yds to the Mary 37

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 63 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White, broken up by Brandon Gaddy

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Julian Barnett, broken up by Shaq Smith

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 41 yds, downed at the Mary 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Javon Leake run for 3 yds to the Mary 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.77

Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler DeSue

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Josh Jackson run for 13 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.40

Tyler DeSue run for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 48

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr., broken up by Jacob Slade

3rd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 3 yds to the MchSt 45

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 41 yds, downed at the MchSt 4

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 2

2nd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.79

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 16 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.65

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jalen Nailor run for 3 yds to the Mary 41

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Lewerke run for 10 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Cody White pass incomplete to Brian Lewerke

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cody White pass incomplete to Julian Barnett MICHIGAN ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Matt Coghlin 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.12

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 43 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Javon Leake run for no gain to the MchSt 28

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.50

Josh Jackson sacked by Noah Harvey for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 27 Josh Jackson fumbled, recovered by MchSt Mike Panasiuk , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.54

Anthony Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 15 yds Matt Seybert fumbled, forced by Keandre Jones,

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the Mary 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the Mary 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Jalen Nailor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.54

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 13 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 12 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brandon Wright run for no gain to the Mary 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trenton Gillison for no gain to the Mary 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 5 yds to the Mary 14

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.62

Matt Coghlin 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 23

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 20

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 9 yds to the Mary 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 60 yds, downed at the MchSt 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 5 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 13 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 19 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 13 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Anthony Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 6 yds to the Mary 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 4 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon Wright run for no gain to the Mary 17

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brandon Wright run for 2 yds to the Mary 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Tre Mosley

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt Coghlin 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Jackson run for 5 yds to the Mary 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 48

Situational Analysis

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
34 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays