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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 11.9

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 77%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arizona StateArizona State
030710
Michigan StateMichigan State
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407140-37-37-10
Michigan StateArizona State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSASMSASMSASMSASMSASASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSPUNT821ydPUNT612ydTO836ydPUNT39ydPUNT626ydPUNT637ydMISS958ydFG1048ydMISS1063ydEND1-2ydPUNT34ydDOWNS721ydPUNT423ydPUNT1053ydPUNT612ydTD1070ydPUNT314ydPUNT3-3ydTD1175ydMISS646yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arizona State and Michigan State
StatisticArizona StateMichigan State
Passing15-2624-39
Pass Yards140291
Rush Yards76113
Total Yards216404
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-139-17
Penalties7-6210-91
Possession26:1733:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arizona State
passing
Jayden Daniels
15/26, 140 YDS
rushing
Eno Benjamin
11 CAR, 38 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brandon Aiyuk
5 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
24/38, 291 YDS
rushing
Elijah Collins
19 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darrell Stewart Jr.
9 REC, 121 YDS
defense
Joe Bachie
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr., broken up by Cam Phillips

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.24

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 11 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 9 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Elijah Collins for 2 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the ArzSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 37

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.90

Jayden Daniels sacked by Jacub Panasiuk for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 32

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Michael Turk punt for 51 yds , Cody White returns for 8 yds to the MchSt 40 ARIZONA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the MchSt 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the MchSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Dotson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.85

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 46

2nd & 6Penalty+3 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Stewart, Darrell, PENALTY ASU pass interference 3 yards to the ASU43, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.65

Brian Lewerke run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 39 Brian Lewerke fumbled, forced by Aashari Crosswell, recovered by ArzSt Tyler Whiley

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 9 yds to the ArzSt 48

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Michael Turk punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Elijah Collins run for 16 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 39

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Collins, Elijah rush for 2 yards to the MSU41 (Crosswell, Aashari), PENALTY ASU offside defense 5 yards to the MSU44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 8 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to White, Cody, QB hurry by Thomas,Khaylan, PENALTY MSU holding 10 yards to the MSU42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Connor Heyward run for 4 yds to the MchSt 46

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr., broken up by Cam Phillips

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 5 yds to the ArzSt 20

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayden Daniels sacked by Kenny Willekes and Tyriq Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 19

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Aiyuk,Brandon (Butler, Josh), PENALTY MSU roughing passer 15 yards to the ASU34, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.76

Kyle Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Michael Turk punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cody White at the MchSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.56

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 48 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 30

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 31

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Connor Heyward run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 29

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Dotson MICHIGAN ST Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Matt Coghlin 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 2 yds to the ArzSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Pierce for 7 yds to the ArzSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 15 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 15 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Eno Benjamin run for 16 yds to the MchSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 15

2nd & 11Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.96

A.J. Carter run for 5 yds to the MchSt 10 ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the MchSt 25

3rd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the MchSt 23

4th & 19Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +1.47

Christian Zendejas 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 10 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 3 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.82

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 36 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Brian Lewerke pass complete to C.J. Hayes for 2 yds to the ArzSt 12

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brian Lewerke run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 8

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to C.J. Hayes

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 13

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Matt Coghlin 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayden Daniels sacked by Antjuan Simmons and Raequan Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Turk punt for 26 yds, downed at the MchSt 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the MchSt 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 4 yds to the MchSt 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.24

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Brian Lewerke sacked by Jermayne Lole for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 47

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 13 yds to the ArzSt 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.63

Connor Heyward run for no gain to the ArzSt 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Eno Benjamin run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Benjamin,Eno, PENALTY MSU roughing passer 15 yards to the MSU45, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Eno Benjamin run for 2 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Eno Benjamin, broken up by Noah Harvey

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Michael Turk punt for 40 yds, downed at the MchSt 3

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 1

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Seybert for 2 yds to the MchSt 3

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.13

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 20 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.75

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Dotson for 20 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 8

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Darby,Frank, PENALTY ASU holding 9 yards to the ASU10, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 11

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Eno Benjamin run for no gain to the ArzSt 11

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.05

Eno Benjamin run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 20

4th & 9Punt+3 yds

Michael Turk punt for 43 yds , Cody White returns for 3 yds to the MchSt 23 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the MchSt 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 29 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 44

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to La'Darius Jefferson

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 6 yds to the ArzSt 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 11 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for 6 yds to the ArzSt 21

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 19

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 5 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 9

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Elijah Collins run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Daniels,Jayden sacked for loss of 8 yards to the ASU27 (Willekes, Kenny), fumble by Daniels,Jayden recovered by MSU Panasiuk, Jacub at ASU27, PENALTY MSU personal foul 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Jayden Daniels sacked by Raequan Williams and Joe Bachie for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 48

2nd & 12Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.39

Eno Benjamin run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 44

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Eno Benjamin run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Michael Turk punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cody White at the MchSt 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 13

3rd & 7Penalty-6 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass complete to White, Cody for 6 yards to the MSU19 (Williams,Kobe), PENALTY MSU pass interference 6 yards to the MSU7, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 14Punt-3 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 55 yds , Brandon Aiyuk returns for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 4 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the ArzSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Eno Benjamin for 5 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.54

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 40 yds to the MchSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brandon Aiyuk for 2 yds to the MchSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Aiyuk

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 28

4th & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.74

Jayden Daniels run for 15 yds to the MchSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the MchSt 8

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank Darby, broken up by Xavier Henderson

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.87

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Eno Benjamin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Zendejas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brian Lewerke run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr., broken up by Aashari Crosswell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Dotson

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to White, Cody, PENALTY ASU pass interference 15 yards to the ASU49, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.08

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 25 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 29

2nd & 15Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Matt Coghlin 47 yd FG MISSED

Situational Analysis

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays